{"id":86996,"date":"2023-09-25T07:32:09","date_gmt":"2023-09-25T07:32:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/09\/25\/umass-minutemen-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-5\/"},"modified":"2023-09-25T07:32:09","modified_gmt":"2023-09-25T07:32:09","slug":"umass-minutemen-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/09\/25\/umass-minutemen-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-5\/","title":{"rendered":"<div>UMass Minutemen vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks &#038; Preview | NCAAFB Week 5<\/div>"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13334-qid2323-syid8603-mid838161\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The UMass Minutemen (1-4) play on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium.<\/p>\n<p>The Minutemen are small favorites (-1) in their matchup versus the Red Wolves, with the over\/under being 55.5 points. (On the moneyline, the Minutemen are -114 and the Red Wolves are -106.)<\/p>\n<p>Create your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Pick&#8217;em Pool<\/a> with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and play for free!<br \/>\n<span style=\"color:#0034ce\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Game Info for UMass vs. Arkansas State<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Saturday, September 30, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 3:30 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> ESPN+<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Amherst, Massachusetts<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<caption>UMass vs Arkansas State Betting Information<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Spread<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Total<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Over Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Under Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Moneyline<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Moneyline<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>UMass<\/td>\n<td>-1<\/td>\n<td>-109<\/td>\n<td>-111<\/td>\n<td>55.5<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-114<\/td>\n<td>-106<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>UMass Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>UMass has covered the spread twice in five games this season.<\/li>\n<li>UMass has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 1 point or more this season (0-1).<\/li>\n<li>Four of UMass&#8217; five games with a set total have hit the over (80%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>UMass Stats &amp; Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Despite having a bottom-25 defense that ranks 23rd-worst in the FBS (419 yards allowed per game), UMass has played better offensively, ranking 73rd in the FBS offensively totaling 391 yards per game. <\/li>\n<li>UMass sports the 83rd-ranked scoring offense this year (26.2 points per game), and has been less effective on defense, ranking 11th-worst with 36.6 points allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>UMass is averaging 247 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 57th in the FBS. The defense ranks 63rd, giving up 220.4 passing yards per game. <\/li>\n<li>UMass has the 79th-ranked rushing offense this year (144 rushing yards per game), and has been worse defensively, ranking 16th-worst with 198.6 rushing yards allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>UMass is averaging a 35.5% third-down percentage offensively this year (106th in the FBS), and is allowing a 35.4% third-down percentage (41st) on defense.<\/li>\n<li>UMass has forced seven total turnovers (33rd in the FBS) this season and have turned it over eight times (105th in the FBS) for -1a turnover margin of -1, 82nd-ranked in college football.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>UMass&#8217; Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Carlos Davis has 886 pass yards for UMass, completing 61.4% of his passes and tossing six touchdowns and three interceptions this season.<\/li>\n<li>Kay&#8217;Ron Adams has racked up 463 yards on 97 carries while finding the end zone four times as a runner.<\/li>\n<li> Taisun Phommachanh has been handed the ball 25 times this year and racked up 130 yards (26 per game) with two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Anthony Simpson&#8217;s 393 yards as a receiver pace the team. He&#8217;s been targeted 33 times and has collected 19 receptions and two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>George Johnson has grabbed 15 passes while averaging 33.6 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.<\/li>\n<li>Mark Pope has been the target of 17 passes and racked up 10 receptions for 167 yards, an average of 33.4 yards per contest. He&#8217;s found the end zone one time through the air this season.<\/li>\n<li>Billy Wooden, the team&#8217;s tackle and sacks leader, has recorded four sacks, four TFL and 18 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Michael Oppong leads the team with one interception, while also collecting six tackles and one pass defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arkansas State Betting Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Arkansas State has covered the spread once in four games this year.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State is 1-2 against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this year.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State hase gone over in two of four games with a set total (50%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arkansas State Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Arkansas State&#8217;s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in total defense this season, ceding 447.8 total yards per game, which ranks 10th-worst. On offense, it ranks 103rd with 337 total yards per contest.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State has lots of room to improve, as it ranks 17th-worst in points per game (19.5) this season and eighth-worst in points allowed per game (38.5).<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State has been unproductive on both offense and defense in terms of passing this season, ranking 22nd-worst in passing yards (174.8 per game) and 18th-worst in passing yards allowed (274.3 per game).<\/li>\n<li>With 162.3 rushing yards per game on offense, Arkansas State ranks 60th in the FBS. On defense it ranks 107th, surrendering 173.5 rushing yards per contest.<\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State has been struggling on third down, ranking 22nd-worst with a 46.7% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. It has been better on offense, regstering a 35.2% third-down rate (108th-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>Arkansas State sports a bottom-25 turnover margin this season, 22nd-worst at -4. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arkansas State&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Ja&#8217;Quez Cross is his team&#8217;s leading rusher with 38 carries for 289 yards, or 72.3 per game. He&#8217;s found the end zone two times on the ground, as well.<\/li>\n<li>Courtney Jackson&#8217;s 199 receiving yards (49.8 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 10 catches on 15 targets with three touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Corey Rucker has eight receptions (on 23 targets) for a total of 123 yards (30.8 yards per game) this year.<\/li>\n<li>Jeff Foreman&#8217;s 13 targets have resulted in four receptions for 119 yards and one touchdown.<\/li>\n<li>Tim Hardiman has 1.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has two TFL and seven tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Melique Straker has 20 tackles and one interception, and leads the team in both tackles and interceptions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The UMass Minutemen (1-4) play on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. The Minutemen are small favorites (-1) in their matchup versus the Red Wolves, with the over\/under being 55.5 points. (On the moneyline, the Minutemen are -114 and the Red Wolves are -106.) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":86997,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[1061,1023,983,8,1022,1024,110],"class_list":["post-86996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-college-football","tag-arkansas-state-red-wolves","tag-college","tag-football","tag-men","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafb-betting-preview","tag-umass-minutemen"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>UMass Minutemen vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 5 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/09\/25\/umass-minutemen-vs-arkansas-state-red-wolves-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-5\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UMass Minutemen vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 5 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The UMass Minutemen (1-4) play on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. The Minutemen are small favorites (-1) in their matchup versus the Red Wolves, with the over\/under being 55.5 points. (On the moneyline, the Minutemen are -114 and the Red Wolves are -106.) 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