{"id":80419,"date":"2023-08-29T22:33:49","date_gmt":"2023-08-29T22:33:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/08\/29\/baylor-bears-vs-texas-state-bobcats-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-1\/"},"modified":"2023-08-29T22:33:49","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T22:33:49","slug":"baylor-bears-vs-texas-state-bobcats-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/08\/29\/baylor-bears-vs-texas-state-bobcats-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-1\/","title":{"rendered":"<div>Baylor Bears vs. Texas State Bobcats Picks &#038; Preview | NCAAFB Week 1<\/div>"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13334-qid2323-syid8603-mid837682\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>On Saturday at 7:00 PM ET, the Texas State Bobcats will visit the Baylor Bears.<\/p>\n<p>The Bobcats are expected to lose by at least two TDs (currently +27.5) against the Bears (with an over\/under of 62.5 points).<\/p>\n<p>Create your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Pick&#8217;em Pool<\/a> with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and play for free!<br \/>\n<span style=\"color:#0034ce\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Game Info for Baylor vs. Texas State<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Saturday, September 2, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 7:00 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> ESPN+<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Waco, Texas<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> McLane Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<caption>Baylor vs Texas State Betting Information<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Spread<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Total<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Over Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Under Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Moneyline<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Moneyline<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Baylor<\/td>\n<td>-27.5<\/td>\n<td>-109<\/td>\n<td>-111<\/td>\n<td>62.5<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-5932<\/td>\n<td>+1620<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Baylor Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Baylor put together a 7-6-0 ATS record last year.<\/li>\n<li>Baylor was favored by 27.5 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in both.<\/li>\n<li>A total of nine Baylor games last season hit the over.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Baylor Stats &amp; Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Baylor racked up 5.9 more points per game (32.2) than Texas State surrendered (26.3) last season.<\/li>\n<li>Baylor was 7-2 against the spread and 6-3 overall in games when it scored more than 26.3 points last season.<\/li>\n<li>Baylor averaged 413.8 yards per game last season, 52.4 more yards than the 361.4 Texas State allowed per contest.<\/li>\n<li>When Baylor totaled more than 361.4 yards last season, the team was 6-2 against the spread and 5-3 overall.<\/li>\n<li>Last year Baylor averaged 182.4 yards per game on the ground, 65.9 more than Texas State allowed per contest (116.5).<\/li>\n<li>Baylor had a 7-2 ATS record and a 6-3 overall record when the team ran for more than 116.5 yards last season.<\/li>\n<li>Last year Baylor had 17 turnovers, three fewer than Texas State had takeaways (20).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Baylor&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Blake Shapen had a passing stat line last year of 2,790 yards with a 63.3% completion rate (233-for-368), 18 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, and an average of 214.6 yards per game. <\/li>\n<li>Last year Richard Reese took 198 carries for 972 yards (74.8 per game) and scored 14 touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Craig Williams put up 557 yards on 101 carries (42.8 yards per game), with four rushing touchdowns last year.<\/li>\n<li>Monaray Baldwin amassed 33 receptions for 565 yards and four touchdowns last year. He was targeted 53 times, and averaged 43.5 yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>Gavin Holmes also impressed receiving last season. He had 27 receptions for 521 yards and four touchdowns. He was targeted 39 times.<\/li>\n<li>Josh Cameron&#8217;s stat line last season: 386 receiving yards, 28 catches, on 45 targets.<\/li>\n<li>Garmon Randolph&#8217;s hard work last season put up a stat line of 4.5 sacks, six TFL and 37 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Dillon Doyle was a wrecking ball on the field, collecting 82 tackles and two interceptions last year.<\/li>\n<li>Last season Christian Morgan had a huge stat line of three interceptions, 45 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Texas State Betting Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Texas State compiled a 5-7-0 ATS record last year.<\/li>\n<li>Texas State did not cover the spread when an underdog by 27.5 points or more last season (in one opportunity).<\/li>\n<li>Last year, six Texas State games hit the over.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Texas State Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Texas State racked up 5.7 fewer points per game (21.1) than Baylor surrendered (26.8) last season.<\/li>\n<li>Texas State was 4-0 against the spread and 3-1 overall in games when it recorded more than 26.8 points last year.<\/li>\n<li>Texas State racked up 47.2 fewer yards per game (323.8) than Baylor gave up (371) per matchup last season.<\/li>\n<li>When Texas State churned out over 371 yards last season, the team was 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall.<\/li>\n<li>Last year Texas State piled up 103 rushing yards per game, 45.2 fewer than Baylor allowed per contest (148.2).<\/li>\n<li>Last season Texas State had a 1-1 ATS record and a 1-1 overall record in games the team rushed for more than 148.2 yards.<\/li>\n<li>Texas State had 17 giveaways last season, while Baylor had 19 takeaways.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Texas State&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Layne Hatcher completed 61.9% of his passes to throw for 2,654 yards and 19 touchdowns last season.<\/li>\n<li>Lincoln Pare averaged 63.3 rushing yards and scored five rushing touchdowns. Pare complemented his rushing performance with 2.4 receptions per game to average 19.1 receiving yards.<\/li>\n<li>Calvin Hill ran for one touchdown on 338 yards a year ago.<\/li>\n<li>Ashtyn Hawkins was targeted 6.1 times per game and collected 582 receiving yards and seven touchdowns over the course of 2022.<\/li>\n<li>Marcell Barbee averaged 24.9 receiving yards on 3.5 targets per game in 2022, scoring one touchdown.<\/li>\n<li>Charles Brown averaged 24.8 receiving yards per game on 3.4 targets per game a season ago.<\/li>\n<li>Nelson Mbanasor proved to be a strong defender last year, recording six sacks, six TFL and 25 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Tory Spears had an impressive defensive performance last season with 58 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception.<\/li>\n<li>Last year DeJordan Mask picked off three passes to go along with 23 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Saturday at 7:00 PM ET, the Texas State Bobcats will visit the Baylor Bears. The Bobcats are expected to lose by at least two TDs (currently +27.5) against the Bears (with an over\/under of 62.5 points). Create your Pick&#8217;em Pool with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":80420,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[122,1023,983,8,1022,1024,1038],"class_list":["post-80419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-college-football","tag-baylor-bears","tag-college","tag-football","tag-men","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafb-betting-preview","tag-texas-state-bobcats"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Baylor Bears vs. Texas State Bobcats Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 1 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/08\/29\/baylor-bears-vs-texas-state-bobcats-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Baylor Bears vs. Texas State Bobcats Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 1 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On Saturday at 7:00 PM ET, the Texas State Bobcats will visit the Baylor Bears. 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