Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears Picks & Preview | NCAAFB Week 4

The Baylor Bears (1-2) are in action on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET at McLane Stadium versus the Texas Longhorns (3-0).

The Bears are expected to lose by at least two touchdowns (currently +15) against the Longhorns (with an over/under of 51.5 points).

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Game Info for Texas vs. Baylor

• Game Day: Saturday, September 23, 2023
• Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: ABC
• Location: Waco, Texas
• Stadium: McLane Stadium

Texas Pick Insights

• Texas has covered the spread once in three games this season.
• Texas is winless against the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 15-point favorites.
• One of Texas’ three games with a set total has hit the over (33.3%).

Texas Stats & Insights

• Texas sports the 55th-ranked offense this year (409.3 yards per game), and has been even more effective defensively, ranking 22nd-best with just 276.3 yards allowed per game.
• Texas is totaling 34 points per game on offense (47th in the FBS), and ranks 26th on the other side of the ball with 14.7 points allowed per game.
• Texas is averaging 260 passing yards per game offensively this year (49th in the FBS), and is surrendering 180 passing yards per game (33rd) on defense.
• Texas is totaling 149.3 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 75th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 33rd, allowing 96.3 rushing yards per game.
• Texas is putting up a 37.8% third-down percentage on offense this season (88th in the FBS), and is giving up a 31.7% third-down percentage (29th) on defense.
• With six forced turnovers (25th in the FBS) against one turnover committed (third in the FBS), Texas’ +5 turnover margin is the seventh-best in college football.

Texas’ Best Players

• Quinn Ewers has compiled 740 yards (246.7 ypg) on 54-of-89 passing with eight touchdowns compared to zero interceptions this season.
• Jonathon Brooks has 273 rushing yards on 47 carries with one touchdown. He’s also added three catches for 46 yards (15.3 per game) and one touchdown through the air.
• This season, CJ Baxter has carried the ball 16 times for 69 yards (23 per game).
• Xavier Worthy’s 221 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 26 times and has collected 16 receptions and two touchdowns.
• Ja’Tavion Sanders has reeled in seven passes while averaging 52.7 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
• Adonai Mitchell’s nine receptions have turned into 134 yards and three touchdowns.
• Ethan Burke has 2.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has four TFL and nine tackles.
• Jaylan Ford, Texas’ leading tackler, has 12 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this year.
• Jerrin Thompson has picked off a team-leading two passes. He also has six tackles and two passes defended to his name.

Baylor Betting Insights

• Baylor is winless against the spread so far this year (0-1-1).
• Baylor has gone over in one of two games with a set total (50%).

Baylor Pick Insights

• Baylor is generating 418 total yards per game on offense this season (52nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 333.7 total yards per game (58th-ranked).
• In terms of points scored Baylor ranks 92nd in the FBS (24.7 points per game), and it is 70th on the other side of the ball (23 points allowed per game).
• Baylor ranks 56th in the FBS with 251.7 passing yards per contest, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 18th-best by allowing just 163.7 passing yards per game.
• Baylor ranks 62nd in the FBS with 166.3 rushing yards per game on offense, and it ranks 106th with 170 rushing yards surrendered per game on defense.
• Baylor ranks 78th in the FBS with a 39.5% third-down conversion percentage on offense, and 56th with a 35.9% third-down percentage allowed on defense.
• With three forced turnovers (82nd in the FBS) and five turnovers committed (78th in the FBS) this season, Baylor ranks 102nd in the FBS with a turnover margin of -2.

Baylor’s Best Players

• Sawyer Robertson leads Baylor with 444 yards on 28-of-62 passing with one touchdown compared to three interceptions this season. He has chipped in with 47 rushing yards (15.7 ypg) on nine carries while scoring one touchdown on the ground.
• Dominic Richardson has rushed for 156 yards on 30 carries so far this year.
• Richard Reese has compiled 117 yards on 26 carries with two touchdowns.
• Ketron Jackson Jr.’s 168 receiving yards (56 yards per game) lead the team. He has 10 catches on 22 targets.
• Hal Presley has eight receptions (on 16 targets) for a total of 155 yards (51.7 yards per game) this year.
• Drake Dabney’s eight grabs (on 13 targets) have netted him 139 yards (46.3 ypg) and three touchdowns.
• TJ Franklin has collected two sacks to pace the team, while also picking up three TFL and eight tackles.
• Baylor’s top-tackler, Matt Jones, has 18 tackles this year.
• Carl Williams IV leads the team with one interception, while also recording one TFL and one pass defended.