{"id":93371,"date":"2023-10-18T06:03:12","date_gmt":"2023-10-18T06:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/10\/18\/air-force-falcons-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-8\/"},"modified":"2023-10-18T06:03:12","modified_gmt":"2023-10-18T06:03:12","slug":"air-force-falcons-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/10\/18\/air-force-falcons-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-8\/","title":{"rendered":"Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 8"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13334-qid2323-syid8603-mid838482\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET, in a matchup featuring two star players in Emmanuel Michel and Alex Tecza.<\/p>\n<p>The Falcons are expected to win by at least two scores (currently -10.5) versus the Midshipmen. The over\/under for this matchup is 36.5 points.<\/p>\n<p>Create your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Pick&#8217;em Pool<\/a> with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and play for free!<br \/>\n<span style=\"color:#0034ce\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Game Info for Air Force vs. Navy<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Saturday, October 21, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 12:00 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> CBS<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Annapolis, Maryland<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<caption>Air Force vs Navy Betting Information<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Spread<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Total<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Over Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Under Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Moneyline<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Moneyline<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Air Force<\/td>\n<td>-10.5<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>36.5<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-110<\/td>\n<td>-398<\/td>\n<td>+306<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Air Force Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Air Force&#8217;s ATS record is 3-1-0 this season.<\/li>\n<li>Air Force has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 10.5 points or more this season.<\/li>\n<li>Each of Air Force&#8217;s four games with a set total have hit the over.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Air Force Stats &amp; Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Air Force ranks 55th in total offense this season (412.2 yards per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the FBS with 412.2 yards allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>Air Force has been clicking on all fronts this year, as they rank 17th-best in scoring offense (37 points per game) and ninth-best in scoring defense (14.7 points allowed per game). <\/li>\n<li>Air Force has struggled in the passing game, ranking worst in the FBS (78 passing yards per game) this season. However, the defense ranks sixth-best on the defensive side of the ball, giving up just 163 passing yards per game.<\/li>\n<li>Air Force has been firing on all cylinders in the running game this year, ranking best in rushing offense (334.2 rushing yards per game) and sixth-best in rushing defense (77 rushing yards allowed per game).<\/li>\n<li>On the offensive side of the ball, Air Force has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the FBS by putting up a 59.4% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 44th on defense (35.2% third-down percentage allowed). <\/li>\n<li>Air Force owns the 35th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing six turnovers (107th in the FBS) while turning it over four times (eighth in the FBS).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Air Force&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Michel has 497 rushing yards on 113 carries with eight touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Jared Roznos&#8217; 279 yards as a receiver pace the team. He&#8217;s been targeted 10 times and has collected nine catches and two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Cade Harris has hauled in two receptions totaling 82 yards, finding the end zone one time as a receiver so far this campaign.<\/li>\n<li>Brandon Engel&#8217;s two grabs are good enough for 46 yards.<\/li>\n<li>PJ Ramsey leads the team with 4.5 sacks, and also has five TFL and 10 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Alec Mock, Air Force&#8217;s tackle leader, has 34 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks this year.<\/li>\n<li>Trey Taylor leads the team with two interceptions, while also putting up 28 tackles, three TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Navy Betting Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Navy is 2-3-0 against the spread this year.<\/li>\n<li>When they have played as at least 10.5-point underdogs this year, the Midshipmen are 1-1 against the spread.<\/li>\n<li>In Navy&#8217;s five games with a set total, two have hit the over (40%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Navy Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Navy is posting 335 total yards per game on offense this season (106th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 375.3 total yards per game (70th-ranked).<\/li>\n<li>Navy has been sputtering on offense, ranking 17th-worst in the FBS with 20.3 points per game. It has been better on defense, surrendering 23 points per contest (49th-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>Navy&#8217;s passing game has been sputtering, ranking second-worst in the FBS with 99.3 passing yards per game. It has been better on defense, surrendering 226.8 passing yards per contest (72nd-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>Navy&#8217;s run offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks fifth-best in the FBS with 235.7 rushing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is surrendering 148.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 80th.<\/li>\n<li>Navy&#8217;s third-down offense has been bottom-25 this season, compiling a 31% third-down percentage, which ranks 13th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 27th with a 32.9% third-down rate ceded.<\/li>\n<li>Navy has a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking third-best at +9. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Navy&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Tai Lavatai leads Navy with 426 yards on 27-of-52 passing with three touchdowns compared to zero interceptions this season. He has chipped in with 163 rushing yards (27.2 ypg) on 53 carries while scoring two touchdowns on the ground.<\/li>\n<li>Tecza has rushed for 503 yards on 62 carries so far this year while scoring four times on the ground.<\/li>\n<li>Dabe Fofana has totaled 229 yards on 54 carries with one touchdown.<\/li>\n<li>Eli Heidenreich paces his team with 156 receiving yards on four catches with two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Brandon Chatman has put up a 146-yard season so far. He&#8217;s caught seven passes on 10 targets.<\/li>\n<li>Nathan Kent&#8217;s four catches (on nine targets) have netted him 77 yards (12.8 ypg) and one touchdown.<\/li>\n<li>Luke Pirris has three sacks to lead the team, and also has three TFL and 24 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Will Harbour is the team&#8217;s leading tackler this year. He&#8217;s amassed 46 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks.<\/li>\n<li>Rayuan Lane leads the team with three interceptions, while also collecting 29 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and five passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET, in a matchup featuring two star players in Emmanuel Michel and Alex Tecza. The Falcons are expected to win by at least two scores (currently -10.5) versus the Midshipmen. The over\/under for this matchup is 36.5 points. Create your [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":93372,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[1064,1023,983,8,1063,1022,1024],"class_list":["post-93371","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-college-football","tag-air-force-falcons","tag-college","tag-football","tag-men","tag-navy-midshipmen","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafb-betting-preview"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 8 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/10\/18\/air-force-falcons-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-8\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 8 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET, in a matchup featuring two star players in Emmanuel Michel and Alex Tecza. 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