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The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (13-0) and No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs (12-1) meet on December 31, 2022, at 4:00 PM ET in the Fiesta Bowl, with a spot in the College Football Playoff National Championship up for grabs.
The Horned Frogs are expected to lose by at least a touchdown (currently +9.5) against the Wolverines (with an over/under of 60.5 points).
Game Info and Betting Lines for Michigan vs. TCU
- Game Day: Saturday, December 31, 2022
- Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Location: Glendale, Arizona
- Stadium: State Farm Stadium
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Michigan Betting Insights
- So far this year, TCU has put together a 9-3-1 record against the spread.
- Out of TCU’s 13 games with a set total, seven have hit the over (53.8%).
Michigan Stats & Insights
- Defensively, Michigan has been a top-25 unit, ranking third-best by allowing just 277.1 yards per game. The offense ranks 27th (453.5 yards per game).
- Michigan has been a tough opponent for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (seventh-best with 40.1 points per game) and scoring defense (fifth-best with 13.4 points allowed per game) this year.
- Michigan has the 90th-ranked offense this year in terms of passing yards (210.5 passing yards per game), and has been more effective defensively, ranking 23rd-best with only 191.8 passing yards allowed per game.
- Michigan has been a tough matchup for opposing teams in the running game, ranking top-25 in both rushing offense (sixth-best with 243.0 rushing yards per game) and rushing defense (third-best with 85.2 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.
- Michigan has been surging on both sides of the ball in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 18th-best in third-down conversion rate (46.8%) and 19th-best in third-down percentage allowed (32.4%).
- Michigan has forced 14 total turnovers (88th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over seven times (third in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +7, the 20th-best in college football.
Michigan’s Best Players
- J.J. McCarthy has compiled 2,376 yards (182.8 ypg) on 188-of-288 passing with 20 touchdowns compared to three interceptions this season. In addition, he’s added 254 rushing yards (19.5 ypg) on 60 carries while scoring four touchdowns on the ground.
- Blake Corum has carried the ball 247 times for a team-high 1,463 yards on the ground and has found the end zone 18 times.
- Donovan Edwards has carried the ball 117 times for 872 yards (87.2 per game) and seven touchdowns while also racking up 192 yards through the air, scoring two times.
- Ronnie Bell’s 754 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted zero times and has totaled 56 catches and three touchdowns.
- Cornelius Johnson has put up a 469-yard season so far with six touchdowns, reeling in 30 passes on zero targets.
- Luke Schoonmaker has a total of 386 receiving yards so far this year, grabbing 34 passes and scoring three touchdowns.
- Mike Morris has six sacks to lead the team, and also has 10 TFL and 21 tackles.
- Junior Colson, Michigan’s leading tackler, has 90 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks this year.
- Rod Moore leads the team with three interceptions, while also putting up 57 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended.
TCU Betting Insights
- TCU has gone 9-3-1 ATS this year.
- The teams have hit the over in seven of TCU’s 13 games with a set total.
TCU Stats & Insights
- TCU’s defense ranks 76th in the FBS with 385.1 total yards surrendered per contest, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 16th-best by generating 473.0 total yards per contest.
- TCU’s offense has been consistently moving the chains, putting up 40.3 points per game (sixth-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 56th by allowing 25.0 points per game.
- TCU’s pass offense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 25th-best in the FBS with 273.0 passing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is ceding 235.6 passing yards per game, which ranks 83rd.
- TCU’s run defense ranks 65th in the FBS with 149.5 rushing yards given up per game, but it has been carried by its offense, which ranks 25th-best by posting 200.0 rushing yards per game.
- TCU is generating a 40.2% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (52nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering a 35.2% third-down rate (38th-ranked) on defense.
- TCU has fared really well in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of +9 ranks 10th-best in the FBS, with 19 forced turnovers (27th in the nation) and 10 turnovers committed (ninth in the nation).
TCU’s Best Players
- Max Duggan has thrown for 3,321 yards (255.5 ypg) while completing 64.9% of his passes and recording 30 touchdown passes with four interceptions this season. He’s also rushed for 404 yards with six touchdowns.
- Kendre Miller is his team’s leading rusher with 216 carries for 1,342 yards, or 103.2 per game. He’s found paydirt 17 times on the ground, as well.
- Emari Demercado has collected 472 yards (on 90 carries) with five touchdowns.
- Quentin Johnston paces his team with 903 receiving yards on 53 receptions with five touchdowns.
- Taye Barber has 34 receptions (on zero targets) for a total of 593 yards (49.4 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.
- Derius Davis’ zero targets have resulted in 35 catches for 418 yards and five touchdowns.
- Dee Winters paces the team with seven sacks, and also has 10 TFL and 65 tackles.
- Johnny Hodges is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s totaled 76 tackles, five TFL, and one sack.
- Bud Clark has picked off a team-leading four passes. He also has 35 tackles, one TFL, and four passes defended to his name.