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Kay’Ron Adams will lead the UMass Minutemen (1-5) into their battle against the Toledo Rockets (4-1) at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET.
The Rockets are expected to win by at least two TDs (currently -19.5) versus the Minutemen. The over/under for this game is 59 points.
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Game Info for Toledo vs. UMass
- Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPNU
- Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | -19.5 | -111 | -109 | 59 | -110 | -110 | -1346 | +771 |
Toledo Pick Insights
- Toledo is 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
- Toledo is 0-1 against the spread when favored by 19.5 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in three of Toledo’s four games with a set total.
Toledo Stats & Insights
- Toledo owns the 50th-ranked defense this year (343.4 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 22nd-best with a tally of 465 yards per game.
- Toledo owns the 51st-ranked defense this year (22.8 points allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 11th-best with 40.8 points per game.
- Toledo ranks 62nd in pass offense (240.4 passing yards per game) and 28th in pass defense (191.4 passing yards allowed per game) this year.
- Toledo ranks 87th in run defense this year (152 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking seventh-best in the FBS with 224.6 rushing yards per game.
- Toledo has the 41st-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (34.9% third-down percentage allowed), and has been more effective offensively, ranking 21st-best with a 48.4% third-down conversion rate.
- With nine forced turnovers (22nd in the FBS) against nine turnovers committed (102nd in the FBS), Toledo’s even turnover margin ranks 66th in college football.
Toledo’s Best Players
- DeQuan Finn leads Toledo with 954 yards (190.8 ypg) on 73-of-110 passing with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He also has 241 rushing yards on 49 carries while scoring three touchdowns on the ground.
- Peny Boone has racked up 515 yards on 68 carries while finding the end zone five times.
- Junior Vandeross III’s team-high 294 yards as a receiver have come on 16 catches (out of 27 targets) with one touchdown.
- Jerjuan Newton has put up a 260-yard season so far with seven touchdowns, hauling in 18 passes on 25 targets.
- Larry Stephens has a total of 110 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 10 throws and scoring two touchdowns.
- Judge Culpepper has racked up five sacks to lead the team, while also recording three TFL and 14 tackles.
- So far Nate Bauer leads the team in both tackles and interceptions. He has totaled 26 tackles and one interception this season.
UMass Betting Insights
- UMass is 2-4-0 against the spread this year.
- UMass is 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 19.5 points or more this season.
- Five of UMass’ six games with a set total have hit the over (83.3%).
UMass Pick Insights
- UMass’ defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, allowing 441.8 total yards per game, which ranks 12th-worst. Offensively, it ranks 73rd with 389.3 total yards per contest.
- UMass’ defense has been bottom-25 in scoring defense this season, allowing 39.2 points per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 84th with 26.5 points per contest.
- From an offensive standpoint, UMass is accumulating 250.7 passing yards per contest (54th-ranked). It ranks 95th in the FBS defensively (247.5 passing yards given up per game).
- UMass has been struggling against the run, ranking 14th-worst with 194.3 rushing yards allowed per game. It has been more effective offensively, regstering 138.7 rushing yards per contest (89th-ranked).
- In terms of third-down efficiency, UMass ranks 97th in the FBS (36% third-down conversion rate) and 73rd defensively (39.7% third-down rate allowed).
- At -2, UMass owns the 93rd-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with seven forced turnovers (53rd in the FBS) and nine turnovers committed (102nd in the FBS).
UMass’ Best Players
- Carlos Davis leads UMass with 886 yards on 62-of-101 passing with six touchdowns compared to three interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, Adams, has carried the ball 110 times for 504 yards (84 per game) with five touchdowns.
- Taisun Phommachanh has totaled 95 yards on 31 carries with two touchdowns.
- Anthony Simpson’s 426 receiving yards (71 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 26 receptions on 43 targets with two touchdowns.
- Mark Pope has 16 receptions (on 24 targets) for a total of 252 yards (42 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
- George Johnson has racked up 202 reciving yards (33.7 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
- Billy Wooden, who leads the team in tackles and sacks, has recorded four sacks, four TFL and 22 tackles.
- Michael Oppong has a team-leading one interception to go along with eight tackles and one pass defended.
