{"id":108275,"date":"2024-01-20T06:09:24","date_gmt":"2024-01-20T06:09:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2024\/01\/20\/buffalo-bills-vs-kansas-city-chiefs-prediction-picks-preview-afc-divisional-round\/"},"modified":"2024-01-20T06:09:24","modified_gmt":"2024-01-20T06:09:24","slug":"buffalo-bills-vs-kansas-city-chiefs-prediction-picks-preview-afc-divisional-round","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2024\/01\/20\/buffalo-bills-vs-kansas-city-chiefs-prediction-picks-preview-afc-divisional-round\/","title":{"rendered":"Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Picks &amp; Preview | AFC Divisional Round"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"5Bf1Ca7RSK\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The Buffalo Bills (11-6) and Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) square off in the AFC Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, January 21, 2024.<\/p>\n<p>On defense, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by surrendering just 18.3 points per game. They rank sixth on offense (26.5 points per game). The Chiefs&#8217; defense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank second-best in the NFL with 17.3 points surrendered per game. In terms of offense, they are generating 21.8 points per game, which ranks 15th.<\/p>\n<h2>Bills vs. Chiefs Picks<\/h2>\n<h2>Game Info: Bills vs. Chiefs<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Sunday, January 21, 2024<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 6:30 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> CBS<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Orchard Park, New York<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Highmark Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Get your NFL contest started with <a href=\"https:\/\/t.sidekickopen24.com\/Ctc\/2M+23284\/d12hVd04\/JlF3pr4cW8wLKSR6lZ3nTW7NDwDx1-rb7rW32cDC1877k_0W4t344w2j7Bp5W45XzkG3Y4vXcW8mCH_w4y4GVcW45c6b68MMfKGW24bb6n9gf3P2W3q09Fh6jkpj3W53Zmkb510ntCW48S5hS9l0SXpW8lj-RM4tRJ7RW7h07Xx4R2_5xW58CfdJ3N_CPnN2WHLgTy-tgfW1Nw2K46nLrYtW4xC2Z18wsXmzW76MvSB3NVk7hW24mwdw83-HTFW1DXr_L5xhDZ3W22GfRr700CZbW7nJcpS6yTjd3W4wkF3V5qS1HjW6FBXNn11YmQrW36GKrD3xw2BXW3Zknvs7dqTS8W5XRFMC2wTr4YW4LFlTp4BthZHW75VbJ_7SqC8_f4LGtK004\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Splash Sports<\/a>, the leader in peer-to-peer real-money gaming. Play against your friends, not the house.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/t.sidekickopen24.com\/Ctc\/2M+23284\/d12hVd04\/JlF3pr4cW8wLKSR6lZ3kvW7L3zXV8dkQHpW2FGvb-748jBKN1d1_hrN2YVWW73Sx6b9cCSjgW4vfR644ywCkXW3Jmr3V4QH5cwVbLnyF5NL6r8W1Wz42V4VmRt_W7yR4Fz4W7vFRW5DfRxD6DF1BfW5bx5N97vHxsbW1gy5m68gBx35W38xzPF3pSdq3W1BVZkh50F2JgN7zvkkY6j8_gW2rjj3M10X7YdW4qYNHT28Tz-MW2FvHHx57FmLwW7h-j5Q3pkrSJW5Hp0qQ6d8x7gW34Tsg18yzqKxW12XnXP7jcyMnVy9qZJ1tsNq7W6Td2zB92VbHyW6Nd_0T73lXFGW67K8LS6nFmjqW6CcSnR45N4SnW6kT7jG6CkPYYf3c4bPd04\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Before you wager on Sunday&#8217;s Buffalo-Kansas City spread (Buffalo -2.5) or over\/under (45.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.<\/p>\n<h2>Game Trends for Bills<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>The Bills put together a 7-10-0 record against the spread in the regular season, and their record in the playoffs is 1-0-0.<\/li>\n<li>The Bills have an ATS record of 6-8 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season (regular season and playoffs).<\/li>\n<li>During the regular season, six of the Bills&#8217; games went over the point total, and one of one in the playoffs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Stats &amp; Insights for Bills<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>On offense, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best in the NFL by compiling 374.5 yards per game. They rank ninth on defense (307.2 yards allowed per game). <\/li>\n<li>The Bills rank sixth in points scored this year (26.5 points per game), but they&#8217;ve been shining on defense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 18.3 points allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>The Bills rank eighth in pass offense (244.4 passing yards per game) and seventh in pass defense (196.6 passing yards allowed per game) this year. <\/li>\n<li>The Bills are putting up 130.1 rushing yards per game on offense (seventh in the NFL), and they rank 15th on defense with 110.6 rushing yards allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the NFL by putting up a 49.8% third-down conversion rate. They rank 18th on defense (38.6% third-down conversion rate allowed). <\/li>\n<li>This season, the Bills are gaining 5.8 yards per play (sixth in the league), while allowing 5.5 per play on the defensive side of the ball (12th in the NFL).<\/li>\n<li>With 30 forced turnovers (third in NFL) against 28 turnovers committed (23rd in NFL), the Bills&#8217; +2 turnover margin ranks 12th in the league.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Best Players for Bills<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Josh Allen: 4,306 PASS YDS \/ 253.3 YPG \/ 66.5% \/ 29 TD \/ 18 INT \/ 111 CAR \/ 524 RUSH YDS \/ 15 TD<\/li>\n<li>James Cook: 237 CAR \/ 1,122 YDS \/ 66 YPG \/ 2 TD \/ 44 REC \/ 445 YDS \/ 26.2 YPG \/ 4 TD<\/li>\n<li>Stefon Diggs: 107 REC \/ 1,183 YDS \/ 69.6 YPG \/ 8 TD<\/li>\n<li>Gabriel Davis: 45 REC \/ 746 YDS \/ 46.6 YPG \/ 7 TD<\/li>\n<li>Dalton Kincaid: 73 REC \/ 673 YDS \/ 42.1 YPG \/ 2 TD<\/li>\n<li>Terrel Bernard: 143 TKL \/ 10 TFL \/ 6.5 SACK \/ 3 INT \/ 5 PD<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Game Trends for Chiefs<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>The Chiefs compiled a 10-7-0 record against the spread during the regular season. They are 1-0-0 against the spread in the playoffs.<\/li>\n<li>The Chiefs have covered the spread when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs in their only opportunity in the regular season and playoffs.<\/li>\n<li>During the regular season, five Chiefs games went over the point total. Their games have topped the total in zero of one postseason opportunities.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Stats &amp; Insights for Chiefs<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>The Chiefs have been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, allowing just 289.8 total yards per game (second-best). Offensively, they rank ninth by racking up 351.3 total yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>The Chiefs have been keeping opposing offenses in check on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering just 17.3 points per contest (second-best). On offense, they rank 15th by racking up 21.8 points per game.<\/li>\n<li>The Chiefs rank sixth in the NFL with 246.4 passing yards per contest, but they&#8217;ve been led by their defense, which ranks fourth-best by giving up only 176.5 passing yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>The Chiefs are putting up 104.9 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (19th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 113.2 rushing yards per contest (17th-ranked) on defense.<\/li>\n<li>The Chiefs are putting up a 43.6% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (sixth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering a 37.1% third-down rate (10th-ranked) on defense.<\/li>\n<li>The Chiefs have been dominant on defense in terms of yards per play, giving up only 5 (fourth-best). On offense, they rank 11th in the NFL by piling up 5.7 yards per play.<\/li>\n<li>The Chiefs have forced 17 turnovers this season and have turned it over 28 times, resulting in a -11 turnover margin that is fifth-worst in the NFL.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Best Players for Chiefs<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Patrick Mahomes II: 4,183 PASS YDS \/ 261.4 YPG \/ 67.2% \/ 27 TD \/ 14 INT \/ 75 CAR \/ 389 RUSH YDS \/ 0 TD<\/li>\n<li>Isiah Pacheco: 205 CAR \/ 935 YDS \/ 66.8 YPG \/ 7 TD \/ 44 REC \/ 244 YDS \/ 17.4 YPG \/ 2 TD<\/li>\n<li>Travis Kelce: 93 REC \/ 984 YDS \/ 65.6 YPG \/ 5 TD<\/li>\n<li>Rashee Rice: 79 REC \/ 938 YDS \/ 58.6 YPG \/ 7 TD<\/li>\n<li>Justin Watson: 27 REC \/ 460 YDS \/ 30.7 YPG \/ 3 TD<\/li>\n<li>Justin Reid: 95 TKL \/ 5 TFL \/ 3 SACK \/ 1 INT \/ 7 PD<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Buffalo Bills (11-6) and Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) square off in the AFC Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, January 21, 2024. On defense, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by surrendering just 18.3 points per game. They rank sixth on offense (26.5 points per game). [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":108277,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[619,983,644,8,1017,1018,208],"class_list":["post-108275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl-football","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-football","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-men","tag-national-football-league","tag-nfl-betting-preview","tag-professional"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Picks &amp; Preview | AFC Divisional Round | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2024\/01\/20\/buffalo-bills-vs-kansas-city-chiefs-prediction-picks-preview-afc-divisional-round\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Picks &amp; Preview | AFC Divisional Round | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Buffalo Bills (11-6) and Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) square off in the AFC Divisional round of the NFL Playoffs at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, January 21, 2024. 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On defense, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by surrendering just 18.3 points per game. They rank sixth on offense (26.5 points per game). 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