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The Air Force Falcons (4-0) host the San Diego State Aztecs (2-3) on Saturday at 8:00 PM ET, in a matchup between a pair of the top offensive players in college football in Emmanuel Michel and Mark Redman.
The Falcons are expected to win by double digits (currently -10.5) against the Aztecs. The over/under for this matchup is 43.5 points.
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Game Info for Air Force vs. San Diego State
- Game Day: Saturday, September 30, 2023
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
- Location: Colorado Springs, Colorado
- Stadium: Falcon Stadium
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | -10.5 | -110 | -110 | 43.5 | -109 | -111 | -401 | +311 |
Air Force Pick Insights
- Air Force is 2-0-0 against the spread this season.
- Air Force has gone over in two of two games with a set total (100%).
Air Force Stats & Insights
- Defensively, Air Force has been a top-25 unit, ranking second-best by allowing just 223 yards per game. The offense ranks 66th (395.8 yards per game).
- Air Force sports the 39th-ranked offense this season (34.8 points per game), and has been more effective on defense, ranking 14th-best with only 12.8 points allowed per game.
- Air Force has struggled in the passing game, ranking third-worst in the FBS (55.3 passing yards per game) this season. However, the defense ranks 12th-best on the other side of the ball, allowing just 161 passing yards per game.
- Air Force has been clicking on all fronts in the running game this year, ranking best in rushing offense (340.5 rushing yards per game) and fifth-best in rushing defense (62 rushing yards allowed per game).
- Air Force has been finding success on both offense and defense in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking third-best in third-down percentage (58.8%) and 13th-best in third-down percentage allowed (27.9%).
- Air Force has forced five total turnovers (74th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over two times (third in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +3, the 22nd-best in college football.
Air Force’s Best Players
- Michel has 322 rushing yards on 73 carries with six touchdowns.
- Jared Roznos’ leads his squad with 166 yards as a receiver. He’s racked up that yardage on four receptions (out of five targets) and scored one touchdown.
- Brandon Engel has put up a 28-yard season so far, hauling in one pass on two targets.
- John Lee Eldridge III has compiled one catch for 14 yards, an average of 3.5 yards per game.
- PJ Ramsey has collected 3.5 sacks to lead the team, while also recording four TFL and five tackles.
- Air Force’s tackle leader, Alec Mock, has 19 tackles, one TFL, and two sacks this year.
- Trey Taylor leads the team with one interception, while also putting up 15 tackles, two TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
San Diego State Betting Insights
- So far this season, San Diego State has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread.
- San Diego State is 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 10.5 points or more this year.
- Out of San Diego State’s four games with a set total, one has hit the over (25%).
San Diego State Pick Insights
- San Diego State has not been getting things done on defense, ranking 13th-worst with 430.2 total yards given up per game. It has been more effective offensively, putting up 344.4 total yards per contest (97th-ranked).
- In terms of points scored San Diego State ranks 108th in the FBS (21.2 points per game), and it is 86th on the other side of the ball (27.2 points allowed per game).
- San Diego State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in pass defense this season, surrendering 265.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 25th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 103rd with 195.2 passing yards per contest.
- From an offensive angle, San Diego State is putting up 149.2 rushing yards per game (73rd-ranked). It ranks 101st in the FBS defensively (164.4 rushing yards surrendered per game).
- San Diego State is posting a 37.1% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (90th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering a 40.3% third-down rate (78th-ranked) on defense.
- San Diego State has accumulated 10 forced turnovers (seventh in the FBS) and committed 10 turnovers (121st in the FBS) this season for a 0 turnover margin that ranks 67th in the FBS.
San Diego State’s Best Players
- Jalen Mayden has thrown for 944 yards (188.8 ypg) to lead San Diego State, completing 62% of his passes and recording four touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. He is also a playmaker on the ground, racking up 268 yards (53.6 ypg) on 57 carries with three touchdowns.
- Jaylon Armstead has piled up 228 yards (on 48 carries) with four touchdowns.
- Redman has hauled in 193 receiving yards on 16 catches to pace his squad so far this season while scoring two touchdowns as a receiver.
- Brionne Penny has collected 187 receiving yards (37.4 yards per game) on 13 receptions.
- Baylin Brooks has racked up 177 reciving yards (35.4 ypg) and one touchdown this season.
- Zyrus Fiaseu paces the team with two sacks, and also has four TFL and 18 tackles.
- Cody Moon is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s totaled 19 tackles, one TFL, and one sack.
- Cedarious Barfield has picked off a team-high three passes. He also has 12 tackles, one TFL, and four passes defended to his name.
