Vikings vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Picks & Preview | NFL Week 1

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) go on the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings (0-0) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, September 10, 2023.

Despite having a bottom-five scoring defense that ranked fifth-worst in the NFL last season (25.1 points allowed per game), the Vikings had more success offensively, ranking eighth in the NFL by averaging 24.9 points per game. The Buccaneers ranked 15th in total offense (346.7 yards per game) and ninth in total defense (324.3 yards allowed per game) last year.

Vikings vs. Buccaneers Picks

At the moment, 13.6% of Splash Inc. users are picking the Buccaneers to upset the Vikings, with 37.5% picking the Buccaneers to cover the 6.5-point spread on Sunday.

Game Info: Vikings vs. Buccaneers

• Game Day: Sunday, September 10, 2023
• Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: CBS
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: U.S. Bank Stadium

Before you make your picks on Sunday’s Minnesota-Tampa Bay game, check out the game trends and insights below.

Here’s a look at some betting trends for Minnesota (-6.5) versus Tampa Bay on Sunday. The total is set at 45.5 points for this game.

Game Trends for Vikings

• The Vikings won seven games against the spread last season, failing to cover or pushing 10 times.
• The Vikings covered the spread once last season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 11 times in Vikings games.

Stats & Insights for Vikings

• The Vikings averaged 24.9 points per game last year, 3.8 more than the Buccaneers gave up per contest (21.1).
• The Vikings were 7-6 against the spread and 12-1 overall in games when they put up over 21.1 points last year.
• The Buccaneers had a 4-7-1 record against the spread and a 8-4 record overall in games when they allowed opponents to score fewer than 24.9 points last season.
• The Vikings racked up 37.2 more yards per game (361.5) than the Buccaneers gave up per contest (324.3) last season.
• When the Vikings amassed over 324.3 yards last year, the team was 5-7 against the spread and 10-2 overall.
• The Buccaneers had a -7-1 record ATS and a – record overall when holding their opponents to fewer than 361.5 yards last season.
• The Vikings rushed for 97.7 yards per game last season, 23.0 fewer than the 120.7 the Buccaneers allowed per outing.
• The Vikings had a 5-1 ATS record and a 6-0 overall record when the team rushed for over 120.7 yards last year.
• Last season, the Buccaneers were -4-1 against the spread and – overall when holding opponents to fewer than 97.7 rushing yards.
• Last year the Vikings turned the ball over 23 times, three more than the Buccaneers’ takeaways (20).

Best Players for Vikings

• Kirk Cousins: 4,547 PASS YDS / 267.5 YPG / 65.9% / 29 TD / 14 INT
• Alexander Mattison: 74 CAR / 283 YDS / 16.6 YPG / 5 TD / 15 REC / 91 YDS / 5.4 YPG / 1 TD
• Justin Jefferson: 128 REC / 1,809 YDS / 106.4 YPG / 8 TD
• K.J. Osborn: 60 REC / 650 YDS / 38.2 YPG / 5 TD
• T.J. Hockenson: 60 REC / 519 YDS / 51.9 YPG / 3 TD
• Jordan Hicks: 129 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK / 1 INT / 10 PD

Game Trends for Buccaneers

• The Buccaneers’ record against the spread last season was 4-12-1.
• Out of the 17 Buccaneers’ games last year, six went over the total.

Stats & Insights for Buccaneers

• The Buccaneers put up 18.4 points per game last season, 6.7 fewer than the Vikings gave up (25.1).
• The Buccaneers were 1-1 against the spread and 1-1 overall in games when they put up more than 25.1 points last season.
• When the Vikings allowed fewer than 18.4 points last year, they had a 3-0-1 record against the spread and a 4-0 record overall.
• The Buccaneers collected 42.0 fewer yards per game (346.7) than the Vikings gave up per matchup (388.7) last season.
• When the Buccaneers amassed more than 388.7 yards last year, the team was 2-3 against the spread and 4-1 overall.
• When the Vikings held their opponents to fewer than 346.7 yards last year, they had a -4-1 record ATS and a – record overall.
• Last year the Buccaneers racked up 76.9 yards per game on the ground, 46.2 fewer than the Vikings allowed per outing (123.1).
• The Buccaneers had a 2-0 ATS record and a 2-0 overall record when the team rushed for over 123.1 yards last season.
• When the Vikings kept their opponents to fewer than 76.9 yards on the ground last year, they were -0 against the spread and – overall.
• Last year the Buccaneers had 22 turnovers, three fewer than the Vikings had takeaways (25).

Best Players for Buccaneers

• Baker Mayfield: 1,313 PASS YDS / 187.6 YPG / 57.8% / 6 TD / 6 INT
• Rachaad White: 129 CAR / 481 YDS / 28.3 YPG / 1 TD / 50 REC / 290 YDS / 17.1 YPG / 2 TD
• Chase Edmonds: 26 CAR / 125 YDS / 25.0 YPG / 0 TD / 6 REC / 61 YDS / 12.2 YPG / 0 TD
• Mike Evans: 77 REC / 1,124 YDS / 74.9 YPG / 6 TD
• Chris Godwin: 104 REC / 1,023 YDS / 68.2 YPG / 3 TD
• Russell Gage: 51 REC / 426 YDS / 32.8 YPG / 5 TD
• Lavonte David: 124 TKL / 10.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK / 5 PD