{"id":105230,"date":"2023-12-01T17:38:18","date_gmt":"2023-12-01T17:38:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/articles\/?p=105230"},"modified":"2023-12-01T17:39:54","modified_gmt":"2023-12-01T17:39:54","slug":"this-week-in-pools-nfl-week-12-recap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/12\/01\/this-week-in-pools-nfl-week-12-recap\/","title":{"rendered":"This Week in Pools: NFL Week 12 Recap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Games on Thursday, Friday, Sunday and Monday. Week 12 was a football bonanza for the discerning gentleman lazing about the house over Thanksgiving break. It\u2019s going to be tough to go back to a regular most-games-on-Sunday schedule. Good thing those Saturday games are only a month away.<\/p>\n<p>It was also a great week, for favorites, with the chalk going 11-4 against the spread.<\/p>\n<h2>This Week in Pick\u2019em Pools<\/h2>\n<p>That 11-4 mark meant a solid week for RunYourPool bettors. Except for the 74.3 percent of players who used the Lions on Thanksgiving. Because some things are holiday traditions. Detroit coming up short on the fourth Thursday of November is like gravy, or daydrinking before you have to go over to your parent\u2019s place.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s the full rundown:<\/p>\n<p>Titans -3.5 (taken by 86.4 percent of players). Covered.<br \/>\nRavens -3.5 (75.6 percent). Covered.<br \/>\nVikings -3.5 (75.3 percent). Lost outright.<br \/>\nLions -7.5 (74.3 percent). Lost outright.<br \/>\nCowboys -10.5 (73.6 percent). Covered.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest edge on the board using the Unabated Pick\u2019em Edge Tool, was a huge number on the Rams with a 15.8 percent edge. The contest line was -0.5 while the Unabated Line \u2013 a vig-free consensus line combining information from the sharpest sportsbooks around \u2013 was -3. Essentially you were getting a three-point favorite at a pick\u2019em price.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the top 5 edges using the tool:<\/p>\n<p>Rams -0.5 (63.8 percent). Covered.<br \/>\nBills +3.5 (32.6 percent). Lost, but covered.<br \/>\nBears +3.5 (24.7 percent). Won outright.<br \/>\nCowboys -10.5 (73.6 percent). Covered<br \/>\nSaints +0.5 (73.6 percent). Lost, didn\u2019t cover.<\/p>\n<p>The edges lined up on a few underdogs in a week where favorites smashed. But the tool still pulled out a 4-1 week, versus 3-2 for the popular picks.<\/p>\n<p>It would have gone the other way, but the tool can thank the Bears for collecting four picks, only managing four field goals, and still somehow winning. (Not entirely convinced the NFL didn\u2019t sign some sort of marketing deal with the Iowa Hawkeyes this week to try to make offensively challenged football look normal.)<\/p>\n<p>That brings the top 5 popular picks to 32-28 on the season, while the Unabated pick\u2019em tool is 42-18, right around the .700 mark.<\/p>\n<h2>Next Week in Survivor Pools<\/h2>\n<p>The Survivor Optimizer has been big into fading the Cardinals, Bears, and Giants this year (and not without good reason). But the team it hasn\u2019t been fading with regularity? Your 1-10 Carolina Panthers.<\/p>\n<p>The Bucs are a -240 moneyline favorite at Circa Sports. That\u2019s not the biggest favorite on the board. Miami is -480 and the Cowboys are -375. If you have either team available, you\u2019d have quite a bit of implied win probability on your side.<\/p>\n<p>But if you don\u2019t, and you\u2019re not afraid of any kind of new coach bounce, Tampa Bay this week has a strong chance to win and preserves any of the heavy hitters you might have for future weeks.<\/p>\n<p>The Cowboys do face the Commanders in Week 18 and could be a great choice to close out your season.<\/p>\n<p>Keep mapping out that path forward with the Survivor Optimizer and get the pick\u2019em tool, too, from Unabated for just $25 per month.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Unabated team takes us through everything we saw in the NFL during Week 12 and how it impacted survivor and pick&#8217;em pools! <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":105233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[797,46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-105230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorial","category-nfl-football"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>This Week in Pools: NFL Week 12 Recap | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Unabated team takes us through everything we saw in the NFL during Week 12 and how it impacted survivor and pick&#039;em pools!\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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