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The Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET, in a matchup featuring two star players in Emmanuel Michel and Alex Tecza.
The Falcons are expected to win by at least two scores (currently -10.5) versus the Midshipmen. The over/under for this matchup is 36.5 points.
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Game Info for Air Force vs. Navy
- Game Day: Saturday, October 21, 2023
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Annapolis, Maryland
- Stadium: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | -10.5 | -110 | -110 | 36.5 | -110 | -110 | -398 | +306 |
Air Force Pick Insights
- Air Force’s ATS record is 3-1-0 this season.
- Air Force has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 10.5 points or more this season.
- Each of Air Force’s four games with a set total have hit the over.
Air Force Stats & Insights
- Air Force ranks 55th in total offense this season (412.2 yards per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the FBS with 412.2 yards allowed per game.
- Air Force has been clicking on all fronts this year, as they rank 17th-best in scoring offense (37 points per game) and ninth-best in scoring defense (14.7 points allowed per game).
- Air Force has struggled in the passing game, ranking worst in the FBS (78 passing yards per game) this season. However, the defense ranks sixth-best on the defensive side of the ball, giving up just 163 passing yards per game.
- Air Force has been firing on all cylinders in the running game this year, ranking best in rushing offense (334.2 rushing yards per game) and sixth-best in rushing defense (77 rushing yards allowed per game).
- On the offensive side of the ball, Air Force has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the FBS by putting up a 59.4% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 44th on defense (35.2% third-down percentage allowed).
- Air Force owns the 35th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing six turnovers (107th in the FBS) while turning it over four times (eighth in the FBS).
Air Force’s Best Players
- Michel has 497 rushing yards on 113 carries with eight touchdowns.
- Jared Roznos’ 279 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 10 times and has collected nine catches and two touchdowns.
- Cade Harris has hauled in two receptions totaling 82 yards, finding the end zone one time as a receiver so far this campaign.
- Brandon Engel’s two grabs are good enough for 46 yards.
- PJ Ramsey leads the team with 4.5 sacks, and also has five TFL and 10 tackles.
- Alec Mock, Air Force’s tackle leader, has 34 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks this year.
- Trey Taylor leads the team with two interceptions, while also putting up 28 tackles, three TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
Navy Betting Insights
- Navy is 2-3-0 against the spread this year.
- When they have played as at least 10.5-point underdogs this year, the Midshipmen are 1-1 against the spread.
- In Navy’s five games with a set total, two have hit the over (40%).
Navy Pick Insights
- Navy is posting 335 total yards per game on offense this season (106th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 375.3 total yards per game (70th-ranked).
- Navy has been sputtering on offense, ranking 17th-worst in the FBS with 20.3 points per game. It has been better on defense, surrendering 23 points per contest (49th-ranked).
- Navy’s passing game has been sputtering, ranking second-worst in the FBS with 99.3 passing yards per game. It has been better on defense, surrendering 226.8 passing yards per contest (72nd-ranked).
- Navy’s run offense has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks fifth-best in the FBS with 235.7 rushing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is surrendering 148.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 80th.
- Navy’s third-down offense has been bottom-25 this season, compiling a 31% third-down percentage, which ranks 13th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 27th with a 32.9% third-down rate ceded.
- Navy has a top-25 turnover margin this season, ranking third-best at +9.
Navy’s Best Players
- Tai Lavatai leads Navy with 426 yards on 27-of-52 passing with three touchdowns compared to zero interceptions this season. He has chipped in with 163 rushing yards (27.2 ypg) on 53 carries while scoring two touchdowns on the ground.
- Tecza has rushed for 503 yards on 62 carries so far this year while scoring four times on the ground.
- Dabe Fofana has totaled 229 yards on 54 carries with one touchdown.
- Eli Heidenreich paces his team with 156 receiving yards on four catches with two touchdowns.
- Brandon Chatman has put up a 146-yard season so far. He’s caught seven passes on 10 targets.
- Nathan Kent’s four catches (on nine targets) have netted him 77 yards (12.8 ypg) and one touchdown.
- Luke Pirris has three sacks to lead the team, and also has three TFL and 24 tackles.
- Will Harbour is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s amassed 46 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks.
- Rayuan Lane leads the team with three interceptions, while also collecting 29 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and five passes defended.
