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NFL Draft week. Message board heroes try to push their ‘inside’ information on their favorite longshots, ESPN gathers the most heart-wrenching and depressing stories to tell after players are selected, everyone tightens up their final mocks, and bets are placed for Thursday night. We have a great crop of QBs and some quarterback-needy teams sitting near the top of the draft board, along with some elite defensive talent that could slip due to the talent at the quarterback position. There are plenty of props to look over and we’ve got picks to make, so let’s get into it!
#1 Overall
The Panthers are taking Bryce Young, no matter what Reddit says.
Would Levis have been worth a sprinkle at +4000 if you somehow caught that news before it was posted? Absolutely. But I can just see the suckers now rushing to get Levis #1 overall at +400 and chasing it all the way down to wherever it goes. Don’t waste your money with anything on the #1 overall pick.
#2 Overall Pick
Now things get interesting. Currently on FanDuel, the odds for the #2 pick are as follows:
- Will Levis: +175
- Will Anderson Jr.: +300
- Tyree Wilson: +300
- CJ Stroud: +350
- Anthony Richardson: +4000
I’m not going to pretend like I know what’s going on in Houston’s front office. I don’t even think they know what’s going on to be quite honest. They’ve made some solid moves to improve their offense in the offseason, including signing Dalton Schultz, Devin Singletary, and Shaq Mason, and extending Laremy Tunsil. They did trade away Brandin Cooks, but that was a long time coming based on his vocal displeasure with the situation in Houston. My job here is to give a pick, and based on all the moves Houston has made, I see them taking a QB, no matter what Peter Schrager thinks.
I simply don’t think there will be a better QB available at 12. Are they going to take a gamble on Anthony Richardson or Hendon Hooker? I doubt it. I’m not as high on Will Levis as some GMs (and the books apparently), and I think that Houston will go with the ‘safe’ pick in CJ Stroud. He’s an elite talent, S2 Cognition Test scores be damned, and has the kind of game that translates to the pros. Don’t mess it up, Houston.
The Pick: CJ Stroud +350
#3 Overall Pick
The Cardinals may need a quarterback to start their season, but they’re not drafting one for the future. Like it or not, Kyler Murray is locked up in Arizona for the foreseeable future. They couldn’t go wrong here with either Tyree Wilson or Will Anderson, and the odds agree, as they sit at +300 and +400 respectively. Paris Johnson Jr. is an intriguing option as well, but filling the JJ Watt void and grabbing a potentially elite edge rusher is more important for the Cardinals right now. Tyree Wilson’s tape is absolutely ridiculous, and the Cardinals would be silly to pass him up at 3.
The Pick: Tyree Wilson +300
#4 Overall Pick
Let’s step into the mind of Jim Irsay for a second. Jesus, it’s loud in here. The Colts need a quarterback, plain and simple. Staring them directly in the face are two project QBs in Anthony Richardson and Will Levis. I wouldn’t be surprised if they made a move up to #2 to try and grab CJ Stroud, but we’ll operate under the assumption that they’re staying at #4. According to Jim, everything is on the table!
You should really have to pay for that kind of insight. Groundbreaking stuff. Anyway. Earlier this month, it was reported that the Colts have a “very real” interest in Levis, and for good reason. The dude has an absolute cannon, which we all know is something that Irsay loves. Now, Richardson does too, and he has the mobility advantage over Levis, but I won’t pretend to know why the Colts seemingly prefer Levis over Richardson. If I had to guess, they view Richardson as more of a project and Levis more as pro-ready. I don’t necessarily agree, I think Richardson can come in and make an immediate impact wherever he goes and develop into a stronger pro-style QB, but I’m not a GM. I’ll stick with all of the reports and pick Levis here to the Colts.
The Pick: Will Levis +130
#5 Overall Pick
I’ve seen multiple mocks now that have the Seahawks selecting a QB at 5. I understand drafting for the future, but at what point do we respect Geno Smith? They’ve signed him to an extension, he led them to the playoffs when most experts predicted them to have one of the worst records in the league last season, and now they have an opportunity to improve the team around him, not replace him. With the options left on the board, I see the Seahawks going best available. You could argue Jalen Carter here, but he has some character issues that might cause him to slip down the draft board. Will Anderson is a slam-dunk pick here, he’ll bring an immediate impact to Seattle’s defense that can help them continue to contend in the NFC.
Props to Watch
Total QBs Drafted in Round 1
The line for this is at 4.5, and the assumption is that it includes Young, Stroud, Richardson, Levis, and Hendon Hooker. Tennessee had a great season last year, but Hendon Hooker is not a first-round quarterback, especially coming off a torn ACL. With the odds for under 4.5 QBs selected set at +140, that’s enough value for me there to justify a small pick.
The Pick: Under 4.5 +140
Team to Draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba
I LOVE the Texans to take the Ohio State product here at 12. As mentioned previously, I highly doubt they’re going to wait on a QB until the 12th overall pick, and they need a new slot threat with Brandin Cooks gone. Smith-Njigba is the perfect fit here and he gets to pair up with CJ Stroud once again. The Texans take a page out of the Bengals’ playbook here and take the dynamic Ohio State duo. And if you like that, you can also take JSN’s draft position Under 12.5 at +250. Double it up!
The Pick: Houston Texans +380
Christian Gonzalez First CB Drafted & Dalton Kincaid 1st TE Drafted
This right here is why it’s called gambling. I have no issues with the Christian Gonzalez selection, I believe he’s the first CB taken and will go to the Lions at 6. Kincaid is more of a risk. His medical history is shaky, but the dude has elite pass-catching upside. I’m talking about Travis Kelce-type stuff. If there’s a team that is okay with his medical history, he’s by far the most talented tight end in this draft. The odds are definitely worth a look if you’re confident in Gonzalez.
The Pick: Yes +500
NFL FAQs
How do you play football survival pool?
Players pick one team each week they think will win the game outright. They may only pick a team ONCE per season, meaning you can't pick the same team twice in one season. If their pick is correct, the player survives another week and continues to play. An incorrect pick eliminates the player from the contest entirely. This is sometimes called an elimination or suicide pool. The last person standing wins.
How to make a football pool?
A football pool generally requires the creation of a shareable spreadsheet (like Google Sheets) so that members may pick teams. Then depending on the game type, creators must use several kinds of formulas (e.g. CountIF), data validation, and conditional formatting. Or, you can just use football pool hosting service like RunYourPool where we do all the work for you!
How to run a weekly football pool?
In order to run a football pool, you must first crown yourself as Pool Commissioner. Begin by picking a game type like Survivor or Pick'Em. You'll want to establish rules before inviting friends, family, and colleagues to join. As commissioner, you make the rules and also need to enforce them equally and fairly.
What is a football survivor pool?
In a Football Survivor Pool, players choose one team weekly they think will win. Usually, a team can be picked one time per season. Picks are made "straight up," no spreads necessary. If a pick is correct, members survive another week. An incorrect pick eliminates the player, unless a mulligan is used.
How does a football pool work?
Football pools are games of skill played among a group of people. There are a variety of pool types to fit every players needs, from casual to competitive. Pool commissioners can set up pools manually, or use a hosting service like RunYourPool whiel still customizing your own settings. Some examples include NFL Squares, NFL Survivor, NFL Pick 'Em, and Playoff Brackets.
What is an NFL pickem pool?
In an NFL pick’em pool, simply pick the outcome of each NFL game throughout the season. You can pick straight up winners or losers, or pick each game against the spread.
How to play a football pool?
The way one plays a football pool varies on the game type. For example, in Survivor, you pick one team to win each week and can't pick that team again. Guess wrong and you lose. Another example is Pick'em Pools in which you simply pick every game each week.
How does a fantasy football pool work?
Fantasy football pools don’t involve a traditional fantasy football draft. You can have as many members in your pool as you’d like, meaning no more 12 or 14 team limits! You pick a new lineup of players each week, and once you use a player once, you can’t use them again for the rest of the season.
What is a fantasy football pool?
A fantasy football pool is similar to a traditional fantasy football league but without the draft. Pick a new lineup each week, and once you use a player, you can’t use them for the rest of the season. Your players will receive points based on their in-game stats, and the member with the most points at the end of the season is the winner.
What is a football pool?
"Football Pool" is a broad term for a group of people competitively guessing the outcome of one or more football games. There are many types of formats, each assigning winners differently. They can be played informally between friends or through a more formalized system. They are often considered a great alternative to fantasy football given the ease of playing, although there are fantasy football pools as well.
How do football pool squares work?
There are different kinds of football square pools. Most have a 10x10 grid with one team for the rows and columns. In an attempt to win, participants select a square where they believe the last digit number of each team's score will intersect at the end of each quarter, and the game's end.
How do you play football squares pools?
To play a football squares pool, you're going to want to pick the squares with the best odds. As winners are determined by the point totals at the end of each quarter, try to consider options where scores are most common. Some of the most popular squares include 7-3, 7-0, 7-7, and 0-0. Numbers divisible by seven are good starting points.
How many squares in a football pool?
In a traditional football squares pool, a grid is sectioned off into 100 squares with 10 columns and 10 rows. This accounts for a direct relationship between each possible digit from 0 to 9 on both the X and Y axis. For smaller square grids like 5x5, multiple numbers can be assigned to each column and row.
How to play squares football pools?
Football squares are played by creating a grid, in which Team 1 takes the column and Team 2 the rows. In some cases, participants may claim as many squares as they like. In others, commissioners limit them to one. At the quarter times and end of the game, the winner is decided at the point the scores final digit intersect.
What is a football squares pool?
Also called Grid, Block, or Box Pools, Football Squares Pools can be played with any single game, but are most popular during the Super Bowl. Pool members claim squares on a 25, 50, or 100-square grid by putting their information in the square. Game scores are matched to the winning square(s), usually with winners being determined every quarter.
How to read a football pool sheet?
In Squares formats, football pool sheets include a grid, where one team is the column and one is the row. Winners are determined at the end of each quarter when the last number in the team’s score (on each side) is matched to the numbers on the grid, and the intersecting square wins.
How do you play football credits pool?
In the credits format, all players start with the same number of credits. Players make picks each week by risking a certain number of credits on games, assigning more credits to the picks with a higher confidence level. Members receive double the credits risked for each win. The member with the most credits at the end of the season wins.
What is a football credits pool?
In Football Credits Pools, players start with the same number of credits. They then make picks each week by risking a number of credits on games, assigning more to the picks they have more confidence in getting right. Members double credits risked for each win. The member with the highest credits at the end of the season wins.
How to run a football pool?
How you decide to run a football pool varies greatly depending on the game type. In each case, however, you'll want to determine the rules and settings before you begin inviting members to join you. You'll want to clearly establish how score will be kept, how tiebreakers work, and how winners are decided before anything else.
How do you play football confidence pool?
A football confidence pool is played straight up, not with a point spread. Not only do members pick the winning teams, they must back up their picks by giving them a relative confidence ranking. Your score reflects the number of confidence points given to winning teams. So if your confidence for a team winning is '1', then you can only win one point at most. If your confidence for a team winning is '5', then you can win five points for a win. The member with the most credits at the end wins.
What is a football confidence pool?
"Football Confidence Pool" refers to how you rank the teams that you think will win each week. For example, in the NFL, there are often 16 games weekly. In this scenario, you would rank each game from 16 to 1, based on the your confidence in that team winning.
How do you play football margin pool?
Margin pools are an NFL pool format that rewards members for picking a winning team each week. Pool commissioners can decide whether they award points equal to a winning teams margin of victory or the point spread for that game. When a commissioner chooses the point spread option, this format is often referred to as an NFL Underdog Pool.
What is a football margin pool?
In a Football Margin Pool, you are awarded points for picking a winning team. Pool commissioners get to decide whether they award points equal to a winning teams margin of victory or the point spread for that game. The player with the most points at the end of the season wins.
How do you play football 33 point pool?
The football 33 pool format is a casual pool where members are each assigned an NFL team (these pools are 32 members max, as there are 32 NFL teams). Members win when their team scores 33 points. Options for changing the target score, or having the closest to the target win each week is also available.
What is a football 33 point pool?
In the football 33 pool format, each member is assigned a unique NFL team (32 members max). A member will win when their team scores 33 points. This is a casual pool where you can change the target score or the option to have the closest to the target that week win.
How to run a weekly football pool?
In order to run a football pool, you must first crown yourself as Pool Commissioner. Begin by picking a game type like Survivor or Pick'Em. You'll want to establish rules before inviting friends, family, and colleagues to join. As commissioner, you make the rules and also need to enforce them equally and fairly.
What is an NFL Playoff bracket pool?
NFL Playoff Bracket pools are simple NFL pool formats where members pick every round of the playoffs before they start in an attempt to predict every match up correctly. It's optional to configure a multiplier for each round, or add a tiebreaker option of total points in the Super Bowl.
How to make a football pool?
A football pool generally requires the creation of a shareable spreadsheet (like Google Sheets) so that members may pick teams. Then depending on the game type, creators must use several kinds of formulas (e.g. CountIF), data validation, and conditional formatting. Or, you can just use football pool hosting service like RunYourPool where we do all the work for you!
How to set up a football pool?
To set up a football pool, you'll need to first choose a pool type like Survivor or Pick'em. Then, you'll need to set the ground rules. As pool commissioner, you'll enforce these rules and make sure the game runs smoothly throughout the season. Many commissioners use pool hosting sites like RunYourPool to make it easier and more engaging.
What is a football power ranking playoff pool?
In a power ranking playoff pool, members rank all 12 NFL teams competing in the playoffs from strongest (12 points) to weakest (1 point). Picks are made only ONCE before any games begin. Members are awarded the number of points assigned to a team when they win. Commissioners can optionally set up a point multiplier for each playoff round.
What is a football confidence pool?
"Football Confidence Pool" refers to how you rank the teams that you think will win each week. For example, in the NFL, there are often 16 games weekly. In this scenario, you would rank each game from 16 to 1, based on the your confidence in that team winning. This is similar to the Playoff Pool Power Ranking, just less teams.
How to run a football pool?
How you decide to run a football pool varies greatly depending on the game type. In each case, however, you'll want to determine the rules and settings before you begin inviting members to join you. You'll want to clearly establish how score will be kept, how tiebreakers work, and how winners are decided before anything else.
What is a football playoff precision pool?
In a playoff precision pool, members attempt to pick the winner of every playoff game each week. You can decide if it’s straight up or on a point spread picks, but point totals are also added. Points are awarded for correct picks AND for how close to the correct combined point total they were.
How to read a football pool sheet?
In Squares formats, football pool sheets include a grid, where one team is the column and one is the row. Winners are determined at the end of each quarter when the last number in the team’s score (on each side) is matched to the numbers on the grid, and the intersecting square wins.
What is a Super Bowl Prop Bets Pool?
A Super Bowl Prop Bet Pool is a fun and thrilling way to compete against friends and family during the big game! It's a simple questionaire of prop betting questions revolving around the Super Bowl, and whoever earns the most points based off correct answers wins!
How does a Super Bowl Prop Bets Pool work?
Pool members simply fill out a wide range of prop questions, each question worth a different value. Commissioners decide on the point value for each question, along with the amount of questions. Whichever member earns the most points based on corret answers wins the pool.
What is a football Super Bowl Squares pool?
Also called Grid, Block, or Box Pools, Football Squares Pools can be played with any single game, but are most popular during the Super Bowl. Pool members claim squares on a 25, 50, or 100-square grid by putting their information in the square. Game scores are matched to the winning square(s), usually with winners being determined every quarter.
What is a prop bet?
Prop bets are any sort of pick or wager on a game that has nothing to do with the score or the final score outcome. Props can range from game types, to team types and even player types - such as who will score the game's first and last touchdowns? Other props, such as novelty or exotic, feature bets on things such as the coin flip or the Super Bowl Halftime Show.
How to read a football pool sheet?
In Squares formats, football pool sheets include a grid, where one team is the column and one is the row. Winners are determined at the end of each quarter when the last number in the team’s score (on each side) is matched to the numbers on the grid, and the intersecting square wins.