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Kimani Vidal will lead the Troy Trojans (3-2) into their battle versus the Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2) at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET.
The Red Wolves are expected to lose by at least two TDs (currently +15.5) versus the Trojans (with an over/under of 52 points).
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Game Info for Troy vs. Arkansas State
- Game Day: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Troy, Alabama
- Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | -15.5 | -110 | -110 | 52 | -110 | -110 | -765 | +527 |
Troy Pick Insights
- Troy is 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
- Out of Troy’s four games with a set total, one has hit the over (25%).
Troy Stats & Insights
- Troy ranks 53rd in total offense this season (415.4 yards per game), but has been playing really well on defense, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with 415.4 yards allowed per game.
- On offense, Troy ranks 88th in the FBS with 26 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 57th in points allowed (302.6 points allowed per contest).
- Troy ranks 42nd in pass offense (270.2 passing yards per game) and 42nd in pass defense (209.4 passing yards allowed per game) this season.
- On the defensive side of the ball, Troy has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking 16th-best by allowing only 93.2 per game. The Trojans rank 82nd on offense (145.2 rushing yards per game).
- Troy is averaging a 40.8% third-down conversion rate on offense (65th in the FBS), and ranks 60th defensively with a 37.3% third-down conversion rate allowed.
- With seven forced turnovers (54th in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (121st in the FBS), Troy’s -4 turnover margin is the 19th-worst in college football.
Troy’s Best Players
- Gunnar Watson has 1,302 yards passing for Troy, completing 61.2% of his passes and recording nine touchdowns and four interceptions this season.
- Vidal has 590 rushing yards on 103 carries with three touchdowns. He’s also tacked on nine catches for 133 yards (26.6 per game) and one touchdown through the air.
- Damien Taylor has piled up 97 yards on 17 carries, scoring one time.
- Jabre Barber’s team-leading 295 yards as a receiver have come on 21 catches (out of 38 targets) with two touchdowns.
- Chris Lewis has hauled in 12 receptions totaling 244 yards, finding the end zone two times as a receiver so far this campaign.
- Deshon Stoudemire’s 18 catches are good enough for 205 yards.
- Javon Solomon has 3.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has two TFL and 13 tackles.
- Troy’s leading tackler, Jayden McDonald, has 25 tackles and three TFL this year.
- Reddy Steward has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 15 tackles, two TFL, and two passes defended.
Arkansas State Betting Insights
- Arkansas State is 2-2-1 against the spread this year.
- Arkansas State is 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 15.5 points or greater this season.
- Arkansas State has gone over in three of their five games with a set total (60%).
Arkansas State Pick Insights
- Arkansas State ranks 78th in total yards per game (380.8), but it has been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 13th-worst in the FBS with 434.4 total yards allowed per contest.
- Arkansas State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in scoring defense this season, surrendering 36.4 points per game, which ranks sixth-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 88th with 26 points per contest.
- Arkansas State has been struggling against the pass, ranking 15th-worst with 273.2 passing yards given up per game. It has been more effective offensively, putting up 216.4 passing yards per contest (92nd-ranked).
- From an offensive perspective, Arkansas State is putting up 164.4 rushing yards per contest (59th-ranked). It ranks 97th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (161.2 rushing yards surrendered per game).
- Arkansas State ranks 82nd in third-down conversion percentage (39.1%) on offense, but it has been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd-worst in the FBS with a 45.2% third-down percentage allowed.
- After forcing three turnovers (120th in the FBS) and turning the ball over six times (49th in the FBS) this season, Arkansas State owns the 105th-ranked turnover margin of -3.
Arkansas State’s Best Players
- Jaylen Raynor has thrown for 694 yards on 35-of-52 passing with 10 touchdowns and one interception this season. He has chipped on the ground, as well, with 189 yards and two rushing touchdowns.
- The team’s top rusher, Ja’Quez Cross, has carried the ball 49 times for 337 yards (67.4 per game) with three touchdowns.
- Courtney Jackson has hauled in 274 receiving yards on 14 catches to pace his squad so far this season while scoring four touchdowns as a receiver.
- Jeff Foreman has caught six passes and compiled 184 receiving yards (36.8 per game) with three touchdowns.
- Corey Rucker’s 26 targets have resulted in nine receptions for 128 yards.
- Blayne Toll paces the team with two sacks, and also has three TFL and six tackles.
- Arkansas State’s tackle leader, Javante Mackey, has 26 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks this year.
- Trevian Thomas has a team-high one interception to go along with 17 tackles and one pass defended.
