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The Buffalo Bills (11-6) take the field against the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) in the AFC Wild Card round of the playoffs on Sunday, January 14, 2024 at Highmark Stadium.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best in the NFL by totaling 374.5 yards per game. They rank ninth on defense (307.2 yards allowed per game). From an offensive angle, the Steelers are posting 17.9 points per game (27th-ranked). They rank sixth in the NFL defensively (19.1 points given up per game).
Bills vs. Steelers Picks
Game Info: Bills vs. Steelers
- Game Day: Sunday, January 14, 2024
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
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Check out these betting insights and trends before you bet on Sunday’s Buffalo-Pittsburgh spread (Buffalo -9.5) or total (38.5 points).
Game Trends for Bills
- The Bills have posted a 7-10-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Bills are winless against the spread (0-4) when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
- The teams have hit the over in six of the Bills’ 17 games with a set total.
Stats & Insights for Bills
- The Bills rank ninth in total defense this season (307.2 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on offense, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 374.5 total yards per game.
- The Bills own the sixth-ranked offense this year (26.5 points per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with just 18.3 points allowed per game.
- The Bills are totaling 244.4 passing yards per game on offense this year (eighth in NFL), and they are allowing 196.6 passing yards per game (seventh) on the defensive side of the ball.
- From an offensive standpoint, the Bills rank seventh in the NFL with 130.1 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 15th in rushing yards allowed per contest (110.6).
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills have been a top-five unit in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking best in the NFL by averaging a 49.8% third-down conversion rate. They rank 18th on defense (38.6% third-down conversion rate allowed).
- The Bills rank sixth in offensive yards per play (5.8) and 12th in yards per play allowed (5.5) this season.
- The Bills rank 12th in the NFL with a +2 turnover margin after forcing 30 turnovers (third in the NFL) and committing 28 (23rd in the NFL).
Best Players for Bills
- James Cook: 237 CAR / 1,122 YDS / 66.0 YPG / 2 TD / 44 REC / 445 YDS / 26.2 YPG / 4 TD
- Josh Allen: 111 CAR / 524 YDS / 30.8 YPG / 15 TD
- Stefon Diggs: 107 REC / 1,183 YDS / 69.6 YPG / 8 TD
- Gabriel Davis: 45 REC / 746 YDS / 46.6 YPG / 7 TD
- Dalton Kincaid: 73 REC / 673 YDS / 42.1 YPG / 2 TD
- Terrel Bernard: 143 TKL / 10.0 TFL / 6.5 SACK / 3 INT / 5 PD
Game Trends for Steelers
- The Steelers’ ATS record is 10-7-0 this year.
- In the Steelers’ 17 games with a set total, six have hit the over (35.3%).
Stats & Insights for Steelers
- From an offensive perspective, the Steelers are accumulating 304.3 total yards per contest (25th-ranked). They rank 21st in the NFL on the other side of the ball (342.1 total yards allowed per game).
- The Steelers rank 27th in the NFL with 17.9 points per contest on offense, and they rank sixth with 19.1 points given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball.
- In terms of passing, the Steelers rank 25th in the NFL (186.1 passing yards per game) and 17th defensively (227.1 passing yards allowed per game).
- The Steelers are posting 118.2 rushing yards per game on offense this season (13th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 115.1 rushing yards per game (19th-ranked) on defense.
- From an offensive standpoint, the Steelers are posting a 36.6% third-down conversion rate (22nd-ranked). They rank 21st in the NFL defensively (39.1% third-down rate allowed).
- In terms of yards per play, the Steelers rank 21st in the NFL (5.3) and 21st on the other side of the ball (5.7 yards allowed per play).
- The Steelers own a top-five turnover margin this season, ranking third-best at +11.
Best Players for Steelers
- Najee Harris: 255 CAR / 1,035 YDS / 60.9 YPG / 8 TD / 29 REC / 170 YDS / 10.0 YPG / 0 TD
- Jaylen Warren: 149 CAR / 784 YDS / 46.1 YPG / 4 TD / 61 REC / 370 YDS / 21.8 YPG / 0 TD
- George Pickens: 63 REC / 1,140 YDS / 67.1 YPG / 5 TD
- Diontae Johnson: 51 REC / 717 YDS / 55.2 YPG / 5 TD
- Elandon Roberts: 101 TKL / 10.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 2 PD
