{"id":107329,"date":"2023-12-27T08:44:33","date_gmt":"2023-12-27T08:44:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/12\/27\/bills-vs-patriots-prediction-picks-preview-nfl-week-17-2\/"},"modified":"2023-12-27T08:44:33","modified_gmt":"2023-12-27T08:44:33","slug":"bills-vs-patriots-prediction-picks-preview-nfl-week-17-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/12\/27\/bills-vs-patriots-prediction-picks-preview-nfl-week-17-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs. Patriots Prediction, Picks &amp; Preview | NFL Week 17"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13169-qid2227-syid7578-mid845944\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The Buffalo Bills (9-6) bring a three-game winning streak into a matchup against the New England Patriots (4-11) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at Highmark Stadium.<\/p>\n<p>The Bills rank 10th in total defense this year (310.2 yards allowed per game), but they&#8217;ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 374.1 total yards per game. The Patriots&#8217; offense has been bottom-five in total offense this season, posting 285.5 total yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. Defensively, they rank eighth with 306.1 total yards allowed per contest.<\/p>\n<h2>Bills vs. Patriots Picks<\/h2>\n<p>Splash Inc. users are divided on the Sunday NFL matchup between the Bills and the Patriots. Currently, 2.0% of users think the Patriots will win straight up as underdogs, while 51.3% of users think the Bills will cover as 12-point favorites.<\/p>\n<h2>Game Info: Bills vs. Patriots<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Sunday, December 31, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 1:00 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> CBS<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Orchard Park, New York<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Highmark Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Get your NFL contest started with <a href=\"https:\/\/t.sidekickopen24.com\/Ctc\/2M+23284\/d12hVd04\/JlF3pr4cW8wLKSR6lZ3nTW7NDwDx1-rb7rW32cDC1877k_0W4t344w2j7Bp5W45XzkG3Y4vXcW8mCH_w4y4GVcW45c6b68MMfKGW24bb6n9gf3P2W3q09Fh6jkpj3W53Zmkb510ntCW48S5hS9l0SXpW8lj-RM4tRJ7RW7h07Xx4R2_5xW58CfdJ3N_CPnN2WHLgTy-tgfW1Nw2K46nLrYtW4xC2Z18wsXmzW76MvSB3NVk7hW24mwdw83-HTFW1DXr_L5xhDZ3W22GfRr700CZbW7nJcpS6yTjd3W4wkF3V5qS1HjW6FBXNn11YmQrW36GKrD3xw2BXW3Zknvs7dqTS8W5XRFMC2wTr4YW4LFlTp4BthZHW75VbJ_7SqC8_f4LGtK004\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Splash Sports<\/a>, the leader in peer-to-peer real-money gaming. Play against your friends, not the house.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/t.sidekickopen24.com\/Ctc\/2M+23284\/d12hVd04\/JlF3pr4cW8wLKSR6lZ3kvW7L3zXV8dkQHpW2FGvb-748jBKN1d1_hrN2YVWW73Sx6b9cCSjgW4vfR644ywCkXW3Jmr3V4QH5cwVbLnyF5NL6r8W1Wz42V4VmRt_W7yR4Fz4W7vFRW5DfRxD6DF1BfW5bx5N97vHxsbW1gy5m68gBx35W38xzPF3pSdq3W1BVZkh50F2JgN7zvkkY6j8_gW2rjj3M10X7YdW4qYNHT28Tz-MW2FvHHx57FmLwW7h-j5Q3pkrSJW5Hp0qQ6d8x7gW34Tsg18yzqKxW12XnXP7jcyMnVy9qZJ1tsNq7W6Td2zB92VbHyW6Nd_0T73lXFGW67K8LS6nFmjqW6CcSnR45N4SnW6kT7jG6CkPYYf3c4bPd04\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/p>\n<p>If you are planning on making a wager on Buffalo-New England outing (in which Buffalo is a 12-point favorite and the total is set at 41 points), keep reading for some betting trends and insights for Sunday&#8217;s game.<\/p>\n<h2>Game Trends for Bills<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>The Bills&#8217; ATS record is 6-9-0 this season.<\/li>\n<li>The Bills have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 12 points or more this season (0-2).<\/li>\n<li>Bills games with a set total have hit the over five times this season (33.3%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Stats &amp; Insights for Bills<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>The Bills rank 10th in total defense this season (310.2 yards allowed per game), but they&#8217;ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 374.1 total yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>The Bills rank sixth in points scored this season (26.9 points per game), but they&#8217;ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 18.4 points allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>The Bills rank ninth in pass offense (243.7 passing yards per game) and ninth in pass defense (198.9 passing yards allowed per game) this season. <\/li>\n<li>The Bills are averaging 130.5 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them seventh in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 16th, allowing 111.3 rushing yards per contest. <\/li>\n<li>The Bills rank 16th in third-down defense this year (38.5% third-down percentage allowed), but they&#8217;ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with a 49.2% third-down percentage.<\/li>\n<li>The Bills rank 13th in yards per play allowed this year (5.4), but they&#8217;ve been thriving on offense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 5.9 yards per play.<\/li>\n<li>The Bills rank 15th in the NFL with an even turnover margin after forcing 24 turnovers (sixth in the NFL) and committing 24 (24th in the NFL).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Best Players for Bills<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Josh Allen: 3,778 PASS YDS \/ 251.9 YPG \/ 66.5% \/ 27 TD \/ 15 INT \/ 85 CAR \/ 413 RUSH YDS \/ 13 TD<\/li>\n<li>James Cook: 208 CAR \/ 1,038 YDS \/ 69.2 YPG \/ 2 TD \/ 40 REC \/ 433 YDS \/ 28.9 YPG \/ 4 TD<\/li>\n<li>Stefon Diggs: 96 REC \/ 1,070 YDS \/ 71.3 YPG \/ 8 TD<\/li>\n<li>Gabriel Davis: 43 REC \/ 725 YDS \/ 51.8 YPG \/ 7 TD<\/li>\n<li>Dalton Kincaid: 62 REC \/ 502 YDS \/ 35.9 YPG \/ 2 TD<\/li>\n<li>Terrel Bernard: 124 TKL \/ 7.0 TFL \/ 4.5 SACK \/ 3 INT \/ 5 PD<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Game Trends for Patriots<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>The Patriots are 4-11-0 against the spread this year.<\/li>\n<li>Six of the Patriots&#8217; 15 games with a set total have hit the over (40%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Stats &amp; Insights for Patriots<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>The Patriots have been struggling on offense, ranking fifth-worst with 285.5 total yards per game. They have been more productive on defense, allowing 306.1 total yards per contest (eighth-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>The Patriots have been struggling offensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 14.1 points per game. They have been more productive defensively, giving up 21.5 points per contest (16th-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>The Patriots are putting up 189.8 passing yards per contest on offense this season (24th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 221.3 passing yards per contest (15th-ranked) on defense.<\/li>\n<li>The Patriots have been thriving on run defense, surrendering only 84.8 rushing yards per game (second-best). Offensively, they rank 25th in the NFL by accumulating 95.7 rushing yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>The Patriots rank third-worst in third-down conversion rate (31.3%), but they&#8217;ve been more productive defensively, ranking eighth in the NFL with a 36.7% third-down rate allowed.<\/li>\n<li>While the Patriots&#8217; offense has been stuck in neutral in terms of yards per play, ranking fifth-worst at 5.0, their defense is third-best with just 5.0 yards surrendered per play.<\/li>\n<li>After forcing 16 turnovers (24th in NFL) and turning the ball over 23 times (22nd in NFL) this season, the Patriots sport the 26th-ranked turnover margin of -7.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Best Players for Patriots<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Bailey Zappe: 975 PASS YDS \/ 121.9 YPG \/ 63.5% \/ 6 TD \/ 4 INT<\/li>\n<li>Rhamondre Stevenson: 156 CAR \/ 619 YDS \/ 51.6 YPG \/ 4 TD \/ 38 REC \/ 238 YDS \/ 19.8 YPG \/ 0 TD<\/li>\n<li>Ezekiel Elliott: 157 CAR \/ 549 YDS \/ 36.6 YPG \/ 2 TD \/ 45 REC \/ 280 YDS \/ 18.7 YPG \/ 2 TD<\/li>\n<li>Demario Douglas: 44 REC \/ 517 YDS \/ 43.1 YPG \/ 0 TD<\/li>\n<li>Hunter Henry: 42 REC \/ 419 YDS \/ 32.2 YPG \/ 6 TD<\/li>\n<li>DeVante Parker: 31 REC \/ 373 YDS \/ 33.9 YPG \/ 0 TD<\/li>\n<li>Ja&#8217;Whaun Bentley: 97 TKL \/ 5.0 TFL \/ 4.0 SACK \/ 3 PD<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Buffalo Bills (9-6) bring a three-game winning streak into a matchup against the New England Patriots (4-11) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at Highmark Stadium. The Bills rank 10th in total defense this year (310.2 yards allowed per game), but they&#8217;ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":107330,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[619,983,8,1017,621,1018,208],"class_list":["post-107329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl-football","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-football","tag-men","tag-national-football-league","tag-new-england-patriots","tag-nfl-betting-preview","tag-professional"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bills vs. Patriots Prediction, Picks &amp; Preview | NFL Week 17 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/12\/27\/bills-vs-patriots-prediction-picks-preview-nfl-week-17-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bills vs. Patriots Prediction, Picks &amp; Preview | NFL Week 17 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Buffalo Bills (9-6) bring a three-game winning streak into a matchup against the New England Patriots (4-11) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at Highmark Stadium. 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