{"id":103017,"date":"2023-11-15T06:03:39","date_gmt":"2023-11-15T06:03:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/11\/15\/texas-state-bobcats-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12-3\/"},"modified":"2023-11-15T06:03:39","modified_gmt":"2023-11-15T06:03:39","slug":"texas-state-bobcats-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/11\/15\/texas-state-bobcats-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 12"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13334-qid2323-syid8603-mid838990\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5) play on Saturday at 3:00 PM ET at Centennial Bank Stadium versus the Texas State Bobcats (6-4).<\/p>\n<p>The Bobcats are the favorites (-3.5) in their game against the Red Wolves, with the over\/under being 59.5 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Bobcats are -176 and the Red Wolves are +147.)<\/p>\n<p>Create your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Pick&#8217;em Pool<\/a> with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and play for free!<br \/>\n<span style=\"color:#0034ce\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Game Info for Texas State vs. Arkansas State<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Saturday, November 18, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 3:00 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> ESPN+<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Jonesboro, Arkansas<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Centennial Bank Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<caption>Texas State vs Arkansas State Betting Information<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Spread<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Total<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Over Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Under Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Moneyline<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Moneyline<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Texas State<\/td>\n<td>-3.5<\/td>\n<td>-111<\/td>\n<td>-109<\/td>\n<td>59.5<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-176<\/td>\n<td>+147<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Texas State Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Texas State has gone 4-5-0 ATS this season.<\/li>\n<li>Texas State is 1-2 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.<\/li>\n<li>Out of Texas State&#8217;s nine games with a set total, two have hit the over (22.2%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Texas State Stats &amp; Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Texas State ranks 100th in total defense this season (400.9 yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 16th-best in the FBS with 454.4 total yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>On offense, Texas State has been a top-25 unit, ranking 21st-best in the FBS by putting up 34.9 points per game. The Bobcats rank 90th on defense (28.5 points allowed per game). <\/li>\n<li>Texas State has the 46th-ranked passing offense this year (253.7 passing yards per game), and has been worse on defense, ranking 25th-worst with 248.2 passing yards allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>Texas State ranks 77th in run defense this season (152.7 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 15th-best in the FBS with 200.7 rushing yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>Texas State has struggled defensively in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking fifth-worst in the FBS (48.1% third-down percentage) this season. With the ball, however, the Bobcats ranks 25th-best, averaging a 44.9% third-down conversion rate. <\/li>\n<li>With 13 forced turnovers (72nd in the FBS) against 15 turnovers committed (80th in the FBS), Texas State (-2) has the 83rd-ranked turnover margin in college football.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Texas State&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>TJ Finley has thrown for 2,454 yards (245.4 ypg) to lead Texas State, completing 68.9% of his passes and collecting 18 touchdown passes compared to five interceptions this season.<\/li>\n<li>Ismail Mahdi has carried the ball 159 times for a team-high 1,050 yards on the ground and has found the end zone eight times as a runner.<\/li>\n<li>Donerio Davenport has carried the ball 71 times for 350 yards (35 per game) and two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Joey Hobert&#8217;s team-high 804 yards as a receiver have come on 64 catches (out of 83 targets) with seven touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Kole Wilson has caught 45 passes for 527 yards (52.7 yards per game) and five touchdowns this year.<\/li>\n<li>Ashtyn Hawkins has been the target of 62 passes and hauled in 39 grabs for 523 yards, an average of 52.3 yards per contest. He&#8217;s found the end zone two times through the air this season.<\/li>\n<li>Ben Bell has racked up seven sacks to lead the team, while also picking up 11 TFL and 40 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Brian Holloway has been all over the field, leading the team in both tackles and interceptions. He has 70 tackles, eight TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two interceptions so far.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arkansas State Betting Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>So far this season, Arkansas State has compiled a 5-4-1 record against the spread.<\/li>\n<li>In games this year in which they were an underdog by 3.5 points or more, the Red Wolves have a 3-4 record against the spread.<\/li>\n<li>Four of Arkansas State&#8217;s 10 games with a set total have hit the over (40%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arkansas State Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Arkansas State has been struggling on defense, ranking 17th-worst with 431.4 total yards surrendered per game. It has been more effective on the other side of the ball, regstering 371.4 total yards per contest (78th-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State is compiling 23.5 points per contest on offense this season (94th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 30.8 points per game (106th-ranked) on defense.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State has been struggling against the pass, ranking 18th-worst with 256 passing yards surrendered per game. It has been more effective on offense, regstering 222.2 passing yards per contest (74th-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State&#8217;s defense has been bottom-25 in run defense this season, surrendering 175.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS. On the offensive side of the ball, it ranks 79th with 149.2 rushing yards per contest.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State is putting up a 34.6% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (107th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering a 39% third-down rate (70th-ranked) on defense.<\/li>\n<li>After forcing eight turnovers (123rd in the FBS) and turning the ball over 10 times (21st in the FBS) this season, Arkansas State sports the 83rd-ranked turnover margin of -2.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arkansas State&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Jaylen Raynor has 1,834 passing yards, or 183.4 per game, so far this season. He has completed 58.5% of his passes and has recorded 14 touchdowns with five interceptions. He&#8217;s also contributed on the ground with 33.3 rushing yards per game while scoring as a runner five times.<\/li>\n<li>The team&#8217;s top rusher, Ja&#8217;Quez Cross, has carried the ball 96 times for 522 yards (52.2 per game) with three touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Zak Wallace has compiled 491 yards on 114 carries with four touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Courtney Jackson has collected 27 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 503 (50.3 yards per game). He&#8217;s been targeted 48 times and has six touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Corey Rucker has put together a 461-yard season so far. He&#8217;s caught 24 passes on 57 targets.<\/li>\n<li>Jeff Foreman&#8217;s 19 grabs (on 37 targets) have netted him 395 yards (39.5 ypg) and four touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Keyron Crawford has 4.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has five TFL and 34 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Trevian Thomas, Arkansas State&#8217;s leading tackler, has 57 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this year.<\/li>\n<li>Eddie Smith has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 18 tackles and two passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5) play on Saturday at 3:00 PM ET at Centennial Bank Stadium versus the Texas State Bobcats (6-4). The Bobcats are the favorites (-3.5) in their game against the Red Wolves, with the over\/under being 59.5 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Bobcats are -176 and the Red Wolves [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":103019,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[1061,1023,983,8,1022,1024,1038],"class_list":["post-103017","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-college-football","tag-arkansas-state-red-wolves","tag-college","tag-football","tag-men","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafb-betting-preview","tag-texas-state-bobcats"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 12 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/11\/15\/texas-state-bobcats-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-12-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Texas State Bobcats vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 12 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5) play on Saturday at 3:00 PM ET at Centennial Bank Stadium versus the Texas State Bobcats (6-4). The Bobcats are the favorites (-3.5) in their game against the Red Wolves, with the over\/under being 59.5 points. 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