{"id":70762,"date":"2023-03-08T02:44:24","date_gmt":"2023-03-08T02:44:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/?p=70762"},"modified":"2023-03-08T02:44:26","modified_gmt":"2023-03-08T02:44:26","slug":"can-ucla-win-the-national-championship","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/03\/08\/can-ucla-win-the-national-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Can UCLA Win the National Championship?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since falling in back-to-back games at Arizona and at USC in late January, the Bruins executed a perfect February and are well on their way to a high seed and preferential treatment in the tournament. Their roster still holds some of the same names who took the program to the Final Four in 2021, though UCLA will enter this March as one of the favorites to reach the final weekend and win the national championship.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mick Cronin has his team playing some of the best defense in the nation and has already comfortably locked up the Pac-12 regular season crown. The only trophies that remain are the Pac-12 Tournament title and the natty, which would be the program\u2019s first in nearly 30 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Last National Championship:<\/strong> 1995<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Last Final Four:<\/strong> 2021<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>2023 Title Odds: <\/strong>+1000 (as of March 4, 2023)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Why UCLA Will Make a Run<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">UCLA is second in adjusted defensive efficiency in<a href=\"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/index.php\"> KenPom<\/a> and<a href=\"https:\/\/barttorvik.com\/\"> T-Rank<\/a>, and the Bruins are<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/team\/146\"> sixth in the nation<\/a> in opponent points per game (59.7). Six of the team\u2019s players have<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/schools\/ucla\/men\/2023.html\"> defensive win share ratings<\/a> of 1.4 or better. This is one of the best defensive teams in the country \u2013 good luck to UCLA\u2019s opponents finding mismatches with the ridiculous talent Cronin has to work with on that end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I think UCLA is the best team in the country and people still are underrating them because they play on the west coast. This team is deep, plays defense, and experienced.<br><br>All the things you want in the tournament.<\/p>&mdash; Adam Rosenberg (@HeyRosenberg) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HeyRosenberg\/status\/1631508268672491521?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 3, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bruins also take really good care of the basketball. As a team, they average the fewest turnovers per game in the Pac-12, and you won\u2019t find many steadier hands in college basketball than Tyger Campbell\u2019s. UCLA\u2019s prowess defensively and excellent ball management offensively means it generally gets to control the pace of the game \u2013 the Bruins are well-equipped to outlast opponents slowly and methodically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Why UCLA Will Exit Early<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bruins heavily focus their offense inside the arc. They\u2019ve attempted the 12th-most two-point shots in the country and taken the 330th-most three-pointers, too. This makes plenty of sense considering the team\u2019s roster and preferred style, but it could become a problem in a single-elimination tournament. It\u2019s common for teams that go on long runs in March Madness to shoot well from deep. The Bruins connect at an average rate from three, but if an opponent is able to neutralize or mitigate what they do inside, can UCLA make enough triples to survive and advance?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For as sure-handed as Campbell is, he also isn\u2019t the most efficient offensive player. He averages the second-most field goal attempts per game on the team but only shoots 38.7 percent from the field, a steep decline compared to nearly all of his teammates. If the ball sticks in his hands too much and he isn\u2019t on fire, the Bruins could struggle to score. But if he is on fire like he has been lately, then it\u2019ll be the opposite of a problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">?????. ????????. ??<br><br>Through the last three games, he has averaged 16.7 points and 4.0 assists per contest \u2026 shooting 50.0 percent from 3-point distance (6-for-12).<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/GoBruins?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#GoBruins<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JNLjAbo0Ml\">pic.twitter.com\/JNLjAbo0Ml<\/a><\/p>&mdash; UCLA Men\u2019s Basketball (@UCLAMBB) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/UCLAMBB\/status\/1631802538126381056?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 3, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What It\u2019ll Take to Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">First, UCLA will have to do its thing on defense. That is this team\u2019s biggest strength, and it needs to play to it (and it surely will, this is Mick Cronin we\u2019re talking about). But that won\u2019t be enough. The Bruins will need similar performances from Campbell and<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=AhWDyYzRXZo\"> Jaime Jaquez<\/a> as they got from them during the shock Final Four run two seasons ago. Those two players, among others, hit big shot after big shot through contests and from tough spots on the floor game in and game out. More than most teams, UCLA loves the mid-range jumper \u2013 it\u2019s a very difficult shot to defend, but it\u2019s also one of the least efficient ones available. Those will have to fall at a consistent clip for the Bruins to celebrate with confetti in April.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bruins are a deep, senior-led team. Can they make a run in this year&#8217;s NCAA Tournament? Find out with our analysis.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":70763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[797,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-70762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorial","category-ncaa-mens-basketball"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Can UCLA Win the National Championship? | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Bruins are a deep, senior-led team. Can they make a run in this year&#039;s NCAA Tournament? 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