{"id":102546,"date":"2023-11-14T06:02:23","date_gmt":"2023-11-14T06:02:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/11\/14\/liberty-flames-vs-umass-minutemen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12-2\/"},"modified":"2023-11-14T06:02:23","modified_gmt":"2023-11-14T06:02:23","slug":"liberty-flames-vs-umass-minutemen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/11\/14\/liberty-flames-vs-umass-minutemen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Liberty Flames vs. UMass Minutemen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 12"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13334-qid2323-syid8603-mid838954\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Star quarterback Kaidon Salter and the Liberty Flames (10-0) face the UMass Minutemen (3-7) on Saturday at 1:00 PM ET at Williams Stadium.<\/p>\n<p>The Flames are expected to come out on top by at least two TDs (currently -27.5) versus the Minutemen. The over\/under for this matchup is 62 points.<\/p>\n<p>Create your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Pick&#8217;em Pool<\/a> with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and play for free!<br \/>\n<span style=\"color:#0034ce\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Game Info for Liberty vs. UMass<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Saturday, November 18, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 1:00 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> ESPN+<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Lynchburg, Virginia<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Williams Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<caption>Liberty vs UMass Betting Information<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Spread<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Total<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Over Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Under Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Moneyline<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Moneyline<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Liberty<\/td>\n<td>-27.5<\/td>\n<td>-111<\/td>\n<td>-109<\/td>\n<td>62<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-6747<\/td>\n<td>+1713<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Liberty Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>So far this season, Liberty has put together an 8-1-0 record against the spread.<\/li>\n<li>Five of Liberty&#8217;s nine games with a set total have hit the over (55.6%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Liberty Stats &amp; Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Liberty owns the 43rd-ranked defense this season (347.4 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking seventh-best with a tally of 496.4 yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>Liberty ranks 34th in scoring defense this year (20.7 points allowed per game), but has been playing really well on offense, ranking 10th-best in the FBS with 39 points per game.<\/li>\n<li>Liberty is averaging 218.4 passing yards per game on offense (79th in the FBS), and ranks 76th on defense with 233 passing yards allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>On the offensive side of the ball, Liberty has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking best in the FBS by compiling 278 per game. The Flames rank 27th on defense (114.4 rushing yards allowed per game). <\/li>\n<li>Offensively, Liberty has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking ninth-best in the FBS by averaging a 49.1% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 53rd on defense (37% third-down conversion rate allowed). <\/li>\n<li>With 20 forced turnovers (fifth in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (29th in the FBS), Liberty&#8217;s +9 turnover margin is the ninth-best in college football.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Liberty&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Salter leads Liberty with 2,184 yards (218.4 ypg) on 127-of-214 passing with 26 touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He also has 705 rushing yards on 115 carries while scoring nine touchdowns on the ground.<\/li>\n<li>Quinton Cooley has carried the ball 181 times for a team-high 1,066 yards on the ground and has found the end zone nine times as a runner.<\/li>\n<li>CJ Daniels&#8217; 792 yards as a receiver lead the team. He&#8217;s been targeted 60 times and has registered 37 receptions and eight touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Treon Sibley has caught 19 passes for 429 yards (42.9 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.<\/li>\n<li>Noah Frith has compiled 11 grabs for 221 yards, an average of 22.1 yards per game. He&#8217;s scored two times as a receiver this season.<\/li>\n<li>CJ Bazile Jr. has racked up three sacks to pace the team, while also picking up three TFL and 28 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Tyren Dupree, Liberty&#8217;s tackle leader, has 77 tackles, four TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions this year.<\/li>\n<li>Brylan Green has a team-high five interceptions to go along with 31 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and five passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>UMass Betting Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>UMass has a 4-6-0 record against the spread this year.<\/li>\n<li>UMass is 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 27.5 points or more this season.<\/li>\n<li>Seven of UMass&#8217; 10 games with a set total have hit the over (70%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>UMass Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>UMass has been struggling defensively, ranking 24th-worst with 416.1 total yards surrendered per game. It has been more effective offensively, putting up 359.5 total yards per contest (88th-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>UMass ranks 94th in points per game (23.5), but it has been less effective defensively, ranking third-worst in the FBS with 37.4 points ceded per contest.<\/li>\n<li>From an offensive standpoint, UMass is posting 204.6 passing yards per game (92nd-ranked). It ranks 40th in the FBS defensively (207.5 passing yards surrendered per game).<\/li>\n<li>UMass ranks 71st in rushing yards per game (154.9), but it has been less effective defensively, ranking fourth-worst in the FBS with 208.6 rushing yards conceded per contest.<\/li>\n<li>UMass ranks 81st in third-down conversion rate (37.7%) on offense, but it has been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 12th-worst in the FBS with a 45.8% third-down percentage allowed.<\/li>\n<li>After forcing 13 turnovers (72nd in the FBS) and turning the ball over 11 times (29th in the FBS) this season, UMass owns the 47th-ranked turnover margin of +2.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>UMass&#8217; Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Taisun Phommachanh leads UMass with 1,038 yards on 99-of-159 passing with four touchdowns compared to three interceptions this season.<\/li>\n<li>Kay&#8217;Ron Adams has rushed for 1,014 yards on 201 carries so far this year while scoring nine times on the ground.<\/li>\n<li>Gregroy Desrosiers has piled up 31 carries and totaled 285 yards with four touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Anthony Simpson leads his team with 637 receiving yards on 45 catches with three touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>George Johnson has put together a 355-yard season so far with three touchdowns. He&#8217;s caught 28 passes on 45 targets.<\/li>\n<li>Mark Pope&#8217;s 42 targets have resulted in 24 receptions for 301 yards and one touchdown.<\/li>\n<li>Billy Wooden has five sacks to lead the team, and also has five TFL and 39 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Nahji Logan, UMass&#8217; leading tackler, has 43 tackles, two TFL, and 0.5 sacks this year.<\/li>\n<li>Juan Lua has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 16 tackles and two passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Star quarterback Kaidon Salter and the Liberty Flames (10-0) face the UMass Minutemen (3-7) on Saturday at 1:00 PM ET at Williams Stadium. The Flames are expected to come out on top by at least two TDs (currently -27.5) versus the Minutemen. The over\/under for this matchup is 62 points. Create your Pick&#8217;em Pool with [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":102547,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[1023,983,1043,8,1022,1024,110],"class_list":["post-102546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-college-football","tag-college","tag-football","tag-liberty-flames","tag-men","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafb-betting-preview","tag-umass-minutemen"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Liberty Flames vs. UMass Minutemen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 12 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/11\/14\/liberty-flames-vs-umass-minutemen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Liberty Flames vs. UMass Minutemen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 12 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Star quarterback Kaidon Salter and the Liberty Flames (10-0) face the UMass Minutemen (3-7) on Saturday at 1:00 PM ET at Williams Stadium. 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