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    As I write this, Aaron Rodgers, Derk Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo and Geno Smith are all, in one way or another, on the market. Where and when these guys sign will profoundly impact the 2023 NFL Draft. 

    Whether or not Smith stays in Seattle is probably the lynchpin to the first round of this draft. If he moves, and I think he will, the QB shuffle kicks in.

    I think Carr will sign with the Jets, and Smith with either the Bucs or the Steelers. I think the Raiders will trade ahead of time for Rodgers, giving up their first-rounder and a bunch more. 

    On top of this, I think we will see at least two more trades in the first round. Based on that, here’s how I think the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft could shake out. 

    #1. (TRADE) CHI->SEASeahawks shock the world, trade up, and draft QB Bryce Young, ALB
    #2 HOUTexans stay put and draft OSU QB CJ Stroud
    #3 ARZCardinals get a gift in uber-talented ALB EDGE, Will Anderson Jr
    #4 INDChargers take the best OL on the board, OT Anton Harrison, OKL, sign Jimmy G
    #5 (TRADE) SEA->CHIBears take the best DB off the board: PSU CB, Joey Porter
    #6 DETLions select defensive BPA in ORE CB Christian Gonzalez
    #7 (TRADE) LV-> GBPackers use the Rodgers trade to take OT Paris Johnson, OSU
    #8 ATLFalcons take athletic DL Myles Murphy, ALB
    #9 CARPanthers select QB Anthony Richardson from FLA
    #10 PHIEagles reach a bit for CB Devon Witherspoon, ILL, and it works
    #11 TENTitans take WR Jordan Addison, USC, then sign QB Baker Mayfield
    #12 (TRADE) HOU->DETLions move up to select S Brian Branch, ALB
    #13 NYJJets add another weapon with TE Michael Mayer, ND
    #14 NEPatriots select a playmaker for their new QB, WR Quentin Johnston, TCU
    #15 GBPackers select ARK LB Drew Sanders, then get a WR in the 2nd round
    #16 WASCommanders, at a loss, reach for QB Tanner McKee, STA
    #17 PITSteelers draft unsexy OL anchor in OT Brockerick Jones, GEO 
    #18 (TRADE) DET->HOUTexans stretch a touch for CB Deonte Banks, MAR 
    #19 TBYBucs draft smart and take Kelee Ringo, CB from GEO
    #20 (TRADE) SEA->CHIBears cash in their second trade pick for weapon/WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    #21 LACJaguars’ young QB needs options; TE Luke Musgrave from ORE 
    #22 BALRavens go D with CB Cam Smith from SCU
    #23 MINVikings take first RB off the board in Bijan Robinson, TEX
    #24 JAXSaints draft QB of the future in Hendon Hooker, TEN
    #25 NYGGiants add another field stretcher in WR Jalin Hyatt, TEN
    #26 DALCowboys shore up the rush with EDGE BJ Ojulari, LSU
    #27 BUFBills add to DL rotation with DL Keion White, GT
    #28 CINBengals add EDGE as Luke Van Ness, IOW slips to them
    #29 NOSaints take RB Zach Evans, OLE MISS
    #30 PHIEagles add punch to a potent ground game with OG Cody Mauch, NDSU
    #31 KCChiefs make it 3 RBs in 1st round drafting Jahmyr Gibbs, ALB
    BONUS PICK #32 PITSteelers turn de facto 1st rounder into OT Darnell Wright, TEN

    That’s me picking two shock trades, 5 QBs, 5 ALB players, and an early run on OL.

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