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The Buffalo Bills (9-6) take a three-game winning streak into a matchup with the New England Patriots (4-11) on Sunday, December 31, 2023 at Highmark Stadium.
On defense, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by surrendering only 18.4 points per game. They rank sixth on offense (26.9 points per game). The Patriots have been struggling on offense, ranking worst in the NFL with 14.1 points per game. They have been better on the other side of the ball, allowing 21.5 points per contest (16th-ranked).
Bills vs. Patriots Picks
A majority of Splash Inc. users have picked the Patriots to win as underdogs against the Bills on Sunday (1.8% of users), while 52.2% think the Bills will cover the spread as 13-point favorites.
Game Info: Bills vs. Patriots
- Game Day: Sunday, December 31, 2023
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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Buffalo is a 13-point favorite against New England on Sunday and the over/under is set at 40.5 points. Here are a few betting trends and insights before you place a wager on the contest.
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills have gone 6-9-0 ATS this season.
- The Bills are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 13-point favorites.
- Bills games have hit the over on five of 15 occasions (33.3%).
Stats & Insights for Bills
- Offensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best in the NFL by putting up 374.1 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (310.2 yards allowed per game).
- Defensively, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by allowing only 18.4 points per game. They rank sixth on offense (26.9 points per game).
- On offense, the Bills rank ninth in the NFL with 243.7 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank ninth in passing yards allowed per contest (198.9).
- The Bills are putting up 130.5 rushing yards per game offensively this year (seventh in NFL), and they are giving up 111.3 rushing yards per game (16th) on the other side of the ball.
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the NFL by putting up a 49.2% third-down conversion rate. They rank 16th on defense (38.5% third-down percentage allowed).
- The Bills rank 13th in yards per play allowed this season (5.4), but they’ve been playing really well on offense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 5.9 yards per play.
- The Bills own the 15th-ranked turnover margin in the league at even, forcing 24 turnovers (sixth in NFL) while turning it over 24 times (24th in NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- Josh Allen: 3,778 PASS YDS / 251.9 YPG / 66.5% / 27 TD / 15 INT / 85 CAR / 413 RUSH YDS / 13 TD
- James Cook: 208 CAR / 1,038 YDS / 69.2 YPG / 2 TD / 40 REC / 433 YDS / 28.9 YPG / 4 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 96 REC / 1,070 YDS / 71.3 YPG / 8 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 43 REC / 725 YDS / 51.8 YPG / 7 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 62 REC / 502 YDS / 35.9 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 124 TKL / 7 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 3 INT / 5 PD
Game Trends for Patriots
- The Patriots’ ATS record is 4-11-0 this season.
- Six of the Patriots’ 15 games with a set total have hit the over (40%).
Stats & Insights for Patriots
- The Patriots have been struggling on offense, ranking fifth-worst with 285.5 total yards per game. They have been more effective on the other side of the ball, surrendering 306.1 total yards per contest (eighth-ranked).
- The Patriots’ offense has been bottom-five this season, registering 14.1 points per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 16th with 21.5 points allowed per contest.
- The Patriots are posting 189.8 passing yards per contest on offense this season (24th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 221.3 passing yards per contest (15th-ranked) on defense.
- The Patriots rank 25th in the NFL with 95.7 rushing yards per contest, but they’ve been carried by their defense, which ranks second-best by giving up just 84.8 rushing yards per contest.
- The Patriots’ third-down offense has been bottom-five this season, putting up a 31.3% third-down rate, which ranks third-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank eighth with a 36.7% third-down rate ceded.
- The Patriots rank fifth-worst in yards per play on offense (5), but at least they’ve been dominating on defense, ranking third-best in yards allowed per play (5).
- The Patriots own a -7 turnover margin this season, which ranks 26th in the NFL.
Best Players for Patriots
- Bailey Zappe: 975 PASS YDS / 121.9 YPG / 63.5% / 6 TD / 4 INT
- Ezekiel Elliott: 157 CAR / 549 YDS / 36.6 YPG / 2 TD / 45 REC / 280 YDS / 18.7 YPG / 2 TD
- Mac Jones: 26 CAR / 96 YDS / 8.7 YPG / 0 TD
- Demario Douglas: 44 REC / 517 YDS / 43.1 YPG / 0 TD
- Hunter Henry: 42 REC / 419 YDS / 32.2 YPG / 6 TD
- DeVante Parker: 31 REC / 373 YDS / 33.9 YPG / 0 TD
- Ja’Whaun Bentley: 97 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK / 3 PD
