Table of Contents
By Alex Lauzon from the “Course of Life” podcast
SB57 – THE BIG ONE
This is it. The big one. The most-watched spectacle in American sports is here, and after a five-month ride through the drama and fervor of the NFL schedule, fans should be moderately at peace with this matchup. It’s unnecessary to nitpick a Super Bowl that features the two best teams in their respective conferences. Both the Eagles and Chiefs proved exactly why you take care of business in the division (going 11-1 collectively), you sit home and rest up during the bye, watch the wild card teams on loser weekend, and then you take care of business on your home field. Now they clash for a spot in history.
Conference Championship Weekend brought us a snoozer of a game in the NFC, which may not be the best prep quiz for the final exam Philly needed. In the AFC Championship title match, Burrow vs Mahomes had the heavyweight fight feel, and while both QBs had the ball in their hands late in the 4th to win it, the ailing had one more big play in him to set up the game-winning field goal. For our plays, it was a clean 2-0 sweep as the Eagles and Chiefs both covered the practically non-existent spreads. Now, we prep our tailgate spreads for the season finale.
(It’s the most wonderful time of the year – our SUPER BOWL CONTEST is live so get in on the action!)
THE GAME
Eagles (-2) vs Chiefs – 6:30 pm ET – FOX
The Spread
As the opening line hit sportsbooks IMMEDIATELY upon the AFC title game’s conclusion, there was no spread to speak of. It was a true pick’em at first but as Sunday night expired into Monday, the early money came flooding in on the Eagles and the line has risen to -2. Now, that money is clearly reactionary to the contrast in games we saw on Sunday. As for the game and matchup ahead, I’ve even surprised myself with my take on this one a bit. I’m not sure the Eagles have faced a test against an offense and QB like this so far this year. While they’ve found a way to move the ball on offense and probably will continue to, they’re dealing with firepower in the Chiefs’ offense that they haven’t quite experienced. While the Eagles present as the more methodical and polished team, I’m leaning both on the experience of Mahomes in this game, and leaning toward the more explosive squad.
Alex’s Early Play: Chiefs +2
The Point Total: O/U 49
The point total on SB57 opened a hair below the current number and has ticked ever so close to 50, where it will probably rest comfortably until game day nears. It’s a fair number but it is on the higher end for recent Super Bowls. The UNDER hit in two of the last three games, but I can’t bring myself to hit that play here with these offenses. As my game spread previews went, I think both QBs shine through and have their way with opposing defenses. The Eagles will do it with a three-headed monster running attack and a smart Jalen Hurts, and the Chiefs will do it with a wise Mahomes who knows that quick slants, screens, and plays that get the ball to playmakers fast will thwart any rush on the other end. This could be a slow grind to get to the over but KC score too quickly to ever keep it out of play.
Alex’s Early Play: Over 49 points
EARLY GAME PROPS
First Touchdown Scored: Travis Kelce +700, Isaiah Pacheco +800, Boston Scott +2200
Race to 30 Points – Chiefs +300
Successful 2-Point Conversion – YES +300
CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND BETTING RECAP
After two split-decision weekends in the last two rounds, we swept the board and correctly were on the Philly and KC sides this weekend. Overall it was 3-1 counting the point totals for championship weekend, but 2-0 on the picks right here. Let’s use those winnings for the big one and slide into the off-season with a fat stack of cash.
Conference Championship Weekend: 2-0 ATS, Postseason Overall: 7-5 ATS
(Hey YOU – remember our SUPER BOWL CONTEST is live now…so get in on the action for the big game)
EATS AND DEETS
Pregame Reminders
- Pace yourself (you know what I mean)
- Butt in seat 15 minutes before kickoff for our National Anthem Bets (more on that next week)
- Don’t touch the remote
TAILGATE PLAN
The Starters: Chips and Cowboy Queso (with Chorizo), and a veggie tray featuring green and reds in honor of our teams.
The Main Course: To honor each city’s cuisine, it will be Philly Cheesesteak Egg Rolls and Kansas City BBQ Pork Ribs
The Munchie: Loaded Tater Tots, always a crowd favorite
