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The Indianapolis Colts (4-5) go on the road to take on the New England Patriots (2-7) at Deutsche Bank Park on Sunday, November 12, 2023.
Despite having a bottom-five scoring defense that ranks fifth-worst in the NFL (26.9 points allowed per game), the Colts have had more success on offense, ranking seventh in the NFL by averaging 25.8 points per game. From an offensive angle, the Patriots are posting 289.4 total yards per game (27th-ranked). They rank 16th in the NFL defensively (333.4 total yards surrendered per game).
Colts vs. Patriots Picks
Splash Inc. users project the Colts will win straight up and cover against the Patriots, with 78.0% of users picking them to win and 67.8% picking them to cover the 1.5-point spread on Sunday.
Game Info: Colts vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, November 12, 2023
- Game Time: 9:30 AM ET
- TV Channel: NFL Network
- Location: Frankfurt-Flughafen, Germany
- Stadium: Deutsche Bank Park
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Before making a wager on Sunday’s Indianapolis-New England spread (Indianapolis -1.5) or total (43 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.
Game Trends for Colts
- The Colts have gone 5-4-0 ATS this season.
- The Colts are 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
- Six of the Colts’ nine games with a set total have hit the over (66.7%).
Stats & Insights for Colts
- The Colts are putting up 344.1 yards per game on offense (12th in NFL), and they rank 26th defensively with 360.6 yards allowed per game.
- Despite having a bottom-five scoring defense that ranks fifth-worst in the NFL (26.9 points allowed per game), the Colts have had more success on the other side of the ball, ranking seventh in the NFL by totaling 25.8 points per game.
- The Colts are compiling 220.8 passing yards per game on offense (16th in the NFL), and they rank 23rd on defense with 235 passing yards allowed per game.
- The Colts rank 10th in run offense (123.3 rushing yards per game) and 24th in run defense (125.6 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.
- The Colts are putting up a 39.2% third-down conversion rate on offense (18th in the NFL), and they rank 13th on the other side of the ball with a 37.9% third-down percentage allowed.
- This season, the Colts are putting up 5.4 yards per play (19th in the league), while allowing 5.5 per play on the defensive side of the ball (17th in the NFL).
- With 14 forced turnovers (seventh in NFL) against 14 turnovers committed (23rd in NFL), the Colts (0) have the 12th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL.
Best Players for Colts
- Gardner Minshew: 1,527 PASS YDS / 190.9 YPG / 63.6% / 8 TD / 5 INT
- Zack Moss: 132 CAR / 615 YDS / 76.9 YPG / 5 TD / 16 REC / 123 YDS / 15.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Jonathan Taylor: 62 CAR / 254 YDS / 50.8 YPG / 1 TD / 15 REC / 131 YDS / 26.2 YPG / 1 TD
- Michael Pittman Jr.: 58 REC / 593 YDS / 65.9 YPG / 3 TD
- Josh Downs: 41 REC / 483 YDS / 53.7 YPG / 2 TD
- Alec Pierce: 17 REC / 243 YDS / 27 YPG / 0 TD
- Zaire Franklin: 102 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 3 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots are just 2-7-0 against the spread this year.
- The Patriots are 1-5 against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in three of the Patriots’ nine games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots rank 27th with 289.4 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 16th with 333.4 total yards given up per game on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Patriots’ offense has been a bottom-five unit this season, posting 15 points per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank 26th with 25.3 points allowed per contest.
- The Patriots are compiling 202.6 passing yards per game on offense this season (21st-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 232.7 passing yards per contest (21st-ranked) on defense.
- The Patriots rank fifth-worst in rushing yards per game (86.9), but they’ve been more productive defensively, ranking 11th in the NFL with 100.8 rushing yards allowed per contest.
- From an offensive angle, the Patriots are putting up a 33.1% third-down conversion percentage (26th-ranked). They rank 17th in the NFL defensively (39.7% third-down rate allowed).
- With 5 yards per play on offense, the Patriots rank 26th in the NFL. On defense they rank seventh, allowing 5.2 yards per play.
- The Patriots have forced nine turnovers this season and have turned the ball over 14 times, resulting in a -5 turnover margin that is fifth-worst in the NFL.
Best Players for Patriots
- Mac Jones: 1,861 PASS YDS / 206.8 YPG / 64.8% / 10 TD / 9 INT
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 106 CAR / 394 YDS / 43.8 YPG / 3 TD / 29 REC / 215 YDS / 23.9 YPG / 0 TD
- Ezekiel Elliott: 73 CAR / 277 YDS / 30.8 YPG / 2 TD / 16 REC / 74 YDS / 8.2 YPG / 0 TD
- Hunter Henry: 27 REC / 277 YDS / 30.8 YPG / 3 TD
- Demario Douglas: 24 REC / 277 YDS / 34.6 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 68 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK / 3 PD
