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The Air Force Falcons (6-0) visit the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) on Saturday at 12:00 PM ET, in a matchup between two star players in Emmanuel Michel and Alex Tecza.
The Falcons are double-digit favorites (currently -10) in their game versus the Midshipmen, with the over/under being 33.5 points. (In terms of the moneyline, the Falcons are -374 and the Midshipmen are +293.)
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Game Info for Air Force vs. Navy
- Game Day: Saturday, October 21, 2023
- Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Annapolis, Maryland
- Stadium: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | -10 | -108 | -111 | 33.5 | -111 | -109 | -374 | +293 |
Air Force Pick Insights
- Air Force has a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
- In games it has played as at least 10-point favorites this season, Air Force is 1-1 against the spread.
- Air Force has gone over in all of its four games with a set total.
Air Force Stats & Insights
- Defensively, Air Force has been a top-25 unit, ranking third-best by surrendering just 240 yards per game. The offense ranks 55th (412.2 yards per game).
- Air Force has been surging on both offense and defense, ranking 17th-best in scoring offense (37 points per game) and ninth-best in scoring defense (14.7 points allowed per game).
- Air Force sports the sixth-best pass defense this season (163 passing yards allowed per game), but ranks worst on offense (78 passing yards per game).
- Air Force has been a difficult matchup for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (best with 334.2 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (sixth-best with 77 rushing yards allowed per game) this season.
- Air Force has the 45th-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (35.2% third-down percentage allowed), and has been better offensively, ranking best with a 59.4% third-down percentage.
- Air Force owns the 36th-ranked turnover margin in college football at +2, forcing six turnovers (109th in the FBS) while turning it over four times (eighth in the FBS).
Air Force’s Best Players
- Michel has carried the ball 113 times for a team-high 497 yards on the ground and has found the end zone eight times as a runner.
- Jared Roznos’ leads his squad with 279 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on nine receptions (out of 10 targets) and scored two touchdowns.
- Cade Harris has caught two passes while averaging 13.7 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
- Brandon Engel has hauled in two grabs for 46 yards, an average of 7.7 yards per game.
- PJ Ramsey has 4.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has five TFL and 10 tackles.
- Air Force’s top-tackler, Alec Mock, has 34 tackles, two TFL, and two sacks this year.
- Trey Taylor has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 28 tackles, three TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
Navy Betting Insights
- Navy has covered the spread twice in five opportunities this season.
- When they have played as at least 10-point underdogs this year, the Midshipmen are 1-1 against the spread.
- Out of Navy’s five games with a set total, two have hit the over (40%).
Navy Pick Insights
- In terms of total offense, Navy ranks 105th in the FBS (335 total yards per game) and 70th on the other side of the ball (375.3 total yards allowed per game).
- Navy ranks 16th-worst in points per game (20.3), but it has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 50th in the FBS with 23 points ceded per contest.
- Navy’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, registering 99.3 passing yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 72nd with 226.8 passing yards surrendered per contest.
- Navy’s run offense has been thriving, posting 235.7 rushing yards per contest (fifth-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 79th by surrendering 148.5 rushing yards per game.
- Navy’s third-down offense has been bottom-25 this season, generating a 31% third-down percentage, which ranks 14th-worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 27th with a 32.9% third-down rate ceded.
- Navy has generated 12 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over three times, leading to a +9 turnover margin, which ranks third-best in the FBS.
Navy’s Best Players
- Tai Lavatai has racked up 426 yards on 51.9% passing while collecting three touchdown passes with zero interceptions this season. He’s also run for 163 yards with two scores.
- The team’s top rusher, Tecza, has carried the ball 62 times for 503 yards (83.8 per game) with four touchdowns.
- Dabe Fofana has compiled 229 yards on 54 carries with one touchdown.
- Eli Heidenreich has racked up 156 receiving yards on four receptions to pace his squad so far this season while scoring two touchdowns as a receiver.
- Brandon Chatman has put up a 146-yard season so far. He’s caught seven passes on 10 targets.
- Nathan Kent has racked up 77 reciving yards (12.8 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
- Xavier McDonald leads the team with three sacks, and also has one TFL and 25 tackles.
- Will Harbour is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s picked up 46 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks.
- Rayuan Lane leads the team with three interceptions, while also recording 29 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and five passes defended.
