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Star quarterback Kaidon Salter and the Liberty Flames (10-0) face the UMass Minutemen (3-7) on Saturday at 1:00 PM ET at Williams Stadium.
The Flames are expected to come out on top by at least two TDs (currently -27.5) versus the Minutemen. The over/under for this matchup is 62 points.
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Game Info for Liberty vs. UMass
- Game Day: Saturday, November 18, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Location: Lynchburg, Virginia
- Stadium: Williams Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | -27.5 | -111 | -109 | 62 | -110 | -110 | -6747 | +1713 |
Liberty Pick Insights
- So far this season, Liberty has put together an 8-1-0 record against the spread.
- Five of Liberty’s nine games with a set total have hit the over (55.6%).
Liberty Stats & Insights
- Liberty owns the 43rd-ranked defense this season (347.4 yards allowed per game), and has been more effective offensively, ranking seventh-best with a tally of 496.4 yards per game.
- Liberty ranks 34th in scoring defense this year (20.7 points allowed per game), but has been playing really well on offense, ranking 10th-best in the FBS with 39 points per game.
- Liberty is averaging 218.4 passing yards per game on offense (79th in the FBS), and ranks 76th on defense with 233 passing yards allowed per game.
- On the offensive side of the ball, Liberty has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking best in the FBS by compiling 278 per game. The Flames rank 27th on defense (114.4 rushing yards allowed per game).
- Offensively, Liberty has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking ninth-best in the FBS by averaging a 49.1% third-down conversion rate. The defense ranks 53rd on defense (37% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- With 20 forced turnovers (fifth in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (29th in the FBS), Liberty’s +9 turnover margin is the ninth-best in college football.
Liberty’s Best Players
- Salter leads Liberty with 2,184 yards (218.4 ypg) on 127-of-214 passing with 26 touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He also has 705 rushing yards on 115 carries while scoring nine touchdowns on the ground.
- Quinton Cooley has carried the ball 181 times for a team-high 1,066 yards on the ground and has found the end zone nine times as a runner.
- CJ Daniels’ 792 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 60 times and has registered 37 receptions and eight touchdowns.
- Treon Sibley has caught 19 passes for 429 yards (42.9 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.
- Noah Frith has compiled 11 grabs for 221 yards, an average of 22.1 yards per game. He’s scored two times as a receiver this season.
- CJ Bazile Jr. has racked up three sacks to pace the team, while also picking up three TFL and 28 tackles.
- Tyren Dupree, Liberty’s tackle leader, has 77 tackles, four TFL, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions this year.
- Brylan Green has a team-high five interceptions to go along with 31 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and five passes defended.
UMass Betting Insights
- UMass has a 4-6-0 record against the spread this year.
- UMass is 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 27.5 points or more this season.
- Seven of UMass’ 10 games with a set total have hit the over (70%).
UMass Pick Insights
- UMass has been struggling defensively, ranking 24th-worst with 416.1 total yards surrendered per game. It has been more effective offensively, putting up 359.5 total yards per contest (88th-ranked).
- UMass ranks 94th in points per game (23.5), but it has been less effective defensively, ranking third-worst in the FBS with 37.4 points ceded per contest.
- From an offensive standpoint, UMass is posting 204.6 passing yards per game (92nd-ranked). It ranks 40th in the FBS defensively (207.5 passing yards surrendered per game).
- UMass ranks 71st in rushing yards per game (154.9), but it has been less effective defensively, ranking fourth-worst in the FBS with 208.6 rushing yards conceded per contest.
- UMass ranks 81st in third-down conversion rate (37.7%) on offense, but it has been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 12th-worst in the FBS with a 45.8% third-down percentage allowed.
- After forcing 13 turnovers (72nd in the FBS) and turning the ball over 11 times (29th in the FBS) this season, UMass owns the 47th-ranked turnover margin of +2.
UMass’ Best Players
- Taisun Phommachanh leads UMass with 1,038 yards on 99-of-159 passing with four touchdowns compared to three interceptions this season.
- Kay’Ron Adams has rushed for 1,014 yards on 201 carries so far this year while scoring nine times on the ground.
- Gregroy Desrosiers has piled up 31 carries and totaled 285 yards with four touchdowns.
- Anthony Simpson leads his team with 637 receiving yards on 45 catches with three touchdowns.
- George Johnson has put together a 355-yard season so far with three touchdowns. He’s caught 28 passes on 45 targets.
- Mark Pope’s 42 targets have resulted in 24 receptions for 301 yards and one touchdown.
- Billy Wooden has five sacks to lead the team, and also has five TFL and 39 tackles.
- Nahji Logan, UMass’ leading tackler, has 43 tackles, two TFL, and 0.5 sacks this year.
- Juan Lua has a team-high two interceptions to go along with 16 tackles and two passes defended.
