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The San Francisco 49ers (11-4) visit a struggling Washington Commanders (4-11) squad on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at FedExField. The Commanders have lost six games in a row.
On offense, the 49ers have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best in the NFL by compiling 404.3 yards per game. They rank 11th on defense (312.3 yards allowed per game). The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five in scoring defense this season, allowing 30.2 points per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. On the offensive side of the ball, they rank 23rd with 20.6 points per contest.
49ers vs. Commanders Picks
The 49ers are projected by Splash Inc. users to win, but not cover the spread, against the Commanders on Sunday. Currently, 96.3% of users are picking them to win, but 32.7% have picked the Commanders to cover the 13.5-point spread.
Game Info: 49ers vs. Commanders
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Landover, Maryland
- Stadium: FedExField
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San Francisco is a 13.5-point favorite against Washington on Sunday and the over/under is set at 49.5 points. Keep reading for a few betting insights and trends if you are planning on making a wager on the contest.
Game Trends for 49ers
- The 49ers have posted a 8-7-0 record against the spread this season.
- The 49ers have a 1-2 record against the spread when favored by 13.5 points or more this season.
- The teams have hit the over in eight of the 49ers’ 15 games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for 49ers
- Offensively, the 49ers have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best in the NFL by totaling 404.3 yards per game. They rank 11th on defense (312.3 yards allowed per game).
- The 49ers have been finding success on both offense and defense, ranking third-best in scoring offense (29.6 points per game) and third-best in scoring defense (17.8 points allowed per game).
- The 49ers rank 16th in pass defense this season (222 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 265.7 passing yards per game.
- The 49ers have been making things happen on both sides of the ball in the running game this year, as they rank fourth-best in rushing offense (138.7 rushing yards per game) and third-best in rushing defense (90.3 rushing yards allowed per game).
- The 49ers rank 21st in third-down defense this season (39.8% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with a 47.5% third-down conversion rate.
- The 49ers rank ninth in yards per play allowed this season (5.3), but they’ve been playing really well on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 6.9 yards per play.
- The 49ers own the fourth-best turnover margin in the league at +8, forcing 25 turnovers (third in NFL) while turning it over 17 times (10th in NFL).
Best Players for 49ers
- Brock Purdy: 4,050 PASS YDS / 270 YPG / 68.8% / 29 TD / 11 INT
- Christian McCaffrey: 258 CAR / 1,395 YDS / 93 YPG / 14 TD / 63 REC / 537 YDS / 35.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Deebo Samuel: 33 CAR / 179 YDS / 13.8 YPG / 5 TD / 53 REC / 834 YDS / 64.2 YPG / 6 TD
- Brandon Aiyuk: 65 REC / 1,203 YDS / 85.9 YPG / 6 TD
- George Kittle: 62 REC / 991 YDS / 66.1 YPG / 6 TD
- Fred Warner: 126 TKL / 6 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 4 INT / 11 PD
Game Trends for Commanders
- The Commanders are 6-8-1 against the spread this year.
- In the Commanders’ 15 games with a set total, nine have hit the over (60%).
Stats & Insights for Commanders
- The Commanders’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in total defense this season, ceding 384.3 total yards per game, which ranks worst. On offense, they rank 19th with 327.5 total yards per contest.
- The Commanders rank 23rd in points per game (20.6), but they’ve been less productive defensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 30.2 points ceded per contest.
- The Commanders rank 16th in passing yards per game (228.8), but they’ve been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 261.6 passing yards conceded per contest.
- The Commanders are posting 98.7 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (21st-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 122.7 rushing yards per game (23rd-ranked) on defense.
- The Commanders are posting a 36.5% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (22nd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing a 40.6% third-down rate (23rd-ranked) on defense.
- The Commanders’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards surrendered per play, ranking fourth-worst at 6. They have been better offensively, generating 5.5 yards per play (15th-ranked).
- The Commanders sport a bottom-five turnover margin this season, second-worst at -10.
Best Players for Commanders
- Jacoby Brissett: 224 PASS YDS / 112 YPG / 78.3% / 3 TD / 0 INT
- Brian Robinson Jr.: 160 CAR / 664 YDS / 51.1 YPG / 5 TD / 29 REC / 326 YDS / 25.1 YPG / 3 TD
- Sam Howell: 43 CAR / 265 YDS / 17.7 YPG / 5 TD
- Terry McLaurin: 69 REC / 885 YDS / 59 YPG / 3 TD
- Curtis Samuel: 57 REC / 565 YDS / 40.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Jahan Dotson: 47 REC / 501 YDS / 33.4 YPG / 4 TD
- Kamren Curl: 106 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 5 PD
