{"id":88456,"date":"2023-10-01T06:02:06","date_gmt":"2023-10-01T06:02:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/10\/01\/air-force-falcons-vs-san-diego-state-aztecs-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-5-3\/"},"modified":"2023-10-01T06:02:06","modified_gmt":"2023-10-01T06:02:06","slug":"air-force-falcons-vs-san-diego-state-aztecs-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-5-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/10\/01\/air-force-falcons-vs-san-diego-state-aztecs-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-5-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Air Force Falcons vs. San Diego State Aztecs Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 5"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13334-qid2323-syid8603-mid838216\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>A pair of the best offensive performers in college football will be featured when Emmanuel Michel and the Air Force Falcons (4-0) host Mark Redman and the San Diego State Aztecs (2-3) on Saturday, September 30, 2023.<\/p>\n<p>The Aztecs are expected to lose by at least two scores (currently +10.5) versus the Falcons (with an over\/under of 42.5 points).<\/p>\n<p>Create your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Pick&#8217;em Pool<\/a> with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and play for free!<br \/>\n<span style=\"color:#0034ce\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Game Info for Air Force vs. San Diego State<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Saturday, September 30, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 8:00 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> CBS Sports Network<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Colorado Springs, Colorado<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Falcon Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<caption>Air Force vs San Diego State Betting Information<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Spread<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Total<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Over Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Under Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Moneyline<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Moneyline<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Air Force<\/td>\n<td>-10.5<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>42.5<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-408<\/td>\n<td>+316<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Air Force Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Air Force is 2-0-0 against the spread this season.<\/li>\n<li>Two of Air Force&#8217;s two games with a set total have hit the over (100%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Air Force Stats &amp; Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Air Force ranks 66th in total offense this season (395.8 yards per game), but has been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the FBS with 395.8 yards allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>On defense, Air Force has been a top-25 unit, ranking 14th-best by giving up just 12.8 points per game. The offense ranks 39th (34.8 points per game). <\/li>\n<li>Air Force has struggled in the passing game, ranking third-worst in the FBS (55.3 passing yards per game) this season. However, the defense ranks 13th-best on defense, allowing only 161 passing yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>Air Force has been a tough opponent for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (best with 340.5 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (fourth-best with 62 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.<\/li>\n<li>Air Force has been making things happen on both sides of the ball on third down this year, owning the third-best mark in third-down conversion rate (58.8%) and 13th-best in third-down defense (27.9% third-down conversion rate allowed).<\/li>\n<li>With five forced turnovers (76th in the FBS) against two turnovers committed (third in the FBS), Air Force&#8217;s +3 turnover margin is the 23rd-best in college football.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Air Force&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Michel has 322 rushing yards on 73 carries with six touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Jared Roznos&#8217; 166 yards as a receiver lead the team. He&#8217;s been targeted five times and has totaled four receptions and one touchdown.<\/li>\n<li>Brandon Engel has caught one pass while averaging 7 yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>John Lee Eldridge III has been the target of one pass and compiled one catch for 14 yards, an average of 3.5 yards per contest.<\/li>\n<li>PJ Ramsey has 3.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has four TFL and five tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Alec Mock, Air Force&#8217;s tackle leader, has 19 tackles, one TFL, and two sacks this year.<\/li>\n<li>Trey Taylor has picked off a team-high one pass. He also has 15 tackles, two TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one pass defended to his name.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>San Diego State Betting Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>San Diego State has a 3-1-0 record against the spread this year.<\/li>\n<li>In games they have played as at least 10.5-point underdogs this year, the Aztecs are 1-1 against the spread.<\/li>\n<li>San Diego State has hit the over in one of four games with a set total (25%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>San Diego State Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>San Diego State&#8217;s defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, ceding 430.2 total yards per game, which ranks 13th-worst. On offense, it ranks 97th with 344.4 total yards per contest.<\/li>\n<li>With 21.2 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, San Diego State ranks 107th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 86th, surrendering 27.2 points per game.<\/li>\n<li>San Diego State has been struggling against the pass, ranking 25th-worst with 265.8 passing yards surrendered per game. It has been more productive on offense, regstering 195.2 passing yards per contest (101st-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>In terms of rushing, San Diego State ranks 73rd in the FBS on offense (149.2 rushing yards per game) and 101st defensively (164.4 rushing yards allowed per contest).<\/li>\n<li>San Diego State ranks 91st in the FBS with a 37.1% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 77th with a 40.3% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball.<\/li>\n<li>At 0, San Diego State has the 66th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 10 forced turnovers (seventh in the FBS) and 10 turnovers committed (121st in the FBS).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>San Diego State&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Jalen Mayden has been a dual threat for San Diego State this season. He has 944 passing yards (188.8 per game) while completing 62% of his passes. He&#8217;s tossed four touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. On the ground, he&#8217;s compiled 268 yards (53.6 ypg) on 57 carries with three rushing touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Jaylon Armstead has compiled 228 yards on 48 carries with four touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Redman leads his squad with 193 receiving yards on 16 receptions with two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Brionne Penny has 13 receptions (on 16 targets) for a total of 187 yards (37.4 yards per game) this year.<\/li>\n<li>Baylin Brooks&#8217; 10 receptions (on 17 targets) have netted him 177 yards (35.4 ypg) and one touchdown.<\/li>\n<li>Zyrus Fiaseu leads the team with two sacks, and also has four TFL and 18 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>San Diego State&#8217;s tackle leader, Cody Moon, has 19 tackles, one TFL, and one sack this year.<\/li>\n<li>Cedarious Barfield leads the team with three interceptions, while also putting up 12 tackles, one TFL, and four passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A pair of the best offensive performers in college football will be featured when Emmanuel Michel and the Air Force Falcons (4-0) host Mark Redman and the San Diego State Aztecs (2-3) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The Aztecs are expected to lose by at least two scores (currently +10.5) versus the Falcons (with an [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":88457,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[1064,1023,983,8,1022,1024,85],"class_list":["post-88456","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-college-football","tag-air-force-falcons","tag-college","tag-football","tag-men","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafb-betting-preview","tag-san-diego-state-aztecs"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Air Force Falcons vs. San Diego State Aztecs Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 5 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/10\/01\/air-force-falcons-vs-san-diego-state-aztecs-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-5-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Air Force Falcons vs. San Diego State Aztecs Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 5 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A pair of the best offensive performers in college football will be featured when Emmanuel Michel and the Air Force Falcons (4-0) host Mark Redman and the San Diego State Aztecs (2-3) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. 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