Chiefs vs. Lions Prediction, Picks & Preview | NFL Week 1

The Detroit Lions (0-0) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday, September 7, 2023.

The Chiefs owned the 16th-ranked defense last year (21.7 points allowed per game), and they were better offensively, ranking best with 29.2 points per game. While the Lions ranked worst in the NFL in total defense with 392.4 yards allowed per game last season, it was a different situation on offense, as they ranked fourth-best in the NFL (380.0 yards per game).

Chiefs vs. Lions Picks

The Chiefs are picked by Splash Inc. users to win straight up, but not cover the spread, against the Lions on Thursday. Right now, 92.9% of users are picking them to win, while 29.4% are picking the Lions to cover the 6.5-point spread.

Game Info: Chiefs vs. Lions

  • Game Day: Thursday, September 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Before you make your picks on Sunday’s Kansas City-Detroit game, check out the game trends and insights below.

Before making a wager on Thursday’s Kansas City-Detroit spread (Kansas City -6.5) or over/under (54 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

Game Trends for Chiefs

  • The Chiefs won seven games against the spread last season, failing to cover 10 times.
  • When playing as at least 6.5-point favorites last season, the Chiefs had an ATS record of 5-6.
  • Chiefs games hit the over eight out of 17 times last season.

Stats & Insights for Chiefs

  • The Chiefs racked up 29.2 points per game last season, 4.1 more than the Lions gave up per contest (25.1).
  • When the Chiefs scored more than 25.1 points last season, they were 6-6 against the spread and 12-0 overall.
  • Last season the Lions had a 10-2 record against the spread and a 8-4 record overall in games when they held opponents to less than 29.2 points.
  • The Chiefs racked up 21.2 more yards per game (413.6) than the Lions allowed per outing (392.4) last year.
  • The Chiefs were 5-4 against the spread and 9-0 overall when the team churned out over 392.4 yards last season.
  • In games the Lions held their opponents to less than 413.6 yards last season, they had a -2 record ATS and a – record overall.
  • The Chiefs rushed for 115.9 yards per game last season, 30.6 fewer than the 146.5 the Lions allowed per contest.
  • The Chiefs had a 3-2 ATS record and a 5-0 overall record when the team ran for over 146.5 yards last year.
  • When the Lions kept their opponents to fewer than 115.9 yards on the ground last year, they were -1 against the spread and – overall.
  • The Chiefs turned the ball over 23 times last year, one more turnover than the Lions forced (22).

Best Players for Chiefs

  • Patrick Mahomes II: 5,250 PASS YDS / 308.8 YPG / 67.1% / 41 TD / 12 INT / 61 CAR / 358 RUSH YDS / 4 TD
  • Isiah Pacheco: 170 CAR / 830 YDS / 48.8 YPG / 5 TD / 13 REC / 130 YDS / 7.6 YPG / 0 TD
  • Travis Kelce: 110 REC / 1,338 YDS / 78.7 YPG / 12 TD
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 42 REC / 687 YDS / 40.4 YPG / 2 TD
  • Richie James Jr.: 57 REC / 569 YDS / 37.9 YPG / 4 TD
  • Nick Bolton: 180 TKL / 9.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 2 INT / 3 PD

Game Trends for Lions

  • The Lions’ record against the spread last season was 12-5-0.
  • The Lions won twice ATS (2-1) as underdogs of 6.5 points or more last season.
  • Out of the 17 Lions’ games last year, 10 went over the total.

Stats & Insights for Lions

  • The Lions averaged 4.9 more points per game (26.6) than the Chiefs allowed (21.7) last year.
  • The Lions were 9-3 against the spread and 6-6 overall in games when they put up over 21.7 points last season.
  • The Chiefs had a 6-6 record against the spread and a 10-2 record overall in games when they allowed opponents to score fewer than 26.6 points last year.
  • The Lions collected 51.8 more yards per game (380.0) than the Chiefs gave up per contest (328.2) last year.
  • When the Lions picked up more than 328.2 yards last season, the team was 7-3 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
  • The Chiefs had a -7 record ATS and a – record overall when holding their opponents to less than 380.0 yards last season.
  • Last season the Lions rushed for 21.0 more yards per game (128.2) than the Chiefs allowed per contest (107.2).
  • Last season the Lions had a 7-2 ATS record and a 5-4 overall record in games the team ran for over 107.2 yards.
  • The Chiefs were -7 against the spread and – overall when holding opponents to less than 128.2 rushing yards last season.
  • Last year the Lions had 15 turnovers, five fewer than the Chiefs had takeaways (20).

Best Players for Lions

  • Jared Goff: 4,438 PASS YDS / 261.1 YPG / 65.1% / 29 TD / 7 INT
  • David Montgomery: 201 CAR / 801 YDS / 50.1 YPG / 5 TD / 34 REC / 316 YDS / 19.8 YPG / 1 TD
  • Craig Reynolds: 23 CAR / 102 YDS / 17.0 YPG / 0 TD / 9 REC / 116 YDS / 19.3 YPG / 0 TD
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 106 REC / 1,161 YDS / 72.6 YPG / 6 TD
  • Kalif Raymond: 47 REC / 616 YDS / 36.2 YPG / 0 TD
  • Marvin Jones Jr.: 46 REC / 529 YDS / 33.1 YPG / 3 TD
  • Alex Anzalone: 125 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT / 6 PD

NFL Teams