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The Atlanta Falcons used the No. 8 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft to reserve Texas Longhorns running back Bijan Robinson for themselves, making him the first player at his position off the board in the draft. Furthermore, it made Robinson the first running back to go in the top 10 of the NFL Draft since Saquon Barkley did it in 2018.
There are plenty of reasons for fantasy players to be excited about Robinson’s entrance to the league.
But hype is cheap. Everybody is poised for an outstanding season in August. Then September happens, and sometimes reality isn’t all that it was cracked up to be. If you want Robinson on your roster this season, you’ll have to expend an early pick in your draft to make it happen. It’s always in your best interest to weigh the pros and cons before jumping too hard to a conclusion.
Bijan Robinson 2023 Fantasy Forecast
The Pros
Everything we saw from Bijan Robinson in college indicates he’ll do pretty well in the NFL. In his three seasons at Texas, the running back racked up 3,410 yards on the ground with 33 rushing touchdowns to boot. He averaged 6.3 yards per rush for his career and proved himself as a weapon out of the backfield, too, amassing more than 800 yards receiving and eight receiving scores as a Longhorn. It was enough to earn him the status of a Consensus All-American in 2022 and the Doak Walker Award in the same season.
Robinson is also entering a very favorable situation, at least from the perspective of fantasy football team owners. In 2022, the Falcons led the NFL in rushing attempts (559) and were third in the league in rushing yards (2,718). That was with Tyler Allgeier and Cordarrelle Patterson handling most of the load. Robinson is expected to usurp the top spot in the pecking order and become the main benefactor of Atlanta’s run-first approach. High-volume running backs are priceless in fantasy football.
Atlanta also doesn’t have a great crop of top wide-receiving targets for Desmond Ridder to aim for, nor is Ridder one of the premier gunslingers in the league. That gives Atlanta even more reason to rely on the run in 2023. Add in a very solid offensive line unit anchored by Chris Lindstrom, whose 93.1 PPF run-blocking grade was the best in the NFL last season, and you can see how Robinson appears set for a healthy amount of opportunity in his rookie campaign.
The Cons
Robinson has never played in the NFL before. He will now be chased by grown men – very, very large grown men – who are paid millions of dollars to train nearly every day specifically to hunt him down. It’s a totally different beast from playing on Saturdays, and for us as outsiders who aren’t at the training facilities during practices and don’t know the athletes personally, it’s very difficult to know who will transition smoothly and who won’t. There is always risk with drafting any rookie in fantasy football, even the highly-touted ones.
Atlanta’s likely-poor passing attack can be viewed as a potential negative for Robinson’s fantasy forecast, too. While it might mean he’ll be amply force-fed, it could also mean that defenses can stack the box in preparation. You want a running back on your team who you can be confident will get their touches, but those need to translate into yards or better to mean something useful, unless your league awards points for attempts. If defenses load up to stuff the line of scrimmage and the Falcons can’t utilize the passing game to open up the field, Robinson’s fantasy season might not go as well as some are forecasting.
The two running backs that paved the way in each of the last two seasons in Atlanta are both still on the team’s roster. Allgeier put up more than 1,000 rushing yards on the season in 2022 while Patterson posted nearly 700 himself just one year after breaking the four-digit mark in 2021 for all-purpose yards. The Falcons have a wealth of talent at the running back position even without Robinson. Considering the team’s decision to take him with the No. 8 overall pick, Atlanta must believe he’s the best of the bunch and an improvement on what it had, but we know Allgeier and Patterson can find success in this league. The point is, while Robinson is the first name on the depth chart to start the season, he has two capable challengers on his heels. If a slump occurs or injury holds him out for a few weeks, his position as the primary ball carrier could evaporate once Allgeier or Patterson get their shot to shine.
In Conclusion: Bijan Robinson in 2023
Running backs that are selected in the top 10 of the NFL Draft generally perform well fantasy-wise in their rookie seasons, like Barkley and Ezekiel Elliott did when they were in this position. Those are some big shoes to fill, but there is excitement around Robinson for good reason.
There is cause for caution, his freshness to the league notwithstanding. Unlike some other running backs projected to be among the best in fantasy in 2023, Robinson has two players behind him who have both shown they can be starters in the NFL. Plus, a questionable passing attack means defense will know what’s coming, which could limit effectiveness.
The pros are so strong, though. We know Robinson is talented – that much is obvious – but he’s also walking into a sweet spot for a rookie running back. The Falcons didn’t use their top-10 pick on him because they intend to abandon what was already one of the best and most-used rushing attacks in the NFL. This shows an even greater commitment to the ground from Atlanta, and Robinson is now in line to bask in that prosperity.
Robinson will probably go somewhere late in the first round or early in the second round of your draft. The other running backs expected to hover around this area include players like Nick Chubb, Derrick Henry, and Barkley. With how much the Falcons love to run the ball, Robinson might have the highest ceiling of the group, but he’s also the least established with the most competition within his own team for his spot. Whether or not you want to target Robinson depends on how dangerously you like to live in fantasy football.
NFL FAQs
How do you play football survival pool?
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Players pick one team each week they think will win the game outright. They may only pick a team ONCE per season, meaning you can't pick the same team twice in one season. If their pick is correct, the player survives another week and continues to play. An incorrect pick eliminates the player from the contest entirely. This is sometimes called an elimination or suicide pool. The last person standing wins.
How to make a football pool?
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A football pool generally requires the creation of a shareable spreadsheet (like Google Sheets) so that members may pick teams. Then depending on the game type, creators must use several kinds of formulas (e.g. CountIF), data validation, and conditional formatting. Or, you can just use football pool hosting service like RunYourPool where we do all the work for you!
How to run a weekly football pool?
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In order to run a football pool, you must first crown yourself as Pool Commissioner. Begin by picking a game type like Survivor or Pick'Em. You'll want to establish rules before inviting friends, family, and colleagues to join. As commissioner, you make the rules and also need to enforce them equally and fairly.
What is a football survivor pool?
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In a Football Survivor Pool, players choose one team weekly they think will win. Usually, a team can be picked one time per season. Picks are made "straight up," no spreads necessary. If a pick is correct, members survive another week. An incorrect pick eliminates the player, unless a mulligan is used.
How does a football pool work?
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Football pools are games of skill played among a group of people. There are a variety of pool types to fit every players needs, from casual to competitive. Pool commissioners can set up pools manually, or use a hosting service like RunYourPool whiel still customizing your own settings. Some examples include NFL Squares, NFL Survivor, NFL Pick 'Em, and Playoff Brackets.
What is an NFL pickem pool?
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In an NFL pick’em pool, simply pick the outcome of each NFL game throughout the season. You can pick straight up winners or losers, or pick each game against the spread.
How to play a football pool?
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The way one plays a football pool varies on the game type. For example, in Survivor, you pick one team to win each week and can't pick that team again. Guess wrong and you lose. Another example is Pick'em Pools in which you simply pick every game each week.
How does a fantasy football pool work?
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Fantasy football pools don’t involve a traditional fantasy football draft. You can have as many members in your pool as you’d like, meaning no more 12 or 14 team limits! You pick a new lineup of players each week, and once you use a player once, you can’t use them again for the rest of the season.
What is a fantasy football pool?
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A fantasy football pool is similar to a traditional fantasy football league but without the draft. Pick a new lineup each week, and once you use a player, you can’t use them for the rest of the season. Your players will receive points based on their in-game stats, and the member with the most points at the end of the season is the winner.
What is a football pool?
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"Football Pool" is a broad term for a group of people competitively guessing the outcome of one or more football games. There are many types of formats, each assigning winners differently. They can be played informally between friends or through a more formalized system. They are often considered a great alternative to fantasy football given the ease of playing, although there are fantasy football pools as well.
How do football pool squares work?
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There are different kinds of football square pools. Most have a 10x10 grid with one team for the rows and columns. In an attempt to win, participants select a square where they believe the last digit number of each team's score will intersect at the end of each quarter, and the game's end.
How do you play football squares pools?
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To play a football squares pool, you're going to want to pick the squares with the best odds. As winners are determined by the point totals at the end of each quarter, try to consider options where scores are most common. Some of the most popular squares include 7-3, 7-0, 7-7, and 0-0. Numbers divisible by seven are good starting points.
How many squares in a football pool?
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In a traditional football squares pool, a grid is sectioned off into 100 squares with 10 columns and 10 rows. This accounts for a direct relationship between each possible digit from 0 to 9 on both the X and Y axis. For smaller square grids like 5x5, multiple numbers can be assigned to each column and row.
How to play squares football pools?
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Football squares are played by creating a grid, in which Team 1 takes the column and Team 2 the rows. In some cases, participants may claim as many squares as they like. In others, commissioners limit them to one. At the quarter times and end of the game, the winner is decided at the point the scores final digit intersect.
What is a football squares pool?
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Also called Grid, Block, or Box Pools, Football Squares Pools can be played with any single game, but are most popular during the Super Bowl. Pool members claim squares on a 25, 50, or 100-square grid by putting their information in the square. Game scores are matched to the winning square(s), usually with winners being determined every quarter.
How to read a football pool sheet?
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In Squares formats, football pool sheets include a grid, where one team is the column and one is the row. Winners are determined at the end of each quarter when the last number in the team’s score (on each side) is matched to the numbers on the grid, and the intersecting square wins.
How do you play football credits pool?
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In the credits format, all players start with the same number of credits. Players make picks each week by risking a certain number of credits on games, assigning more credits to the picks with a higher confidence level. Members receive double the credits risked for each win. The member with the most credits at the end of the season wins.
What is a football credits pool?
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In Football Credits Pools, players start with the same number of credits. They then make picks each week by risking a number of credits on games, assigning more to the picks they have more confidence in getting right. Members double credits risked for each win. The member with the highest credits at the end of the season wins.
How to run a football pool?
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How you decide to run a football pool varies greatly depending on the game type. In each case, however, you'll want to determine the rules and settings before you begin inviting members to join you. You'll want to clearly establish how score will be kept, how tiebreakers work, and how winners are decided before anything else.
How do you play football confidence pool?
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A football confidence pool is played straight up, not with a point spread. Not only do members pick the winning teams, they must back up their picks by giving them a relative confidence ranking. Your score reflects the number of confidence points given to winning teams. So if your confidence for a team winning is '1', then you can only win one point at most. If your confidence for a team winning is '5', then you can win five points for a win. The member with the most credits at the end wins.
What is a football confidence pool?
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"Football Confidence Pool" refers to how you rank the teams that you think will win each week. For example, in the NFL, there are often 16 games weekly. In this scenario, you would rank each game from 16 to 1, based on the your confidence in that team winning.
How do you play football margin pool?
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Margin pools are an NFL pool format that rewards members for picking a winning team each week. Pool commissioners can decide whether they award points equal to a winning teams margin of victory or the point spread for that game. When a commissioner chooses the point spread option, this format is often referred to as an NFL Underdog Pool.
What is a football margin pool?
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In a Football Margin Pool, you are awarded points for picking a winning team. Pool commissioners get to decide whether they award points equal to a winning teams margin of victory or the point spread for that game. The player with the most points at the end of the season wins.
How do you play football 33 point pool?
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The football 33 pool format is a casual pool where members are each assigned an NFL team (these pools are 32 members max, as there are 32 NFL teams). Members win when their team scores 33 points. Options for changing the target score, or having the closest to the target win each week is also available.
What is a football 33 point pool?
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In the football 33 pool format, each member is assigned a unique NFL team (32 members max). A member will win when their team scores 33 points. This is a casual pool where you can change the target score or the option to have the closest to the target that week win.
How to run a weekly football pool?
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In order to run a football pool, you must first crown yourself as Pool Commissioner. Begin by picking a game type like Survivor or Pick'Em. You'll want to establish rules before inviting friends, family, and colleagues to join. As commissioner, you make the rules and also need to enforce them equally and fairly.
What is an NFL Playoff bracket pool?
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NFL Playoff Bracket pools are simple NFL pool formats where members pick every round of the playoffs before they start in an attempt to predict every match up correctly. It's optional to configure a multiplier for each round, or add a tiebreaker option of total points in the Super Bowl.
How to make a football pool?
![down arrow](https://s3.amazonaws.com/assets.runyourpool.com/articles/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/12215336/img_68483.png)
A football pool generally requires the creation of a shareable spreadsheet (like Google Sheets) so that members may pick teams. Then depending on the game type, creators must use several kinds of formulas (e.g. CountIF), data validation, and conditional formatting. Or, you can just use football pool hosting service like RunYourPool where we do all the work for you!
How to set up a football pool?
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To set up a football pool, you'll need to first choose a pool type like Survivor or Pick'em. Then, you'll need to set the ground rules. As pool commissioner, you'll enforce these rules and make sure the game runs smoothly throughout the season. Many commissioners use pool hosting sites like RunYourPool to make it easier and more engaging.
What is a football power ranking playoff pool?
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In a power ranking playoff pool, members rank all 12 NFL teams competing in the playoffs from strongest (12 points) to weakest (1 point). Picks are made only ONCE before any games begin. Members are awarded the number of points assigned to a team when they win. Commissioners can optionally set up a point multiplier for each playoff round.
What is a football confidence pool?
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"Football Confidence Pool" refers to how you rank the teams that you think will win each week. For example, in the NFL, there are often 16 games weekly. In this scenario, you would rank each game from 16 to 1, based on the your confidence in that team winning. This is similar to the Playoff Pool Power Ranking, just less teams.
How to run a football pool?
![down arrow](https://s3.amazonaws.com/assets.runyourpool.com/articles/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/12215336/img_68483.png)
How you decide to run a football pool varies greatly depending on the game type. In each case, however, you'll want to determine the rules and settings before you begin inviting members to join you. You'll want to clearly establish how score will be kept, how tiebreakers work, and how winners are decided before anything else.
What is a football playoff precision pool?
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In a playoff precision pool, members attempt to pick the winner of every playoff game each week. You can decide if it’s straight up or on a point spread picks, but point totals are also added. Points are awarded for correct picks AND for how close to the correct combined point total they were.
How to read a football pool sheet?
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In Squares formats, football pool sheets include a grid, where one team is the column and one is the row. Winners are determined at the end of each quarter when the last number in the team’s score (on each side) is matched to the numbers on the grid, and the intersecting square wins.
What is a Super Bowl Prop Bets Pool?
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A Super Bowl Prop Bet Pool is a fun and thrilling way to compete against friends and family during the big game! It's a simple questionaire of prop betting questions revolving around the Super Bowl, and whoever earns the most points based off correct answers wins!
How does a Super Bowl Prop Bets Pool work?
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Pool members simply fill out a wide range of prop questions, each question worth a different value. Commissioners decide on the point value for each question, along with the amount of questions. Whichever member earns the most points based on corret answers wins the pool.
What is a football Super Bowl Squares pool?
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Also called Grid, Block, or Box Pools, Football Squares Pools can be played with any single game, but are most popular during the Super Bowl. Pool members claim squares on a 25, 50, or 100-square grid by putting their information in the square. Game scores are matched to the winning square(s), usually with winners being determined every quarter.
What is a prop bet?
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Prop bets are any sort of pick or wager on a game that has nothing to do with the score or the final score outcome. Props can range from game types, to team types and even player types - such as who will score the game's first and last touchdowns? Other props, such as novelty or exotic, feature bets on things such as the coin flip or the Super Bowl Halftime Show.
How to read a football pool sheet?
![down arrow](https://s3.amazonaws.com/assets.runyourpool.com/articles/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/12215336/img_68483.png)
In Squares formats, football pool sheets include a grid, where one team is the column and one is the row. Winners are determined at the end of each quarter when the last number in the team’s score (on each side) is matched to the numbers on the grid, and the intersecting square wins.