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The Buffalo Bills (9-6) take a three-game winning streak into a matchup with the New England Patriots (4-11) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at Highmark Stadium.
The Bills have the 10th-ranked defense this year (310.2 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with 374.1 yards per game. The Patriots’ offense has been a bottom-five unit this season, compiling 14.1 points per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 15th with 21.5 points ceded per contest.
Bills vs. Patriots Picks
Splash Inc. users are split on the Sunday NFL matchup between the Bills and the Patriots. At the moment, 2.4% of users think the Patriots will win straight up as underdogs, while 56.3% of users project the Bills will cover as 14-point favorites.
Game Info: Bills vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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Before making a wager on Sunday’s Buffalo-New England spread (Buffalo -14) or total (40 points), see the betting trends and insights below.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills have a 6-9-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Bills have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 14 points or more this season (0-1).
- The Bills have gone over in five of their 15 games with a set total (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills sport the 10th-ranked defense this year (310.2 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking fourth-best with 374.1 yards per game.
- The Bills have been shining on both offense and defense, ranking fifth-best in scoring offense (26.9 points per game) and fourth-best in scoring defense (18.4 points allowed per game).
- The Bills are averaging 243.7 passing yards per game on offense this year (ninth in NFL), and they are giving up 198.9 passing yards per game (ninth) on the defensive side of the ball.
- The Bills rank seventh in run offense (130.5 rushing yards per game) and 16th in run defense (111.3 rushing yards allowed per game) this season.
- The Bills rank 16th in third-down defense this year (38.5% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with a 49.2% third-down percentage.
- On offense, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of yards per play, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by compiling 5.9 yards per play. They rank 12th on defense (5.4 yards per play allowed).
- With 24 forced turnovers (seventh in NFL) against 24 turnovers committed (24th in NFL), the Bills (0) own the 15th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL.
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 3,778 PASS YDS / 251.9 YPG / 66.5% / 27 TD / 15 INT / 85 CAR / 413 RUSH YDS / 13 TD
- James Cook: 208 CAR / 1,038 YDS / 69.2 YPG / 2 TD / 40 REC / 433 YDS / 28.9 YPG / 4 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 96 REC / 1,070 YDS / 71.3 YPG / 8 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 43 REC / 725 YDS / 51.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 62 REC / 502 YDS / 35.9 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 124 TKL / 7 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 3 INT / 5 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots are 4-11-0 against the spread this year.
- The Patriots have hit the over in six of their 15 games with a set total (40%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots rank fifth-worst in total yards per game (285.5), but they’ve been more productive defensively, ranking seventh in the NFL with 306.1 total yards ceded per contest.
- The Patriots have not been getting things done offensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 14.1 points per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, giving up 21.5 points per contest (15th-ranked).
- In terms of passing, the Patriots rank 24th in the NFL (189.8 passing yards per game) and 15th defensively (221.3 passing yards allowed per contest).
- The Patriots have been thriving on run defense, giving up just 84.8 rushing yards per game (second-best). On offense, they rank 25th in the NFL by piling up 95.7 rushing yards per game.
- The Patriots’ offense has not been getting things done on third down, ranking third-worst in the NFL with a 31.3% third-down conversion percentage. They have been better on defense, allowing a 36.7% third-down rate (eighth-ranked).
- The Patriots rank fourth-worst in yards per play on offense (5), but at least they’ve been playing well on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in yards surrendered per play (5).
- At -7, the Patriots have the 26th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 16 forced turnovers (24th in NFL) and 23 turnovers committed (21st in NFL).
Best Players for Patriots
- Bailey Zappe: 975 PASS YDS / 121.9 YPG / 63.5% / 6 TD / 4 INT
- Ezekiel Elliott: 157 CAR / 549 YDS / 36.6 YPG / 2 TD / 45 REC / 280 YDS / 18.7 YPG / 2 TD
- Mac Jones: 26 CAR / 96 YDS / 8.7 YPG / 0 TD
- Demario Douglas: 44 REC / 517 YDS / 43.1 YPG / 0 TD
- Hunter Henry: 42 REC / 419 YDS / 32.2 YPG / 6 TD
- DeVante Parker: 31 REC / 373 YDS / 33.9 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 97 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK / 3 PD
