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The Buffalo Bills (5-4) host the Denver Broncos (3-5) at Highmark Stadium on Monday, November 13, 2023.
The Bills have been surging on both sides of the ball, ranking fifth-best in scoring offense (26.7 points per game) and fifth-best in scoring defense (17.8 points allowed per game). The Broncos’ defense has been bottom-five in scoring defense this season, surrendering 28.3 points per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On offense, they rank 16th with 21.5 points per contest.
Bills vs. Broncos Picks
The Broncos are picked by Splash Inc. users to both cover the spread and win straight up as underdogs against the Bills on Monday. Currently, 3.5% of users are projecting them to win the game and 27.6% expect the Broncos to cover the 7.5-point spread.
Game Info: Bills vs. Broncos
- Game Day: Monday, November 13, 2023
- Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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Buffalo is a 7.5-point favorite over Denver on Monday and the over/under has been set at 46.5 points. Below are some betting insights and trends if you are planning on making a wager on the contest.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills’ ATS record is 3-6-0 this season.
- The Bills have a 1-3 record against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
- Bills games have hit the over on three of nine occasions (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by totaling 370.2 yards per game. They rank 17th on defense (334 yards allowed per game).
- The Bills have been firing on all cylinders this season, as they rank fifth-best in scoring offense (26.7 points per game) and fifth-best in scoring defense (17.8 points allowed per game).
- Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by compiling 262.1 per game. They rank 14th on defense (219.6 passing yards allowed per game).
- The Bills are averaging 108.1 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 16th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 18th, allowing 114.4 rushing yards per contest.
- The Bills rank 23rd in third-down defense this year (41.7% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with a 50% third-down conversion rate.
- The Bills have the 27th-ranked defense this year in terms of yards per play (5.9 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking third-best with 6 yards per play.
- The Bills have forced 14 total turnovers (seventh in NFL) this season and have turned it over 14 times (23rd in NFL) for a turnover margin of an even, 12th-ranked in the NFL.
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 2,423 PASS YDS / 269.2 YPG / 71.3% / 18 TD / 9 INT / 44 CAR / 233 RUSH YDS / 6 TD
- James Cook: 108 CAR / 506 YDS / 56.2 YPG / 1 TD / 22 REC / 211 YDS / 23.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 70 REC / 834 YDS / 92.7 YPG / 7 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 31 REC / 434 YDS / 48.2 YPG / 5 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 40 REC / 339 YDS / 42.4 YPG / 1 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 80 TKL / 6 TFL / 2 SACK / 2 INT / 4 PD
Game Trends for Broncos
- The Broncos have covered the spread twice in eight opportunities this season.
- The Broncos are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or greater this year.
- In the Broncos’ eight games with a set total, four have hit the over (50%).
Stats & Insights for Broncos
- The Broncos’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in total defense this season, ceding 405.9 total yards per game, which ranks worst. On offense, they rank 22nd with 302.1 total yards per contest.
- The Broncos rank 16th in points per game (21.5), but they’ve been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 28.3 points allowed per contest.
- The Broncos’ passing game has been struggling, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 185.4 passing yards per game. They have been more productive defensively, surrendering 251.8 passing yards per contest (26th-ranked).
- The Broncos have been struggling against the run, ranking worst with 154.1 rushing yards allowed per game. They have been more effective on the other side of the ball, posting 116.8 rushing yards per contest (11th-ranked).
- From an offensive perspective, the Broncos are posting a 40.2% third-down conversion percentage (15th-ranked). They rank 14th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (38.5% third-down rate allowed).
- The Broncos’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards given up per play, ranking worst at 6.6. They have been more productive on offense, regstering 5.6 yards per play (11th-ranked).
- With 12 forced turnovers (16th in NFL) and 12 turnovers committed (15th in NFL) this season, the Broncos rank 12th in the NFL with a turnover margin of 0.
Best Players for Broncos
- Russell Wilson: 1,613 PASS YDS / 201.6 YPG / 66.1% / 16 TD / 4 INT / 31 CAR / 201 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Javonte Williams: 90 CAR / 357 YDS / 51 YPG / 0 TD / 17 REC / 78 YDS / 11.1 YPG / 1 TD
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 38 CAR / 268 YDS / 33.5 YPG / 1 TD / 12 REC / 65 YDS / 8.1 YPG / 2 TD
- Courtland Sutton: 33 REC / 380 YDS / 47.5 YPG / 6 TD
- Jerry Jeudy: 27 REC / 336 YDS / 48 YPG / 1 TD
- Marvin Mims: 11 REC / 246 YDS / 30.8 YPG / 1 TD
- Alex Singleton: 71 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 PD
