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At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, the UCF Knights (3-1) are at home against the Baylor Bears (1-3).
The Bears are expected to lose by at least two scores (currently +11.5) versus the Knights (with an over/under of 55 points).
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Game Info for UCF vs. Baylor
- Game Day: Saturday, September 30, 2023
- Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
- Location: Orlando, Florida
- Stadium: FBC Mortgage Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | -11.5 | -111 | -109 | 55 | -110 | -110 | -438 | +335 |
UCF Pick Insights
- UCF is 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
- UCF is a perfect 2-0 against the spread when favored by 11.5 points or more this season.
- UCF games with a set total have hit the over three times this season (75%).
UCF Stats & Insights
- UCF owns the 58th-ranked defense this season (347 yards allowed per game), and has been better on offense, ranking fourth-best with a tally of 565 yards per game.
- On offense, UCF has been a top-25 unit, ranking 23rd-best in the FBS by totaling 38.3 points per game. The Knights rank 44th on defense (20 points allowed per game).
- UCF has the 34th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (188.8 allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th-best with 304.8 passing yards per game.
- Offensively, UCF has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking third-best in the FBS by totaling 260.3 per game. The Knights rank 99th on defense (158.3 rushing yards allowed per game).
- On the offensive side of the ball, UCF has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 20th-best in the FBS by averaging a 50% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 73rd on defense (39.7% third-down percentage allowed).
- With four forced turnovers (97th in the FBS) against seven turnovers committed (88th in the FBS), UCF (-3) owns the 103rd-ranked turnover margin in college football.
UCF’s Best Players
- Timmy McClain has recorded 638 yards (159.5 ypg) on 37-of-57 passing with five touchdowns compared to one interception this season. In addition, he’s added 80 rushing yards (20 ypg) on 23 carries.
- Johnny Richardson has carried the ball 39 times for a team-high 289 yards on the ground.
- RJ Harvey has 156 yards receiving (39 per game) on seven catches with two touchdowns, while also racking up 70.8 rush yards per game and five touchdowns on the ground.
- Kobe Hudson’s leads his squad with 463 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on 20 receptions (out of 26 targets) and scored two touchdowns.
- Javon Baker has caught 14 passes for 219 yards (54.8 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
- Tre’mon Morris-Brash leads the team with three sacks, and also has seven TFL and 12 tackles.
- Lee Hunter, UCF’s tackle leader, has 24 tackles and one TFL this year.
- Corey Thornton has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 11 tackles and two passes defended.
Baylor Betting Insights
- Baylor is winless against the spread so far this year in three games with a set total.
- Baylor is 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 11.5 points or greater this season.
- Out of Baylor’s three games with a set total, one has hit the over (33.3%).
Baylor Pick Insights
- With 404.8 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, Baylor ranks 62nd in the FBS in 2023. Defensively, it ranks 79th, surrendering 376 total yards per contest.
- Baylor has been sputtering on offense, ranking 19th-worst in the FBS with 20 points per game. It has been better on the other side of the ball, surrendering 26.8 points per contest (83rd-ranked).
- Baylor is posting 265 passing yards per contest on offense this season (45th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 204.8 passing yards per game (49th-ranked) on defense.
- Baylor is putting up 139.8 rushing yards per game on offense this season (85th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 171.3 rushing yards per contest (105th-ranked) on defense.
- Baylor ranks 100th in the FBS with a 36.1% third-down conversion percentage on offense, and 41st with a 35.4% third-down percentage allowed on defense.
- With five forced turnovers (74th in the FBS) and six turnovers committed (69th in the FBS) this season, Baylor ranks 82nd in the FBS with a turnover margin of -1.
Baylor’s Best Players
- Sawyer Robertson has racked up 647 yards (161.8 per game) while completing 49.5% of his passes and collecting one touchdown pass with four interceptions this season.
- Dominic Richardson is his team’s leading rusher with 36 carries for 160 yards, or 40 per game.
- Dawson Pendergrass has run for 134 yards across 28 attempts, scoring one touchdown.
- Ketron Jackson Jr. has registered 13 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 223 (55.8 yards per game). He’s been targeted 30 times.
- Hal Presley has totaled 172 receiving yards (43 yards per game) on 11 receptions.
- Drake Dabney’s 17 targets have resulted in 10 receptions for 147 yards and three touchdowns.
- TJ Franklin leads the team with two sacks, and also has three TFL and 10 tackles.
- Matt Jones is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s racked up 24 tackles, three TFL, and two sacks.
- Carl Williams IV leads the team with one interception, while also putting up three tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended.
