{"id":74925,"date":"2023-04-07T13:36:20","date_gmt":"2023-04-07T13:36:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/?p=74925"},"modified":"2023-04-07T13:36:23","modified_gmt":"2023-04-07T13:36:23","slug":"aaron-rodgers-trades-that-dont-include-the-jets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/04\/07\/aaron-rodgers-trades-that-dont-include-the-jets\/","title":{"rendered":"Aaron Rodgers Trades That Don&#8217;t Include the Jets"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>How can Rodgers be traded elsewhere and where could he go?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Maybe<a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/player\/_\/id\/8439\/aaron-rodgers\"> Aaron Rodgers<\/a> to the New York Jets isn\u2019t a done deal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With a few weeks remaining until the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxsports.com\/stories\/nfl\/nfl-draft-2023-best-bets-for-the-top-quarterback-prospect-landing-spots\"> NFL Draft<\/a>, the star quarterback remains on the Green Bay Packers roster, despite declaring his \u2018intention\u2019 to play for the Jets. Perhaps the deal isn\u2019t as \u2018done\u2019 as we have been made to believe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To be very clear, Rodgers is NOT going back to Green Bay &#8212; that ship has sailed. That said, who else other than the Jets could Rodgers realistically be traded to and what is his true market value, right now? Let\u2019s set a few guidelines to frame the discussion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>1. The Packers Won\u2019t Trade Aaron Rodgers to an NFC Team<\/strong> <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">General Manager<a href=\"https:\/\/www.packers.com\/team\/front-office-roster\/brian-gutekunst\"> Brian Gutekunst<\/a> and the Green Bay Packers brass are smart. Smart people don\u2019t trade a future HoF quarterback to a conference rival. That said, Aaron Rodgers is not going to an NFC team. Why? Simply put, the Packers are not \u2018out of it\u2019 based on Rodgers&#8217;s departure.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Their running game is good, the defense is improving, and the return game was much improved in \u201822. Under Jordan Love, this is still a team that can compete for a playoff spot in the NFC in \u201823. But <em>no way<\/em> you put yourself in a position where he may have to face Rodgers in a playoff game unless it\u2019s the Super Bowl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This guideline eliminates the QB-needy Carolina Panthers, Atlanta Falcons, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, San Francisco 49ers, and others. With this in hand, we turn to what the Packers will require in return for Rodgers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>2. The Money Offered Must Be at Least What NYJ Agreed To<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rodgers\u2019 contract to be absorbed in 2023 is $59,515,000, with another $49,300,000 due in 2024. Rodgers will count<a href=\"https:\/\/www.packersnews.com\/story\/sports\/nfl\/packers\/2023\/03\/16\/packers-quarterback-aaron-rodgers-has-agreed-to-a-trade-to-new-york-jets-now-what-salary-cap\/70014013007\/#:~:text=The%20contract%20goes%20with%20him%20to%20the%20Jets.,can%20rework%20the%20deal%20to%20lower%20that%20cost.\"> $15.8 million<\/a> against the Jets\u2019 cap this year if they absorb the lot, but NYJ can rework the deal to lower that cost, according to Tom Silverstein of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The most logical rework may be a two-year deal that can be back-end-loaded based on Rodgers returning to his new team for the \u201824 &#8211; \u201825 NFL season. Rodgers could do this deal to help his new club out. The question is, will he? Either way, the draft compensation has to be right for the Packers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>3. The Packers Will Demand Two Second-Round Draft Picks ASAP<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At age 39, quarterback Aaron Rodgers is not worth a first-round pick. The most guaranteed compensation the Packers should hope to receive in a trade package is two second-rounders; they will want them sooner rather than later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That means two second-rounders in \u201823, ideally. Option B is a second-rounder this year and another guaranteed next. On the spreadsheet, that\u2019s about equivalent to mid-first round value overall, which would be a moral victory for Green Bay brass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As mentioned above, the Packers are not out of contention in \u201823, aka this is a re-load, not a rebuild. More firepower in the top two rounds this year and next will help accelerate that rebuild and heal the wounds of a Rodgers departure sooner for the Packers organization and fans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>4. The Packers Want a Proven Player Over a Conditional Pick<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The final element in the Rodgers trade equation is rumored to be a conditional pick that slides up based on Rodger\u2019s performance in \u201823 and\/or a \u201824 return. But I think, rather than a \u2018maybe\u2019 pick in \u201824 or \u201825, the Packers will want to acquire a proven player, right now.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So that\u2019s guideline #4: The Packers get a player that can start or be a key sub as part of the deal for Rodgers. Who that player is comes down to the Packers&#8217; trading partner and their own ability to carve suited personnel out of position groups that the Packers covet.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Apply all the guidelines and that leaves us with one burning question: Where could Aaron Rodgers actually be traded, and under what circumstances?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Which Teams Are in the Running For Aaron Rodgers?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sticking with a trade package that involves teams in the AFC that a) need a QB, b) have at least two second-rounders between this season and next, and c) have both the money to pay Rodgers and a relevant player to swap, we boil things down to a few candidates outside New Jersey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The AFC West seems pretty set. In the AFC East, the<a href=\"https:\/\/bleacherreport.com\/articles\/10070476-patriots-team-needs-to-fill-in-2023-nfl-draft\"> New England Patriots<\/a> jump out. The Pats can afford to trade the #46 overall, holding three 4th-rounders and three 6th-rounders in \u201823 to trade back up in the draft. The Pats also have a few players the Packers may want in return at DL, Edge, and on the O-Line. I don\u2019t see Mac Jones in GB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/Patriots_Bills_Football_23010660116693.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-74927\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog-assets.runyourpool.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/07133554\/Patriots_Bills_Football_23010660116693.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/blog-assets.runyourpool.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/07133554\/Patriots_Bills_Football_23010660116693-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blog-assets.runyourpool.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/07133554\/Patriots_Bills_Football_23010660116693-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">AP Photo\/Joshua Bessex<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the AFC South, the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rotoballer.com\/2023-nfl-draft-predictions-tennessee-titans-biggest-team-needs\/1146766\"> Tennessee Titans<\/a> look like an option. The Titans hold the #41 pick overall in the second round and are looking to move on from Ryan Tannehill. As part of the package and on a reduced contract, Tannehill would make an intriguing option as a veteran backup for Jordan Love to learn from.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the AFC North, the best possibility would seem to be the<a href=\"https:\/\/lastwordonsports.com\/nfl\/2023\/01\/27\/top-five-pittsburgh-steelers-team-needs-in-2023-off-season\/\"> Pittsburgh Steelers<\/a> (Rodgers to the Ravens ain\u2019t happening). The Steelers own both the #32 and #49 overall in the second round, which would be more than enough to secure Rodgers\u2019 services. The Steelers could also offer one of their young QBs in the trade, or dangle a safety, such as Damontae Kazee, or Tre Norwood<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Where Will Aaron Rodgers Be Traded To?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Probably the New York Jets. Why? Entering into franchise-altering deals is complex stuff; the lawyers and bean counters get involved early. Good faith still means something and the Packers and Jets have started a process. Odds are, they finish it.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Plus, the Jets have two second-rounders to play with this year. Whether Rodgers is \u2018intending\u2019 to play beyond &#8217;23 is probably the lynchpin to the deal. Manage some risk out of that, and the deal looks much sweeter for the Jets. That said, let\u2019s play devil\u2019s advocate and speculate where else Rodgers could realistically go.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on all the above, I like the Titans.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tennessee is a team that can compete in the playoffs now with a top QB in place. They have both the required picks and roster capital, and can yet make moves to absorb Rodgers\u2019 salary if he\u2019ll rework a deal. They also have Ryan Tannehill to throw into the mix, which solves a serious roster issue for Green Bay.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I could see a trade package featuring the Titan\u2019s #49 this year, a second next year, and Tannehill for Rodgers and a Green Bay fourth to sixth-rounder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If the New York Jets let this situation go on much longer, the Packers will start to look closely at other trade offers. Expect things to heat up as we get closer to the end of April; I think a deal will be done before Day 1 of the 2023 NFL Draft is over.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aaron Rodgers said he intends to play for the Jets, but it&#8217;s not a done deal yet. Could he end up somewhere else? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":74926,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[797,46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-74925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorial","category-nfl-football"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Aaron Rodgers Trades That Don&#039;t Include the Jets | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Aaron Rodgers said he intends to play for the Jets, but it&#039;s not a done deal yet. 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