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The Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) head into a matchup with the Denver Broncos (1-4) on Thursday, October 12, 2023 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on a four-game winning streak.
The Chiefs rank seventh in total offense (381 yards per game) and ninth in total defense (301.4 yards allowed per game) this season. The Broncos have not been getting things done on defense, ranking worst with 450.6 total yards allowed per game. They have been better offensively, compiling 328.2 total yards per contest (16th-ranked).
Chiefs vs. Broncos Picks
Splash Inc. users project the Chiefs will win straight up and also cover against the Broncos, with 98.4% of users picking them to win and 100.0% picking them to cover the 10.5-point spread on Thursday.
Game Info: Chiefs vs. Broncos
- Game Day: Thursday, October 12, 2023
- Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
- TV Channel: Amazon Prime Video
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
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See these betting insights and trends before you wager on Thursday’s Kansas City-Denver spread (Kansas City -10.5) or total (47.5 points).
Game Trends for Chiefs
- The Chiefs have a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Chiefs are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 10.5 points or more this season.
- Two of the Chiefs’ five games with a set total have hit the over (40%).
Stats & Insights for Chiefs
- The Chiefs are totaling 381 yards per game on offense this season (seventh in NFL), and they are surrendering 301.4 yards per game (ninth) on the other side of the ball.
- The Chiefs rank ninth in points scored this season (25.6 points per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 16 points allowed per game.
- The Chiefs are totaling 258 passing yards per game on offense this year (seventh in NFL), and they are allowing 204.2 passing yards per game (13th) on the other side of the ball.
- From an offensive standpoint, the Chiefs rank 12th in the NFL with 123 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 11th in rushing yards allowed per contest (97.2).
- The Chiefs sport the ninth-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (35.4% third-down percentage allowed), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking best with a 51.5% third-down percentage.
- This season, the Chiefs are gaining 5.8 yards per play (ninth in the league), while surrendering 5.1 per play on the defensive side of the ball (seventh in the NFL).
- With six forced turnovers (15th in NFL) against eight turnovers committed (20th in NFL), the Chiefs’ -2 turnover margin ranks 19th in the NFL.
Best Players for Chiefs
- Patrick Mahomes II: 1,287 PASS YDS / 257.4 YPG / 66.8% / 10 TD / 4 INT / 23 CAR / 154 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Isiah Pacheco: 71 CAR / 325 YDS / 65 YPG / 3 TD / 11 REC / 99 YDS / 19.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Travis Kelce: 27 REC / 222 YDS / 55.5 YPG / 3 TD
- Justin Watson: 10 REC / 219 YDS / 43.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Rashee Rice: 17 REC / 173 YDS / 34.6 YPG / 2 TD
- Drue Tranquill: 31 TKL / 0.5 SACK
Game Trends for Broncos
- The Broncos are winless against the spread so far this season in five games with a set total.
- Out of the Broncos’ five games with a set total, four have hit the over (80%).
Stats & Insights for Broncos
- The Broncos rank 16th in total yards per game (328.2), but they’ve been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with 450.6 total yards allowed per contest.
- The Broncos have been struggling on defense, ranking worst with 36.2 points surrendered per game. They have been more effective on offense, putting up 24.2 points per contest (10th-ranked).
- The Broncos have been struggling in pass defense, ranking fourth-worst with 263 passing yards given up per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, regstering 224 passing yards per contest (13th-ranked).
- The Broncos have been struggling against the run, ranking worst with 187.6 rushing yards allowed per game. They have been more effective on the other side of the ball, generating 104.2 rushing yards per contest (19th-ranked).
- The Broncos rank 15th in the NFL with a 39.3% third-down conversion rate on offense, and 18th with a 40.7% third-down percentage allowed on the defensive side of the ball.
- While the Broncos’ defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking worst by ceding 7.2 yards per play, their offense is fifth-best with 6.1 yards per play.
- After forcing five turnovers (19th in NFL) and turning the ball over eight times (20th in NFL) this season, the Broncos have the 22nd-ranked turnover margin of -3.
Best Players for Broncos
- Russell Wilson: 1,210 PASS YDS / 242 YPG / 66.9% / 11 TD / 2 INT / 18 CAR / 119 RUSH YDS / 0 TD
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 22 CAR / 160 YDS / 32 YPG / 1 TD / 7 REC / 46 YDS / 9.2 YPG / 2 TD
- Javonte Williams: 38 CAR / 138 YDS / 34.5 YPG / 0 TD / 11 REC / 51 YDS / 12.8 YPG / 0 TD
- Marvin Mims: 10 REC / 246 YDS / 49.2 YPG / 1 TD
- Courtland Sutton: 21 REC / 229 YDS / 45.8 YPG / 3 TD
- Jerry Jeudy: 17 REC / 208 YDS / 52 YPG / 0 TD
- Alex Singleton: 43 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 PD
