{"id":102330,"date":"2023-11-13T04:18:10","date_gmt":"2023-11-13T04:18:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/11\/13\/texas-state-bobcats-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12\/"},"modified":"2023-11-13T04:18:10","modified_gmt":"2023-11-13T04:18:10","slug":"texas-state-bobcats-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/11\/13\/texas-state-bobcats-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12\/","title":{"rendered":"Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 12"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13334-qid2323-syid8603-mid838990\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The Texas State Bobcats (6-4) play on Saturday at 3:00 PM ET versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5) at Centennial Bank Stadium.<\/p>\n<p>The Bobcats are favored, but by less than a touchdown (-3.5), versus the Red Wolves. The over\/under for this matchup is 59.5 points.<\/p>\n<p>Create your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Pick&#8217;em Pool<\/a> with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and play for free!<br \/>\n<span style=\"color:#0034ce\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Game Info for Texas State vs. Arkansas State<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Saturday, November 18, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 3:00 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> ESPN+<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Jonesboro, Arkansas<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Centennial Bank Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<caption>Texas State vs Arkansas State Betting Information<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Spread<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Total<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Over Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Under Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Moneyline<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Moneyline<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Texas State<\/td>\n<td>-3.5<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>59.5<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-180<\/td>\n<td>+155<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Texas State Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Texas State has gone 4-5-0 ATS this season.<\/li>\n<li>Texas State is 1-2 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.<\/li>\n<li>Two of Texas State&#8217;s nine games with a set total have hit the over (22.2%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Texas State Stats &amp; Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Texas State sports the 100th-ranked defense this season (400.9 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 16th-best with a tally of 454.4 yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>On the offensive side of the ball, Texas State has been a top-25 unit, ranking 21st-best in the FBS by totaling 34.9 points per game. The Bobcats rank 90th on defense (28.5 points allowed per game). <\/li>\n<li>Despite having a bottom-25 pass defense that ranks 25th-worst in the FBS (248.2 passing yards allowed per game), Texas State has played better offensively, ranking 46th in the FBS by totaling 253.7 passing yards per game. <\/li>\n<li>Texas State sports the 77th-ranked defense this season in terms of rushing yards (152.7 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking 15th-best with 200.7 rushing yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>Texas State has struggled on defense in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking fifth-worst in the FBS (48.1% third-down conversion rate) this season. With the ball, however, the Bobcats ranks 25th-best, putting up a 44.9% third-down conversion rate. <\/li>\n<li>Texas State ranks 83rd in college football with a -2 turnover margin after forcing 13 turnovers (72nd in the FBS) while committing 15 (80th in the FBS).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Texas State&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>TJ Finley has thrown for 2,454 yards (245.4 ypg) to lead Texas State, completing 68.9% of his passes and recording 18 touchdown passes compared to five interceptions this season.<\/li>\n<li>The team&#8217;s top rusher, Ismail Mahdi, has carried the ball 159 times for 1,050 yards (105 per game), scoring eight times.<\/li>\n<li>Donerio Davenport has carried the ball 71 times for 350 yards (35 per game) and two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Joey Hobert has hauled in 64 receptions for 804 yards (80.4 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He&#8217;s found the end zone seven times as a receiver.<\/li>\n<li>Kole Wilson has grabbed 45 passes while averaging 52.7 yards per game and scoring five touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Ashtyn Hawkins has a total of 523 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 39 passes and scoring two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Ben Bell leads the team with seven sacks, and also has 11 TFL and 40 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>So far Brian Holloway leads the team in both tackles and interceptions. He has collected 70 tackles, eight TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two interceptions this season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arkansas State Betting Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Arkansas State has a 5-4-1 record against the spread this year.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State is a 3-4 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year.<\/li>\n<li>In Arkansas State&#8217;s 10 games with a set total, four have hit the over (40%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arkansas State Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Arkansas State&#8217;s defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, ceding 431.4 total yards per game, which ranks 17th-worst. Offensively, it ranks 78th with 371.4 total yards per contest.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State ranks 94th in the FBS with 23.5 points per game on offense, and it ranks 106th with 30.8 points given up per contest on defense.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State ranks 74th in passing yards per game (222.2), but it has been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 18th-worst in the FBS with 256 passing yards surrendered per contest.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State&#8217;s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in run defense this season, allowing 175.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 79th with 149.2 rushing yards per contest.<\/li>\n<li>From an offensive standpoint, Arkansas State is posting a 34.6% third-down conversion rate (107th-ranked). It ranks 70th in the FBS on defense (39% third-down rate allowed).<\/li>\n<li>At -2, Arkansas State sports the 83rd-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with eight forced turnovers (123rd in the FBS) and 10 turnovers committed (21st in the FBS).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arkansas State&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 1,834 yards (183.4 ypg) while completing 58.5% of his passes and collecting 14 touchdown passes with five interceptions this season. He&#8217;s also run for 333 yards with five touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>The team&#8217;s top rusher, Ja&#8217;Quez Cross, has carried the ball 96 times for 522 yards (52.2 per game) with three touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Zak Wallace has run for 491 yards across 114 carries, scoring four touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Courtney Jackson&#8217;s 503 receiving yards (50.3 yards per game) are a team high. He has 27 catches on 48 targets with six touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Corey Rucker has totaled 461 receiving yards (46.1 yards per game) on 24 receptions.<\/li>\n<li>Jeff Foreman&#8217;s 19 receptions (on 37 targets) have netted him 395 yards (39.5 ypg) and four touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Keyron Crawford paces the team with 4.5 sacks, and also has five TFL and 34 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State&#8217;s leading tackler, Trevian Thomas, has 57 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this year.<\/li>\n<li>Eddie Smith has picked off a team-high two passes. He also has 18 tackles and two passes defended to his name.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Texas State Bobcats (6-4) play on Saturday at 3:00 PM ET versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5) at Centennial Bank Stadium. The Bobcats are favored, but by less than a touchdown (-3.5), versus the Red Wolves. The over\/under for this matchup is 59.5 points. Create your Pick&#8217;em Pool with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":102331,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[1061,1023,983,8,1022,1024,1038],"class_list":["post-102330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-college-football","tag-arkansas-state-red-wolves","tag-college","tag-football","tag-men","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafb-betting-preview","tag-texas-state-bobcats"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 12 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/11\/13\/texas-state-bobcats-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 12 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Texas State Bobcats (6-4) play on Saturday at 3:00 PM ET versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5) at Centennial Bank Stadium. 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