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The Buffalo Bills (12-3) head into a matchup against the New England Patriots (8-8) on Sunday, January 8, 2023 at Highmark Stadium on a six-game winning streak.
The Bills have been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both total offense (second-best with 402.3 yards per game) and total defense (fifth-best with 317.7 yards allowed per game) this season. In terms of total offense, the Patriots rank 26th in the NFL (312.9 total yards per game) and eighth on the other side of the ball (321.7 total yards allowed per game).
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Bills vs. Patriots Picks
The Bills are expected by BetterPool users to both win straight up and cover the spread against the Patriots on Sunday. Currently, 92.4% of users are picking them to win and 58.3% are picking the Bills to cover the 7-point spread.
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Game Info: Bills vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, January 8, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
See these betting trends and insights before you bet on Sunday’s Buffalo-New England spread (Buffalo -7) or total (42.5 points).
Betting Insights for Bills
- The Bills’ ATS record is 7-9-0 this season.
- The Bills are 4-5 against the spread when favored by 7 points or more this season.
- Five of the Bills’ 16 games with a set total have hit the over (31.2%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills have been surging on both offense and defense, ranking second-best in total offense (402.3 yards per game) and fifth-best in total defense (317.7 yards allowed per game).
- The Bills have been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both scoring offense (fourth-best with 28 points per game) and scoring defense (second-best with 17.5 points allowed per game) this year.
- The Bills are putting up 259.5 passing yards per game on offense (sixth in the NFL), and they rank 14th defensively with 213.3 passing yards allowed per game.
- The Bills rank seventh in rushing yards this year (142.8 rushing yards per game), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 104.4 rushing yards allowed per game.
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the NFL by averaging a 49.7% third-down percentage. They rank eighth on defense (37.9% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- The Bills rank seventh in yards per play allowed this year (5.4), but they’ve been playing really well on the offensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 6.3 yards per play.
- With 24 forced turnovers (sixth in NFL) against 24 turnovers committed (29th in NFL), the Bills’ even turnover margin ranks 15th in the league.
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 4,029 PASS YDS / 268.6 YPG / 63.4% / 32 TD / 13 INT / 115 CAR / 746 RUSH YDS / 7 TD
- Devin Singletary: 170 CAR / 790 YDS / 52.7 YPG / 5 TD / 37 REC / 277 YDS / 18.5 YPG / 1 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 101 REC / 1,325 YDS / 88.3 YPG / 10 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 45 REC / 797 YDS / 56.9 YPG / 7 TD
- Dawson Knox: 46 REC / 504 YDS / 36 YPG / 5 TD
- Gregory Rousseau: 32 TKL / 9 TFL / 7 SACK / 4 PD
- Tremaine Edmunds: 95 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 PD
- Jordan Poyer: 54 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 INT / 8 PD
Betting Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots’ ATS record is 7-8-1 this season.
- The Patriots are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 7 points or more this year.
- Patriots games have hit the over in seven out of 16 opportunities (43.8%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots are posting 312.9 total yards per contest on offense this season (26th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 321.7 total yards per contest (eighth-ranked).
- The Patriots have been keeping opposing offenses in check on the defensive side of the ball, allowing just 19.5 points per game (fifth-best). On offense, they rank 17th by accumulating 21.3 points per game.
- The Patriots are compiling 206.3 passing yards per contest on offense this season (21st-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 215.3 passing yards per game (16th-ranked) on defense.
- The Patriots have been keeping opposing offenses in check on run defense, allowing only 106.4 rushing yards per game (fifth-best). On offense, they rank 23rd in the NFL by putting up 106.6 rushing yards per game.
- The Patriots are posting a 35.1% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (26th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering a 39.3% third-down rate (19th-ranked) on defense.
- The Patriots rank 18th in the NFL with 5.6 yards per play, but they’ve been led by their defense, which ranks second-best by surrendering only 5.3 yards per play.
- The Patriots have produced 27 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over 20 times, resulting in a +7 turnover margin, which ranks fourth-best in the NFL.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 2,753 PASS YDS / 211.8 YPG / 65.2% / 11 TD / 8 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 204 CAR / 986 YDS / 61.6 YPG / 5 TD / 64 REC / 393 YDS / 24.6 YPG / 1 TD
- Damien Harris: 93 CAR / 415 YDS / 41.5 YPG / 3 TD / 16 REC / 93 YDS / 9.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Jakobi Meyers: 64 REC / 771 YDS / 59.3 YPG / 5 TD
- Hunter Henry: 35 REC / 467 YDS / 29.2 YPG / 2 TD
- DeVante Parker: 25 REC / 460 YDS / 38.3 YPG / 1 TD
- Matthew Judon: 56 TKL / 13 TFL / 15.5 SACK / 3 PD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 115 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK / 1 INT / 2 PD
- Jonathan Jones: 62 TKL / 4 INT / 11 PD
