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Star runner Kay’Ron Adams and the UMass Minutemen (1-3) play the New Mexico Lobos (1-2) on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium.
The Minutemen are favored, but by less than a field goal (-2.5), against the Lobos. The over/under for this game is 49.5 points.
Game Info for UMass vs. New Mexico
- Game Day: Saturday, September 23, 2023
- Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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UMass Pick Insights
- UMass is 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- UMass games have hit the over on three of four occasions (75%).
UMass Stats & Insights
- With 441.8 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 17th-worst in the FBS, UMass has had to lean on its 84th-ranked offense (365 yards per contest) to keep them in games.
- With 37.3 points allowed per game on defense, which ranks 11th-worst in the FBS, UMass has had to lean on their 88th-ranked offense (25 points per contest) to keep them in games.
- UMass is compiling 234.3 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 72nd in the FBS. The defense ranks 83rd, allowing 227.5 passing yards per game.
- With 214.3 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks eighth-worst in the FBS, UMass has had to lean on their 94th-ranked running game (130.8 rushing yards per contest) to keep them competitive.
- UMass ranks 19th-worst in third-down percentage (32.7%), but has played better on defense, ranking 38th with a 33.3% third-down percentage allowed.
- With seven forced turnovers (10th in the FBS) against eight turnovers committed (121st in the FBS), UMass’ -1-1 turnover margin ranks 75th in college football.
UMass’ Best Players
- Carlos Davis has thrown for 690 yards (172.5 ypg) to lead UMass, completing 63% of his passes and collecting five touchdown passes compared to three interceptions this season.
- Adams has racked up 366 yards on 71 carries while finding the end zone three times as a runner.
- Taisun Phommachanh has carried the ball 25 times for 130 yards (32.5 per game) and two touchdowns.
- Anthony Simpson’s team-leading 289 yards as a receiver have come on 14 receptions (out of 25 targets) with one touchdown.
- George Johnson has caught 13 passes for 131 yards (32.8 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
- Christian Wells has a total of 108 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in five throws.
- Billy Wooden has collected three sacks to lead the team, while also recording two TFL and 11 tackles.
- Tyler Rudolph, UMass’ top tackler, has 15 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and one interception this year.
- Dashaun Jerkins leads the team with one interception, while also putting up seven tackles and two passes defended.
New Mexico Betting Insights
- New Mexico is winless against the spread so far this year in two games with a set total.
- New Mexico is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
- In New Mexico’s two games with a set total, one has hit the over (50%).
New Mexico Pick Insights
- New Mexico is putting up 403.3 total yards per contest on offense this season (59th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 362.7 total yards per game (74th-ranked).
- With 27.7 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, New Mexico ranks 77th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 101st, allowing 29.7 points per contest.
- With 223 passing yards per game on offense, New Mexico ranks 81st in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 81st, surrendering 226.3 passing yards per game.
- With 180.3 rushing yards per game on offense, New Mexico ranks 46th in the FBS. Defensively it ranks 80th, allowing 136.3 rushing yards per game.
- New Mexico’s defense has been bottom-25 on third down this season, allowing a 46.9% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 54th with a 46.9% third-down rate.
- New Mexico has fared poorly in terms of turnovers, as its turnover margin of -4 is 15th-worst in the FBS.
New Mexico’s Best Players
- Dylan Hopkins has compiled 635 yards on 60% passing while recording five touchdown passes with two interceptions this season.
- Jacory Merritt has run the ball 39 times for 295 yards, with five touchdowns.
- Dorian Lewis has racked up 110 yards (on 19 carries).
- Deuce Jones’ 125 receiving yards (41.7 yards per game) are a team high. He has five catches on six targets with one touchdown.
- Luke Wysong has recorded 99 receiving yards (33 yards per game) and one touchdown on six receptions.
- Jeremiah Hixon’s 11 catches (on 13 targets) have netted him 87 yards (29 ypg).
- Kyler Drake has collected 1.5 sacks to lead the team, while also recording two TFL and nine tackles.
- New Mexico’s tackle leader, Tavian Combs, has 19 tackles this year.