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The Buffalo Bills (13-3) take the field against the Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) in the AFC Divisional round of the playoffs on Sunday, January 22, 2023 at Highmark Stadium.
The Bills rank sixth in total defense this season (319.1 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 397.6 total yards per game. The Bengals rank eighth with 360.5 total yards per contest on offense, and they rank 16th with 335.7 total yards ceded per game on the defensive side of the ball.
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Bills vs. Bengals Picks
The Bills are expected by BetterPool users to win, but not cover the spread, against the Bengals on Sunday. At the moment, 63.8% of users are picking them to win, but 55.1% are picking the Bengals to cover the 6-point spread.
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Game Info: Bills vs. Bengals
- Game Day: Sunday, January 22, 2023
- Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
Before placing a wager on Sunday’s Buffalo-Cincinnati spread (Buffalo -6) or total (48.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.
Betting Insights for Bills
- The Bills put together an 8-8-0 ATS record in the regular season, and are 0-1-0 in the playoffs.
- The Bills have covered the spread five times this season (5-6 ATS) when playing as at least 6-point favorites (regular season and playoffs).
- A total of six of the Bills’ games in the regular season went over the point total, and one of one in the playoffs.
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills own the sixth-ranked defense this year (319.1 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on offense, ranking second-best with 397.6 yards per game.
- The Bills have been a difficult matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-five in both scoring offense (second-best with 28.4 points per game) and scoring defense (second-best with 17.9 points allowed per game) this season.
- The Bills are compiling 258.1 passing yards per game on offense (seventh in the NFL), and they rank 15th on the other side of the ball with 214.6 passing yards allowed per game.
- The Bills rank seventh in rushing yards this year (139.5 rushing yards per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 104.6 rushing yards allowed per game.
- On offense, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the NFL by averaging a 50.3% third-down conversion rate. They rank seventh on defense (37.5% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- The Bills rank seventh in yards per play allowed this year (5.4), but they’ve been shining on offense, ranking third-best in the NFL with 6.3 yards per play.
- The Bills rank 15th in the league with an even turnover margin after forcing 27 turnovers (fourth in the NFL) and committing 27 (30th in the NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 4,283 PASS YDS / 267.7 YPG / 63.3% / 35 TD / 14 INT / 124 CAR / 762 RUSH YDS / 7 TD
- Devin Singletary: 177 CAR / 819 YDS / 51.2 YPG / 5 TD / 38 REC / 280 YDS / 17.5 YPG / 1 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 108 REC / 1,429 YDS / 89.3 YPG / 11 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 48 REC / 836 YDS / 55.7 YPG / 7 TD
- Dawson Knox: 48 REC / 517 YDS / 34.5 YPG / 6 TD
- Gregory Rousseau: 37 TKL / 10 TFL / 8 SACK / 4 PD
- Tremaine Edmunds: 102 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT / 7 PD
- Jordan Poyer: 63 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 INT / 8 PD
Betting Insights for Bengals
- The Bengals put together a 12-4-0 record against the spread during the regular season. They are 0-1-0 against the spread in the playoffs.
- In Bengals games during the regular season, combined scoring went over the point total six times. In the postseason, one of one games have exceeded the over.
Stats & Insights for Bengals
- The Bengals are posting 360.5 total yards per game on offense this season (eighth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 335.7 total yards per game (16th-ranked).
- The Bengals have been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, giving up only 20.1 points per contest (fifth-best). On offense, they rank seventh by accumulating 26.1 points per game.
- The Bengals’ pass offense has been thriving, accumulating 265 passing yards per game (fifth-best) this season. On defense, they rank 23rd by allowing 229.1 passing yards per game.
- The Bengals’ running game has not been getting things done, ranking fourth-worst in the NFL with 95.5 rushing yards per game. They have been more effective on defense, giving up 106.6 rushing yards per contest (seventh-ranked).
- The Bengals’ third-down offense has been dominant, posting a 46.1% third-down conversion percentage (third-best) this season. Defensively, they rank 20th by giving up a 39.6% third-down rate.
- The Bengals rank 12th in the NFL with 5.7 yards per play on offense, and they rank 13th with 5.6 yards allowed per play on defense.
- At +6, the Bengals own the sixth-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 24 forced turnovers (11th in NFL) and 18 turnovers committed (fourth in NFL).
Best Players for Bengals
- Joe Burrow: 4,475 PASS YDS / 279.7 YPG / 68.3% / 35 TD / 12 INT / 75 CAR / 257 RUSH YDS / 5 TD
- Joe Mixon: 210 CAR / 814 YDS / 58.1 YPG / 7 TD / 60 REC / 441 YDS / 31.5 YPG / 2 TD
- Samaje Perine: 95 CAR / 394 YDS / 24.6 YPG / 2 TD / 38 REC / 287 YDS / 17.9 YPG / 4 TD
- Ja’Marr Chase: 87 REC / 1,046 YDS / 87.2 YPG / 9 TD
- Tee Higgins: 74 REC / 1,029 YDS / 64.3 YPG / 7 TD
- Tyler Boyd: 58 REC / 762 YDS / 47.6 YPG / 5 TD
- Trey Hendrickson: 32 TKL / 6 TFL / 8 SACK / 3 PD
- Logan Wilson: 123 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT / 4 PD
- Vonn Bell: 77 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 4 INT / 8 PD
