{"id":72318,"date":"2023-03-15T16:01:38","date_gmt":"2023-03-15T16:01:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/?p=72318"},"modified":"2023-03-15T16:01:39","modified_gmt":"2023-03-15T16:01:39","slug":"ncaa-tournament-east-regional-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/03\/15\/ncaa-tournament-east-regional-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"NCAA Tournament East Regional Preview: Can Zach Edey Take Purdue to the Final Four?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This East Regional appears to be more open than others in this tournament (though who really knows with this thing) \u2013 Purdue and Marquette have nearly-even odds to reach the Final Four, while a couple of blue bloods in Duke and Kentucky are lurking around the corner. One of the nation\u2019s premier defensive teams in Tennessee is here, plus don\u2019t forget about one of the Big 12\u2019s best, Kansas State. This should be an entertaining region for neutrals and an excruciating one for partisans, minus fans of the one lucky survivor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Odds-On Favorite:<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/03\/08\/can-purdue-win-the-national-championship\/\"> 1 Purdue<\/a> (+320)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Other Favorites:<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/03\/09\/can-marquette-win-the-national-championship\/\"> 2 Marquette<\/a> (+370),<a href=\"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/03\/09\/can-tennessee-win-the-national-championship\/\"> 4 Tennessee<\/a> (+600)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The Challengers:<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/03\/10\/can-duke-win-the-national-championship\/\"> 5 Duke<\/a> (+750),<a href=\"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/03\/09\/can-kentucky-win-the-national-championship\/\"> 6 Kentucky<\/a> (+850),<a href=\"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/03\/12\/can-kansas-state-win-the-national-championship\/\"> 3 Kansas State<\/a> (+1100)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Case for the Favorites<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>1 Purdue<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zach Edey is the truth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The best player in the regular season, Edey is a machine that cannot be stopped. Nobody has managed to hold him to a single-digit scoring output yet this campaign, and he\u2019s<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/players\/zach-edey-1\/gamelog\/2023\"> registered double-doubles<\/a> in more than 78 percent of the games he\u2019s played in. He gets to the line effectively, he\u2019s a behemoth on the defensive end, and he\u2019s a good passer. Edey<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/seasons\/men\/2023-leaders.html\"> tops the country<\/a> in player efficiency rating (40.3), offensive win shares (6.1), and overall win shares (8.5). In case you didn\u2019t know, that\u2019s absolutely ridiculous. This guy is something else, all 7-foot-4 of him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0FKV0TzLIYI\" title=\"YouTube video player\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In large part because of Edey, Purdue dominates on the boards and is very efficient from inside the arc. But the Boilermakers aren\u2019t all their big man. This team rarely turns the ball over \u2013 a crucial component to any March Madness run \u2013 and barely allows opponents opportunities at the free-throw line. Purdue smothers you offensive and defensively, both with Edey but as a team, too; freshmen guards Fletcher Loyer and Braden Smith are wise beyond their years and run a tight ship on Purdue\u2019s perimeter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>2 Marquette<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marquette boasts one of the deadliest offenses in college basketball. It ranks in the top-15 nationally in<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/team\/148\"> field-goal percentage<\/a> (48.74) and gets up tons of shots \u2013 that\u2019s a big part of why the Golden Eagles average nearly 80 points per contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"und\" dir=\"ltr\">BIG ? ?\ufe0f ? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tT0DRj12m0\">pic.twitter.com\/tT0DRj12m0<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Marquette University (@MarquetteU) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MarquetteU\/status\/1634748538298183682?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 12, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two other causes for Marquette\u2019s scoring are assists and steals. This is one of the best teams in the country at sharing the ball, and that begins with Tyler Kolek.<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/individual\/140\"> Currently second in Division I<\/a> in assists per game (7.9), the junior guard is one of the nation\u2019s premier passers. His orchestration of Shaka Smart\u2019s offense is a big reason why the Golden Eagles are a serious Final Four threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marquette doesn\u2019t play at a crazy tempo, but it does love to get into passing lanes, force steals, and get out on the other end for easy baskets. The Golden Eagles score the second-most<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/team\/1285\"> fastbreak points<\/a> per game on average (16.35) and are top 10 in college basketball<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/team\/215\"> in steals per game<\/a> (9.5), too. If you\u2019re not careful with the ball, Marquette will make you pay dearly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>4 Tennessee<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Everything begins with defense in Knoxville. Tennessee is second in<a href=\"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/index.php?s=RankAdjDE\"> KenPom\u2019s<\/a> adjusted defensive efficiency metric, and for good reason. The Vols offer opponents<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/team\/149\"> the worst field-goal percentage<\/a> in the country (36.36), the worst<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/team\/518\"> three-point percentage<\/a> in the nation (25.5), and give up<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/basketball-men\/d1\/current\/team\/146\"> the third-fewest points<\/a> of anyone in Division I (57.5). Tennessee\u2019s opponents have crossed the 70-point mark just six times this season. This team even held<a href=\"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/03\/06\/can-alabama-win-the-national-championship\/\"> Alabama<\/a> to 59 in mid-February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tennessee is solid offensively but nothing great. However, it is excellent on the offensive glass, and that\u2019s an important way for this team to generate points. The Vols are second in the SEC in<a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/mens-college-basketball\/conferences\/statistics\/team\/_\/id\/23\/stat\/rebounds\/sort\/avgOffensiveRebounds\"> offensive rebounds per outing<\/a> (13.0), and it comes from a full team effort. There is not one player on this team that takes on the sole responsibility of rebounding \u2013 Tennessee does it as a team, which makes sense for a squad that defends so well as a unit, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">For the first time in nearly 16 weeks, Tennessee no longer has the highest rated defense in the country. That now belongs to UCLA. It&#39;s the longest run anyone has ever had at the top in KenPom&#39;s ratings system in his defensive category.<\/p>&mdash; RockyTopTalk (@RockyTopTalk) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RockyTopTalk\/status\/1634959132263591940?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 12, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Important to note: without Zakai Zeigler, who is out for the season with a torn ACL, Tennessee is<a href=\"https:\/\/www.knoxnews.com\/story\/sports\/college\/university-of-tennessee\/mens-basketball\/2023\/03\/10\/tennessee-basketball-missouri-zakai-zeigler-defense-march-madness\/69975705007\/\"> demonstrably worse<\/a> on both sides of the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Dark Horse to Monitor: 5 Duke<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s a tale as old as time. A young team full of highly-touted freshmen with a couple of veterans sprinkled in is given a top-10 preseason ranking. The team takes a while to put it together, fitting in a collection of pieces with huge expectations but little experience at the Division I level, and takes heat for it throughout the regular season. Then by the time March rolls around, the talent shines through, everything seems to come together, and the team is underseeded in the tournament because of its previous results. Then everyone else in its region has to face its wrath.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This Duke team fits that description perfectly. The Blue Devils struggled at times this season, going 4-4 during a stretch from mid-December well into January. Despite having three of the top-four ranked recruits from the Class of 2022 on the roster, it wasn\u2019t translating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Dariq Whitehead is playing great basketball down the stretch of the season. Shooting 50% FG\/43% 3PT, and grabbing 2 steals per game in the ACC Tourney. <br><br>Duke won the ACC Tournament and are a 5 seed in March Madness.<br><br>4 steals against UVA. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MRF16d8w16\">pic.twitter.com\/MRF16d8w16<\/a><\/p>&mdash; GREENLIGHT MEDIA (@atlgreenlight) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/atlgreenlight\/status\/1635410821525413890?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 13, 2023<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But it is now. Kyle Filipowski, who has been excellent for most of the season, has really turned it on since the final regular season game against North Carolina. In the ACC Tournament, he averaged nearly 20 points per game and recorded two double-doubles \u2013 he seems to be in unstoppable form at the most perfect time, as does his entire team, who have been doing more lately to chip in on the scoreboard and otherwise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Duke uses its length and athleticism to force opponents into bad and difficult shots, then uses that same length and athleticism to get the rebound. The Blue Devils are one of the nation\u2019s best on the glass, with Filipowski, Ryan Young, and Dereck Lively II as the main culprits. They also shoot it well from the free-throw line (77 percent). The ACC Tournament champs aren\u2019t your typical No. 5 seed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Cinderella Candidate: 9 FAU<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is probably the best team in the country that you\u2019ve never watched, and I don\u2019t blame you too much \u2013 FAU mostly wrecked everyone on its schedule, because it was a lot better than the majority of its opponents. But if you missed out on the Owls in the regular season, Dusty May\u2019s team might have something fun in store for you in the NCAA Tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">FAU is led by a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sports-reference.com\/cbb\/schools\/florida-atlantic\/men\/2023.html\"> group of sophomores<\/a> who all score, rebound, and defend at a high level: Johnell Davis (13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds per game), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=9pj9F2HBKE4&amp;ab_channel=Swish\">Alijah Martin<\/a> (13.2 points, 5.4 rebounds per game), Vlad Goldin (10.6 points, 6.4 rebounds per game), and Nick Boyd (9.1 points, 4.1 rebounds per game). This stable of sophomores represents what diamond-in-the-rough recruiting can do for a program.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Owls hit on most of the metrics I look for in a team to have a deep tournament run. They shoot efficiently (47.2 percent from the field, 37.2 percent from three), take good care of the ball (11.8 turnovers per contest), and rebound well (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/mens-college-basketball\/conferences\/statistics\/team\/_\/id\/11\/stat\/rebounds\/sort\/avgDefensiveRebounds\">first in C-USA<\/a> in defensive rebounds per outing). FAU is in the top 40 of<a href=\"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/index.php?s=RankAdjDE\"> KenPom\u2019s<\/a> adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency rankings, a testament to the balance this squad possesses. In March, it\u2019s important to not be too lopsided one way, or else you will be exploited. Plus, unlike most teams from mid-major and small-major conferences, FAU has size, with Goldin measuring in at 7-foot-1, which causes matchup issues against most opponents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Elite Eight Prediction: 1 Purdue vs 2 Marquette<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I don\u2019t want to go chalk, but I just can\u2019t pick against Edey. He\u2019s the best player in the country by a good margin. He can do it all, and the supporting cast around him is impressive, too. Purdue is one of the few teams in the country that ranks in the top 30 of<a href=\"https:\/\/kenpom.com\/index.php?s=RankAdjDE\"> KenPom\u2019s<\/a> adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency metrics, which is normally a good way to determine if a team is a serious title contender or not, and this balance makes it hard for me to pick against it. The Boilermakers seem to find new ways to fall on their face every March, and Duke and all of its talent appear to be peaking at the right time. But I simply cannot ignore all the advantages this Purdue team seems to have, so perhaps against my better judgment, I\u2019m going with the No. 1 seed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/IZgCIg5Mrqg\" title=\"YouTube video player\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marquette\u2019s offense is simply too much for anyone in the bottom half of the East Regional to handle. Kansas State has the best defense of the bunch, but if the Golden Eagles and Wildcats were to meet, I fear that KSU doesn\u2019t have enough inside to stop Marquette from feasting from within the arc. Plus, Kansas State\u2019s offense doesn\u2019t convince me \u2013 poor decisions seem to plague it at times, and that can hamper efficiency. Plus, Marquette showed serious defensive improvement in the Big East Tournament. Considering their current tear that dates back to mid-February, I\u2019m going with the Golden Eagles in the bottom half of this region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Final Four Representative: 1 Purdue<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Marquette\u2019s defense, free-throw shooting, and rebounding concern me, especially against an opponent like Purdue. The Golden Eagles don\u2019t excel in any of those categories, meaning they\u2019re heavily reliant on their ability to shoot and score from the field. Meanwhile, Purdue can hurt you in so many different ways, even when it doesn\u2019t have the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/vECDaD0-qn4\" title=\"YouTube video player\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Not that many teams do, but the Golden Eagles really don\u2019t have anyone to guard Edey. I\u2019d expect him to lock down the painted area on offense and defense, making it very difficult for Marquette to get much of anything going at the rim. The Golden Eagles also feast on steals and turning those into fastbreak points, but the Boilermakers have some of the most sure-handed guards around and have committed more than 12 turnovers in just eight games all season and haven\u2019t given the ball away more than 17 times in any single contest. This strikes me as an ideal matchup for the Boilermakers and one that gets them to their first Final Four since 1980.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In a region that includes Duke, the likely player of the year Zach Edey, and Big East champion Marquette, who will come out on top?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":72319,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[797,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-72318","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorial","category-ncaa-mens-basketball"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>NCAA Tournament East Regional Preview: Can Zach Edey Take Purdue to the Final Four? | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In a region that includes Duke, the likely player of the year Zach Edey, and Big East champion Marquette, who will come out on top?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/03\/15\/ncaa-tournament-east-regional-preview\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"NCAA Tournament East Regional Preview: Can Zach Edey Take Purdue to the Final Four? 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