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The Miami Dolphins (3-0) take a three-game winning streak into a meeting with the Buffalo Bills (2-1) on Sunday, October 1, 2023 at Highmark Stadium.
The Bills have been thriving on both sides of the ball, ranking second-best in scoring offense (30.3 points per game) and second-best in scoring defense (11.7 points allowed per game). The Dolphins’ offensive attack has been paving the way for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 550.3 total yards per contest. In terms of defense, they are giving up 361.3 total yards per game, which ranks 23rd.
Bills vs. Dolphins Picks
At the moment, 50.8% of Splash Inc. users are picking the Dolphins to upset the Bills, with 57.4% expecting the Dolphins to cover the 3-point spread on Sunday.
Game Info: Bills vs. Dolphins
- Game Day: Sunday, October 1, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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Buffalo is a 3-point favorite over Miami on Sunday and the over/under has been set at 53.5 points. Here are some betting trends and insights if you plan to place a wager on the game.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills is 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
- In games they have played as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Bills are 2-0 against the spread.
- Out of the Bills’ three games with a set total, one has hit the over (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills rank eighth in total offense this season (383.3 yards per game), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 253 yards allowed per game.
- The Bills have been clicking on all fronts this season, as they rank second-best in scoring offense (30.3 points per game) and second-best in scoring defense (11.7 points allowed per game).
- The Bills rank 12th in passing yards this season (234 per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 142.3 passing yards allowed per game.
- On offense, the Bills rank seventh in the NFL with 149.3 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 14th in rushing yards allowed per contest (110.7).
- The Bills sport the seventh-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (31% third-down conversion rate allowed), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking best with a 51.2% third-down conversion rate.
- The Bills are averaging 5.7 yards per play on offense, which ranks them ninth in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 26th, surrendering 5.8 yards per play.
- The Bills have the third-best turnover margin in the league at +4, forcing nine turnovers (first in NFL) while turning it over five times (21st in NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 728 PASS YDS / 242.7 YPG / 72.7% / 5 TD / 4 INT / 12 CAR / 89 RUSH YDS / 1 TD
- James Cook: 44 CAR / 267 YDS / 89 YPG / 0 TD / 10 REC / 67 YDS / 22.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 25 REC / 279 YDS / 93 YPG / 1 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 9 REC / 159 YDS / 53 YPG / 2 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 11 REC / 72 YDS / 24 YPG / 0 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 24 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT / 2 PD
Game Trends for Dolphins
- The Dolphins are 3-0-0 against the spread this year.
- The Dolphins are 1-0 against the spread so far when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- The Dolphins have gone over in two of three games with a set total (66.7%).
Stats & Insights for Dolphins
- The Dolphins’ offense has been thriving, accumulating 550.3 total yards per contest (best) this season. Defensively, they rank 23rd by giving up 361.3 total yards per game.
- The Dolphins’ offense has been thriving, putting up 43.3 points per contest (best) this season. Defensively, they rank 20th by giving up 23.7 points per game.
- The Dolphins’ pass defense ranks 20th in the NFL with 231.3 passing yards given up per game, but they’ve been carried by their offense, which ranks best by piling up 362 passing yards per contest.
- The Dolphins’ run offense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 188.3 rushing yards per game. In terms of defense, they are surrendering 130 rushing yards per game, which ranks 24th.
- The Dolphins rank sixth in the NFL with a 46.4% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 23rd with a 45.2% third-down percentage allowed on defense.
- The Dolphins’ offense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 8.4 yards per play. In terms of defense, they are conceding 5.6 yards per play, which ranks 16th.
- At +2, the Dolphins sport the ninth-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with five forced turnovers (seventh in NFL) and three turnovers committed (10th in NFL).
Best Players for Dolphins
- Tua Tagovailoa: 1,024 PASS YDS / 341.3 YPG / 71.3% / 8 TD / 2 INT
- Raheem Mostert: 41 CAR / 240 YDS / 80 YPG / 6 TD / 10 REC / 79 YDS / 26.3 YPG / 1 TD
- Devon Achane: 19 CAR / 208 YDS / 104 YPG / 2 TD / 5 REC / 34 YDS / 17 YPG / 2 TD
- Tyreek Hill: 25 REC / 412 YDS / 137.3 YPG / 4 TD
- Jaylen Waddle: 8 REC / 164 YDS / 82 YPG / 0 TD
- Braxton Berrios: 7 REC / 103 YDS / 34.3 YPG / 0 TD
- Jevon Holland: 33 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 PD
