{"id":71133,"date":"2023-03-09T21:15:27","date_gmt":"2023-03-09T21:15:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/?p=71133"},"modified":"2023-03-09T21:15:30","modified_gmt":"2023-03-09T21:15:30","slug":"can-creighton-win-the-national-championship","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/03\/09\/can-creighton-win-the-national-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Creighton Win the National Championship?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By mid-December, Creighton was suffering through six-straight defeats. On Jan. 11, the preseason No. 9 team was 9-8. Now in March, the Bluejays are comfortably above .500, third in the Big East, and aiming to win their first-ever national championship.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It took them a while, but the Bluejays came together much better in the back half of the campaign. They have one of the nation\u2019s best big men in Ryan Kalkbrenner and a healthy helping of scoring options to overwhelm opposing defenses. Xavier, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=-nux6wwPpTw&amp;ab_channel=MatthewLovesBall\">UConn<\/a>, Arkansas, and Providence have all learned this the hard way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Last National Championship:<\/strong> None<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Last Final Four:<\/strong> None<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>2023 Title Odds: <\/strong>+3500 (as of March 6, 2023)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Why Creighton Will Make a Run<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Opponents shouldn\u2019t expect many second-chance opportunities against the Bluejays. This is one of the top defensive rebounding teams in the nation, averaging nearly 29 defensive boards every game. Creighton is a good rebounding team overall, but it especially excels at boxing out on the defensive end. If a team is having a below-par shooting night against Creighton, it probably won\u2019t be able to rely on second-chance points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Creighton excels on the defensive side in general. Its five starters have all contributed at least 1.5 defensive wins shares this season. The Bluejays don\u2019t generate a ton of steals or block an abnormal number of shots, but they stay in front of the ball, rotate well, and box out after the shot goes up. This team also plays very clean defense \u2013 Creighton has committed the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/team\/286\"> third-fewest personal fouls per game<\/a> in the nation. Its efforts have Creighton in the top 15 for adjusted defensive efficiency in<a href=\"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/index.php?s=RankAdjOE\"> KenPom<\/a> and<a href=\"https:\/\/barttorvik.com\/?&amp;begin=20221101&amp;end=20230501&amp;conlimit=All&amp;year=2023&amp;top=0&amp;quad=5&amp;rpi=\"> T-Rank<\/a>. Also, Kalkbrenner is a special defender.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Defense so nice, he\u2019s won it twice ?<br><br>Your back to back <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BIGEASTMBB?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@BIGEASTMBB<\/a> DPOY <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RyanKalkbrenner?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@RyanKalkbrenner<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/GoJays?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#GoJays<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/kNrB4QoMmj\">pic.twitter.com\/kNrB4QoMmj<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Creighton Men\u2019s Basketball (@BluejayMBB) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BluejayMBB\/status\/1632846975149174787?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 6, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Why Creighton Will Exit Early<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This isn\u2019t a very deep team. Creighton\u2019s bench averages just 11.84 points per game, the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/team\/1284\/p7\"> 13th-fewest among Division I substitutes<\/a>. This is one of the least foul-prone teams in college basketball, but a sloppier night or bad whistle that causes foul trouble would be problematic for Creighton. It\u2019s paramount that its starters keep fouling to a minimum. Fatigue can also become an issue, particularly when players are asked to play twice in three days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Because Creighton plays a less aggressive style of defense, it gives up a ton of shots, especially inside the arc. Creighton\u2019s opponents have attempted an average of 62.6 field goals per contest and 44.2 shots from the two-point range each game. It usually works out for the Bluejays \u2013 they force their opponents into tough, contested shots that they\u2019re likely to miss, then get the rebound. But if Creighton runs into a team that\u2019s shooting well even through those closeouts and difficult angles, then the number of shots it lets up could be cause for tournament expulsion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What It\u2019ll Take to Win<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With a team this thin, you have to have a lot of scorers among your starters, and Creighton does. All five of them have double-digit scoring averages and can put points on the board in a variety of ways. For Creighton to win the national championship, most of these guys will have to step up in every single game. If even just two of the Bluejays\u2019 starters go missing for a night, then scoring enough to keep up would be very difficult. Not everyone has to put up 20, but total duds could be deadly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bluejays are one of the Big East\u2019s better three-point shooting teams at 35.8 percent. It\u2019s nothing amazing, but it\u2019s among the top third of Division I. For Creighton to win the national championship, it will have to stretch the floor with its triples to open up space for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=WfXUE3U1vwM&amp;ab_channel=TremendousUpside\">Kalkbrenner<\/a> to do his thing inside. Kalkbrenner is one of the most efficient players in college basketball, shooting a Big East-best 70.4 percent from the field. If he has more room to operate, everything will be better for the Bluejays.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As one of the best defensive-rebounding teams in the nation, the Creighton Bluejays have the makings of a tournament team.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":71134,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[797,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-71133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorial","category-ncaa-mens-basketball"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Can Creighton Win the National Championship? | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As one of the best defensive-rebounding teams in the nation, the Creighton Bluejays have the makings of a tournament team.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/03\/09\/can-creighton-win-the-national-championship\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Can Creighton Win the National Championship? 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