Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. New Mexico State Aggies Picks & Preview | NCAAFB Week 13

Star player Diego Pavia and the New Mexico State Aggies (9-3) meet the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (8-3) on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET, at Aggie Memorial Stadium.

The Gamecocks are favored, but by less than a field goal (-2), versus the Aggies. The over/under for this game is 50 points.

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Game Info for Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State

• Game Day: Saturday, November 25, 2023
• Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Location: Las Cruces, New Mexico
• Stadium: Aggie Memorial Stadium

Jacksonville State Pick Insights

• Jacksonville State has a 7-2-0 record against the spread this season.
• Jacksonville State has a 3-0 record against the spread in games it was favored by 2 points or more this season.
• Jacksonville State games have hit the over on four of nine occasions (44.4%).

Jacksonville State Stats & Insights

• Jacksonville State is averaging 403.7 yards per game on offense this season (53rd in the FBS), and are allowing 353.1 yards per game (46th) on the other side of the ball.
• Jacksonville State is averaging 31 points per game on offense, which ranks them 42nd in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, the defense ranks 32nd, allowing 20.4 points per game.
• With 158.1 offensive passing yards per game (10th-worst) and 246.4 passing yards allowed per game on defense (23rd-worst), Jacksonville State has been playing poorly on both sides of the ball this season in the passing game.
• Jacksonville State has been making things happen on both sides of the ball in the running game this year, ranking third-best in rushing offense (245.6 rushing yards per game) and 19th-best in rushing defense (106.7 rushing yards allowed per game).
• On the defensive side of the ball, Jacksonville State has been a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 12th-best by allowing a 29.9% third-down percentage. The team’s offense ranks 70th (38.8% third-down conversion rate).
• Jacksonville State owns the 14th-best turnover margin in college football at +8, forcing 21 turnovers (10th in the FBS) while turning it over 13 times (39th in the FBS).

Jacksonville State’s Best Players

• Zion Webb has been a dual threat for Jacksonville State so far this season. He has 1,033 passing yards, completing 48.8% of his passes and tossing five touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 647 yards (58.8 ypg) on 108 carries with seven rushing touchdowns.
• The team’s top rusher, Malik Jackson, has carried the ball 125 times for 817 yards (74.3 per game), scoring six times.
• Perry Carter Jr. has hauled in 27 receptions for 484 yards (44 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone three times as a receiver.
• Sean Brown has put together a 266-yard season so far with five touchdowns, reeling in 17 passes on 34 targets.
• Quinton Lane has been the target of 35 passes and racked up 22 receptions for 230 yards, an average of 20.9 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone one time through the air this season.
• Chris Hardie paces the team with 6.5 sacks, and also has nine TFL, 38 tackles, and one interception.
• Quae Drake, Jacksonville State’s top tackler, has 61 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and one interception this year.
• Kekoura Tarnue has picked off a team-high three passes. He also has 35 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and three passes defended to his name.

New Mexico State Betting Insights

• New Mexico State is 7-2-1 against the spread this season.
• When it has played as at least 2-point underdogs this season, New Mexico State is 4-1-1 against the spread.
• Out of New Mexico State’s 10 games with a set total, three have hit the over (30%).

New Mexico State Pick Insights

• New Mexico State ranks 48th with 418.1 total yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 54th with 362.8 total yards surrendered per game on defense.
• New Mexico State is putting up 28.9 points per game on offense this season (57th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 19.9 points per game (28th-ranked) on defense.
• With 213.1 passing yards per game on offense, New Mexico State ranks 83rd in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 77th, giving up 232.6 passing yards per game.
• New Mexico State’s run offense has been excelling, compiling 205 rushing yards per contest (12th-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 41st by allowing 130.2 rushing yards per game.
• From an offensive angle, New Mexico State is posting a 40.8% third-down conversion rate (56th-ranked). It ranks 42nd in the FBS on defense (35.7% third-down rate allowed).
• With nine forced turnovers (123rd in the FBS) and nine turnovers committed (10th in the FBS) this season, New Mexico State ranks 64th in the FBS with a turnover margin of 0.

New Mexico State’s Best Players

• Pavia has been a dual threat for New Mexico State this season. He has 2,458 passing yards (204.8 per game) while completing 60.5% of his passes. He’s tossed 22 touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. On the ground, he’s compiled 749 yards (62.4 ypg) on 134 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
• Star Thomas has run for 582 yards across 95 carries, scoring four touchdowns.
• Jonathan Brady’s 497 receiving yards (41.4 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 31 receptions on 47 targets with three touchdowns.
• Trent Hudson has put together a 363-yard season so far with seven touchdowns. He’s caught 22 passes on 42 targets.
• Eli Stowers has racked up 326 reciving yards (27.2 ypg) and two touchdowns this season.
• Sterling Webb has racked up 4.5 sacks to lead the team, while also picking up three TFL and 25 tackles.
• Keyshaun Elliott is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s racked up 82 tackles, six TFL, and 2.5 sacks.
• Andre Seldon leads the team with one interception, while also collecting 40 tackles, two TFL, and one pass defended.