{"id":95010,"date":"2023-10-22T06:01:23","date_gmt":"2023-10-22T06:01:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/articles.runyourpool.com\/2023\/10\/22\/air-force-falcons-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-8-3\/"},"modified":"2023-10-22T06:01:23","modified_gmt":"2023-10-22T06:01:23","slug":"air-force-falcons-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-8-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/10\/22\/air-force-falcons-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-8-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 8"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><span data-dsid-content=\"ct14-nid13334-qid2323-syid8603-mid838482\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Two outstanding rushers will be on display when Emmanuel Michel and the Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit Alex Tecza and the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday, October 21, 2023.<\/p>\n<p>The Midshipmen are expected to lose by at least two scores (currently +10.5) against the Falcons (with an over\/under of 34 points).<\/p>\n<p>Create your <a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Pick&#8217;em Pool<\/a> with the Internet\u2019s #1 pool creation and hosting platform. Get 15 friends together and play for free!<br \/>\n<span style=\"color:#0034ce\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.articles.runyourpool.com\/college-football-pickem-pools.cfm\">Start here &gt;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<h2>Game Info for Air Force vs. Navy<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Game Day:<\/strong> Saturday, October 21, 2023<\/li>\n<li><strong>Game Time:<\/strong> 12:00 PM ET<\/li>\n<li><strong>TV Channel:<\/strong> CBS<\/li>\n<li><strong>Location:<\/strong> Annapolis, Maryland<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stadium:<\/strong> Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<caption>Air Force vs Navy Betting Information<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Spread<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Spread Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Total<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Over Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Under Total Odds<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Favorite Moneyline<\/th>\n<th scope=\"col\">Underdog Moneyline<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Air Force<\/td>\n<td>-10.5<\/td>\n<td>-111<\/td>\n<td>-109<\/td>\n<td>34<\/td>\n<td>-113<\/td>\n<td>-107<\/td>\n<td>-439<\/td>\n<td>+333<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<h2>Air Force Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Air Force is 3-1-0 ATS this season.<\/li>\n<li>In games it has played as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, Air Force is 1-1 against the spread.<\/li>\n<li>Out of Air Force&#8217;s four games with a set total, all have hit the over.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Air Force Stats &amp; Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Air Force ranks 55th in total offense this season (412.2 yards per game), but has been playing really well on defense, ranking third-best in the FBS with 412.2 yards allowed per game.<\/li>\n<li>Air Force has been a handful for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (17th-best with 37 points per game) and scoring defense (10th-best with 14.7 points allowed per game) this season.<\/li>\n<li>Air Force has the sixth-best pass defense this season (163 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks worst on the offensive side of the ball (78 passing yards per game). <\/li>\n<li>Air Force has been finding success on both sides of the ball in the running game, ranking best in rushing offense (334.2 rushing yards per game) and sixth-best in rushing defense (77 rushing yards allowed per game). <\/li>\n<li>Offensively, Air Force has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the FBS by averaging a 59.4% third-down percentage. The defense ranks 45th on defense (35.2% third-down conversion rate allowed). <\/li>\n<li>With six forced turnovers (109th in the FBS) against four turnovers committed (eighth in the FBS), Air Force (+2) has the 36th-ranked turnover margin in college football.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Air Force&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Michel has carried the ball 113 times for a team-high 497 yards on the ground and has found the end zone eight times as a runner.<\/li>\n<li>Jared Roznos&#8217; team-high 279 yards as a receiver have come on nine catches (out of 10 targets) with two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Cade Harris has caught two passes for 82 yards (13.7 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.<\/li>\n<li>Brandon Engel has a total of 46 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in two throws.<\/li>\n<li>PJ Ramsey has 4.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has five TFL and 10 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Alec Mock is the team&#8217;s tackle leader this year. He&#8217;s picked up 34 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks.<\/li>\n<li>Trey Taylor has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 28 tackles, three TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Navy Betting Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Navy is 2-3-0 against the spread this season.<\/li>\n<li>When they have played as at least 10.5-point underdogs this season, the Midshipmen are 1-1 against the spread.<\/li>\n<li>In Navy&#8217;s five games with a set total, two have hit the over (40%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Navy Pick Insights<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Navy is compiling 335 total yards per game on offense this season (105th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 375.3 total yards per game (70th-ranked).<\/li>\n<li>Navy has not been getting things done offensively, ranking 17th-worst in the FBS with 20.3 points per game. It has been better defensively, allowing 23 points per contest (50th-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>Navy&#8217;s passing game has been struggling, ranking second-worst in the FBS with 99.3 passing yards per game. It has been more effective on defense, giving up 226.8 passing yards per contest (72nd-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>Navy&#8217;s run offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks fifth-best in the FBS with 235.7 rushing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is surrendering 148.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 79th.<\/li>\n<li>Navy&#8217;s offense has been sputtering on third down, ranking 14th-worst in the FBS with a 31% third-down conversion percentage. It has been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering a 32.9% third-down rate (28th-ranked). <\/li>\n<li>Navy has produced 12 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over three times, leading to a +9 turnover margin, which ranks third-best in the FBS.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Navy&#8217;s Best Players<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Tai Lavatai has compiled 426 yards on 51.9% passing while recording three touchdown passes with zero interceptions this season. He&#8217;s also run for 163 yards with two scores.<\/li>\n<li>The team&#8217;s top rusher, Tecza, has carried the ball 62 times for 503 yards (83.8 per game) with four touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Dabe Fofana has racked up 229 yards (on 54 carries) with one touchdown.<\/li>\n<li>Eli Heidenreich has totaled four catches this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 156 (26 yards per game). He&#8217;s been targeted nine times and has two touchdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Brandon Chatman has racked up 146 receiving yards (24.3 yards per game) on seven receptions.<\/li>\n<li>Nathan Kent has racked up 77 reciving yards (12.8 ypg) and one touchdown this season.<\/li>\n<li>Luke Pirris has collected three sacks to lead the team, while also recording three TFL and 24 tackles.<\/li>\n<li>Navy&#8217;s top-tackler, Will Harbour, has 46 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks this year.<\/li>\n<li>Rayuan Lane has a team-leading three interceptions to go along with 29 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and five passes defended.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two outstanding rushers will be on display when Emmanuel Michel and the Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit Alex Tecza and the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday, October 21, 2023. The Midshipmen are expected to lose by at least two scores (currently +10.5) against the Falcons (with an over\/under of 34 points). Create your Pick&#8217;em Pool [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":95011,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[1064,1023,983,8,1063,1022,1024],"class_list":["post-95010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaa-college-football","tag-air-force-falcons","tag-college","tag-football","tag-men","tag-navy-midshipmen","tag-ncaa-football","tag-ncaafb-betting-preview"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 8 | The Poolside Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.runyourpool.com\/articles\/2023\/10\/22\/air-force-falcons-vs-navy-midshipmen-picks-preview-ncaafb-week-8-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Air Force Falcons vs. Navy Midshipmen Picks &amp; Preview | NCAAFB Week 8 | The Poolside Post\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Two outstanding rushers will be on display when Emmanuel Michel and the Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit Alex Tecza and the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday, October 21, 2023. 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