{"id":44620,"date":"2022-11-14T21:33:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-14T21:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/?p=44620"},"modified":"2022-11-14T21:42:00","modified_gmt":"2022-11-14T21:42:00","slug":"week-12-cfb-chaos-lurks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2022\/11\/14\/week-12-cfb-chaos-lurks\/","title":{"rendered":"Week 12 CFB: Chaos Lurks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>By Alex Lauzon from the \u201c<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/podfollow.com\/the-course-of-life\/view\"><em>Course of Life<\/em><\/a><em>\u201d podcast<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Week 12 has arrived and chaos is very much in play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>UP FOR DEBATE<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Last Saturday showed us that the chaos scenarios for this year\u2019s playoff are in play, which personally has me salivating. Everyone in the CFP top 10 held serve with the exception of Oregon, who was handed their second loss and were all but eliminated from playoff contention. Look out for USC sneaking in the side door as well! TCU was tested but held on in Austin, and they are officially so underqualified that we are all waiting on to lose\u2026but will they? LSU could get its shot at Georgia and the playoff in Atlanta, but can they take care of business in front of them? Is Tennessee completely screwed here if TCU wins out? It\u2019s time to draft up your crazy equation of potential playoff scenarios. The tilting game that will fracture the top 4 undoubtedly is OSU\/Michigan which could yield one playoff spot, while the rest are reserved for Georgia, TCU, and\u2026who else? Let the debate run wild.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On my card, it was clear that dogs were the way to go. Could this be a foreshadowing of some more underdogs outperforming themselves on big stages, especially with the CFP chaos factor looming? I love a good spoiler narrative if we can get one. The carnage possibilities are out there on the week 12 schedule, let\u2019s figure out where our money is going.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>TUNE-IN GAME OF THE WEEK<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This week\u2019s headlining act is out west to a familiar rivalry in college football that seems to be rejuvenated &#8211; USC vs UCLA. The Crosstown Cup and Victory Bell are on the line as these two Los Angeles area schools collide. UCLA (+2.5) is at home at the Rose Bowl and has an opportunity to play spoiler to the 9-1 Trojans, who still have a reasonable path to the college football playoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"804\" src=\"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Colorado_USC_Football_22316243813101-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-44623\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog-assets.runyourpool.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/14213241\/Colorado_USC_Football_22316243813101-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/blog-assets.runyourpool.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/14213241\/Colorado_USC_Football_22316243813101-1-300x236.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blog-assets.runyourpool.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/14213241\/Colorado_USC_Football_22316243813101-1-768x603.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">AP Photo\/John McCoy<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>THE NIGHTCAP GET-IT-BACK GAME<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s mid-November and we&#8217;re up late trying to find late-night plays\u2026there\u2019s nothing better. This week it\u2019s out west where we have a 10:30 pm ET clash of a couple of ranked PAC 12 teams in Oregon (-3) hosting Utah. Admittedly both of these teams probably have one more loss than they would like on their schedule, but there\u2019s still a lot to play for in the conference, and you just never know what might happen at the top of the rankings. This should be a high-flying nightcap by all accounts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WEIRD VIBE FADE OF THE WEEK<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The TCU train rolls on to the next stop. I seem to be testing fate each week with this vibe fade, but now we\u2019re invested to the point where we can\u2019t look back. Another trap game comes their way as the Horned Frogs are -3 on the road at Baylor. I\u2019m already anticipating a tidal wave of public money on Baylor, so you know we continue to zig on TCU and fade the public sentiment while they zag.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>WEEK 11 RECAP \u2013 MORE OF THE SAME\u2026<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Well\u2026yet another 2-3 week against the spread. Both underdogs covered (Arkansas and TCU), but the Georgia <em>Under<\/em> did let us down and dropped to 7-3 individually. Bama didn\u2019t heat up like I thought they would, and Oregon blew their chance yet again. Sigh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Week Eleven: 2-3 ATS, Season Overall: 29-31 ATS<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EARLY WEEK 12 PLAYS FOR ALEX<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>(Wanna start a Pick-X CFB pool with your friends? Learn more <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/College-Football-Pickem-Pools.cfm\"><em>here<\/em><\/a><em>!)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I\u2019ve been leaning so hard into betting on TCU while the public desperately awaits their downfall. I\u2019m staying at the table with the Horned Frogs for one more week &#8211; <strong>Give me TCU -2.5.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kansas State and West Virginia both have the offenses to go back and forth, and I think this is a classic \u201c7 on 7\u201d Big 12 duel that goes <strong>over 55 points.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here\u2019s a weird line to say in mid-November &#8211; \u201cGive me Rutgers\u201d. Penn State likely wins but not by 3 touchdowns are more. <strong>The play is Rutgers +20.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I think USC plays tight to start out in their rivalry game at the Rose Bowl, knowing what\u2019s at stake. Regardless of the spread, this game goes<strong> Under 75 points.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We got Arkansas\u2019s best effort when they covered vs LSU but came up short. It\u2019s a natural letdown spot so I like <strong>Ole Miss -2.5 <\/strong>to roll through Fayetteville.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here are some other diamonds I\u2019m leaning on early this week:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">South Carolina +21.5, Texas\/Kansas Under 64.5<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>Would you believe it? Bowl Season is dangerously approaching. If the regular season isn\u2019t enough and you need a CFB Bowl fix, our <\/em><\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/pools\/start\/format?categoryId=6\"><strong><em>Bowl Pick&#8217;em Pools<\/em><\/strong><\/a><strong><em> JUST went live. Rejoice!<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>EATS AND DEETS<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The teleport game: If it\u2019s not to the Rose Bowl you\u2019re crazy. Give me that SoCal sunshine and LA vibes for a renewed rivalry.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Goofiest line: Washington -31 vs Colorado. Yikes!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Simultaneous screen count: It\u2019s time to bust out every screen you have &#8211; these next 3 Saturdays determine EVERYTHING.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tailgate pick of the week: Since it\u2019s all Turkey next week, let\u2019s go red meat with some BBQ Ribs.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The door is wide open for the Horned Frogs or the Trojans to sneak into the CFP, but who deserves it?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":44625,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[797,47],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorial","category-ncaa-college-football"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin 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