{"id":104496,"date":"2023-11-24T07:32:50","date_gmt":"2023-11-24T07:32:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/11\/24\/smu-mustangs-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-13\/"},"modified":"2023-11-24T07:32:50","modified_gmt":"2023-11-24T07:32:50","slug":"smu-mustangs-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-13","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/11\/24\/smu-mustangs-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-13\/","title":{"rendered":"SMU Mustangs vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 13"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13334-qid2323-syid8603-mid839097\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Star player Alex Tecza and the Navy Midshipmen (5-5) face the SMU Mustangs (9-2) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET, at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.<\/p>\n<p>The Midshipmen are expected to lose by at least two touchdowns (currently +19.5) versus the Mustangs (with an over\/under of 46 points).<\/p>\n<p>Create your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Pick&#8217;em Pool<\/a> with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and play for free!<br \/>\n<span style=\"color:#0034ce\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Game Info for SMU vs. Navy<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Saturday, November 25, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 12:00 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> ESPN2<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> University Park, Texas<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Gerald J. Ford Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<caption>SMU vs Navy Betting Information<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Spread<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Total<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Over Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Under Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Moneyline<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Moneyline<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>SMU<\/td>\n<td>-19.5<\/td>\n<td>-111<\/td>\n<td>-111<\/td>\n<td>46<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-1249<\/td>\n<td>+742<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>SMU Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>SMU has gone 5-5-0 ATS this season.<\/li>\n<li>In games this season as favorites of at least 19.5 points, SMU has a 4-1 record against the spread.<\/li>\n<li>SMU games with a set total have hit the over four times this season (40%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>SMU Stats &amp; Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>SMU has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, ranking top-25 in both total offense (10th-best with 471.3 yards per game) and total defense (14th-best with 306.5 yards allowed per game) this year.<\/li>\n<li>SMU has been finding success on both sides of the ball, ranking sixth-best in scoring offense (40.3 points per game) and 15th-best in scoring defense (18 points allowed per game). <\/li>\n<li>SMU has been a tough opponent for opposing teams in the passing game, with a top-25 ranking in both passing offense (20th-best with 285.5 passing yards per game) and passing defense (25th-best with 194.5 passing yards allowed per game) this season.<\/li>\n<li>SMU ranks 29th in rushing yards this year (185.7 rushing yards per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with 112 rushing yards allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>Defensively, SMU has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 11th-best by allowing a 29.6% third-down percentage. The team&#8217;s offense ranks 35th (43% third-down conversion rate). <\/li>\n<li>With 13 forced turnovers (92nd in the FBS) against nine turnovers committed (10th in the FBS), SMU&#8217;s +4+4 turnover margin ranks 30th in college football.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>SMU&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Preston Stone has 2,882 pass yards for SMU, completing 59.1% of his passes and recording 25 touchdowns and six interceptions this season. He&#8217;s also helped out on the ground with 207 rushing yards (18.8 ypg) on 60 carries with four rushing touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Jaylan Knighton has carried the ball 113 times for a team-high 645 yards on the ground and has found the end zone six times.<\/li>\n<li>LJ Johnson Jr. has carried the ball 99 times for 542 yards (49.3 per game) and three touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Jake Bailey&#8217;s 438 yards as a receiver pace the team. He&#8217;s been targeted 44 times and has totaled 33 catches.<\/li>\n<li>RJ Maryland has grabbed 26 passes while averaging 36.2 yards per game and scoring seven touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Romello Brinson&#8217;s 24 grabs have yielded 376 yards and two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Elijah Roberts has racked up 7.5 sacks to pace the team, while also recording seven TFL and 24 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>SMU&#8217;s top-tackler, Kobe Wilson, has 51 tackles, two TFL, and one interception this year.<\/li>\n<li>Isaiah Nwokobia leads the team with two interceptions, while also collecting 46 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Navy Betting Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Navy is 4-4-1 ATS this season.<\/li>\n<li>Navy is 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 19.5 points or greater this year.<\/li>\n<li>Navy has hit the over in three of their nine games with a set total (33.3%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Navy Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Navy ranks 10th-worst in total yards per game (304.1), but it has been more effective defensively, ranking 43rd in the FBS with 349.8 total yards surrendered per contest.<\/li>\n<li>Navy ranks 13th-worst in points per game on offense (18.7), but at least it has been dominating on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 23rd-best in points allowed per contest (19.3).<\/li>\n<li>Navy&#8217;s passing offense has been bottom-25 this season, generating 101.8 passing yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 71st with 227.5 passing yards ceded per contest.<\/li>\n<li>Navy&#8217;s run offense has been dominant, compiling 202.3 rushing yards per contest (14th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 34th by allowing 122.3 rushing yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>Offensively, Navy is bottom-25 on third down, posting a 30.6% third-down conversion percentage (eighth-worst). On the bright side, it is excelling on defense, allowing a 31.5% third-down rate (20th-best).<\/li>\n<li>Navy has generated 23 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over nine times, resulting in a +14 turnover margin, which ranks second-best in the FBS.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Navy&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Tai Lavatai leads Navy with 522 yards on 40-of-75 passing with four touchdowns compared to two interceptions this season. He has chipped in with 171 rushing yards (17.1 ypg) on 56 carries while scoring two touchdowns on the ground.<\/li>\n<li>Tecza is his team&#8217;s leading rusher with 115 carries for 723 yards, or 72.3 per game. He&#8217;s found paydirt five times on the ground, as well.<\/li>\n<li>Xavier Arline has piled up 68 carries and totaled 264 yards with two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Eli Heidenreich leads his squad with 320 receiving yards on 14 receptions with four touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Brandon Chatman has totaled 211 receiving yards (21.1 yards per game) on 13 receptions.<\/li>\n<li>Nathan Kent has racked up 77 reciving yards (7.7 ypg) and one touchdown this season.<\/li>\n<li>Justin Reed leads the team with 4.5 sacks, and also has five TFL and 38 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Colin Ramos, Navy&#8217;s tackle leader, has 86 tackles, three TFL, and two sacks this year.<\/li>\n<li>Rayuan Lane leads the team with four interceptions, while also putting up 52 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and six passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Star player Alex Tecza and the Navy Midshipmen (5-5) face the SMU Mustangs (9-2) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET, at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The Midshipmen are expected to lose by at least two touchdowns (currently +19.5) versus the Mustangs (with an over\/under of 46 points). Create your Pick&#8217;em Pool with the Internet\u2019s #1 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":104497,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[1023,983,8,1063,1022,1024,34],"class_list":["post-104496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-college-football","tag-college","tag-football","tag-men","tag-navy-midshipmen","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafb-betting-preview","tag-smu-mustangs"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>SMU Mustangs vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 13 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/11\/24\/smu-mustangs-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-13\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"SMU Mustangs vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 13 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Star player Alex Tecza and the Navy Midshipmen (5-5) face the SMU Mustangs (9-2) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET, at Gerald J. 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